North West England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/2017 onwards

[geri]

5 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

Snap! Exactly, totally different ball game on Sunday. 

Do you think southport will see anything ? Very disappointing today 

[Wardlegacy]

9 minutes ago, Stratocumulus perlucidus said:

Point is met office have before given red warings and nothing happens and give no warnings and we get deluged. Pure guesswork sometimes

I can remember one red warning in March 2013 and I was snowed in. Red warnings are pretty rare unless I have missed them. Last night the local forecast with data frok the met office seemed very accurate we just didn’t want to believe it.

[Mokidugway]

2 minutes ago, Stratocumulus perlucidus said:

Should it have been rain though we woukd have been magnet for it all!!!

Indeed can get 200 mm rain - 2 metres of snow equivalent,but at best  we get 2 to 4 cm ,crap I say 

Edited December 8, 2017 by Mokidugway

[Chris.R]

1 minute ago, SP1986 said:

I would be very surprised if it shifted too much. Modelling is much more advanced than it was 10 years ago. I would argue well remain in the sweet spot. After all it effectively starts tomorrow night

 Agreed. Timing couldn’t be better either starting in the early hours. 

[karyo]

I don't know what is this discussion about red warnings, we don't have a red warning. It's amber!

[Chris.R]

2 minutes ago, geri said:

Do you think southport will see anything ? Very disappointing today 

 Today gave me about what I was expecting to be honest.

I think me and you wil see significant snow on Sunday, maybe you slightly less than me as you are a bit further north. 

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

Just now, karyo said:

I don't know what is this discussion about red warnings, we don't have a red warning. It's amber!

I was saying how meto have got it wrong before with red warnings

[Mokidugway]

If we all get in our cars ,face west,accelerate fast to increase Earth s rotational speed thus increasing the weather systems angular momentum further north. 

[raul_sbd]

No update yet for Euro4?

[Winter Hill]

North Easterly wind and the North East get pasted. 

Easterly wind and the East get pasted.

North Westerly wind and Shropshire and the West mids get battered. 

Got to love our region..

Edited December 8, 2017 by Winter Hill

[karyo]

Lovely little trough for tomorrow on the latest Met Office fax chart!

http://www.weathercharts.org/ukmomslp.htm#t24

 

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

3 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:

If we all get in our cars ,face west,accelerate fast to increase Earth s rotational speed thus increasing the weather systems angular momentum further north. 

Now now no need to het all technical ??

[SP1986]

To be honest, if it's heavy snow coupled with potential for strong winds (potential blizzard conditions) then there will be red warnings issued without a doubt tomorrow night

[SP1986]

1 minute ago, karyo said:

Lovely little trough for tomorrow on the latest Met Office fax chart!

http://www.weathercharts.org/ukmomslp.htm#t24

 

Indeed it is, it's perfectly aligned to being a streamer through various points, meaning most places should see showers tomorrow. 

[chris78]

6 minutes ago, Wardlegacy said:

I can remember one red warning in March 2013 and I was snowed in. Red warnings are pretty rare unless I have missed them. Last night the local forecast with data frok the met office seemed very accurate we just didn’t want to believe it.

Some didn't want to believe it so much so that anyone who dared doubt the snow was  told they where,  throwing their toys out of the pram, or where even embarrassing.  

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

There probs will be red warnings but there usually last minute

[karyo]

1 minute ago, SP1986 said:

Indeed it is, it's perfectly aligned to being a streamer through various points, meaning most places should see showers tomorrow. 

Yes, with the flow turning more westerly through the day the snow showers will start in the southwest of the region and then gradually extend further east and north.

[Iceaxecrampon]

44 minutes ago, Winter Hill said:

Looks more North. South of Brum looks like rain 

 

.....dont repost this in the MOD thread

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

2 minutes ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

.....dont repost this in the MOD thread

Haha i might do for a laugh ? 

whats worst can happen

Edited December 8, 2017 by Stratocumulus perlucidus

[Iceaxecrampon]

Just now, Stratocumulus perlucidus said:

Haha i might do for a laugh ? 

Brave man.

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

Haha can imagine would go into meltdown. I dont generally go on as it all too technical sometimes. I only go on if there isnt much going on in here

[chiffer]

I'm very much excited, to know that it will be cold for the next few days before this system arrives put us in a much better position than I have seen for many a year.

Its been a long while since I could definitely say that right now if any precipitation should pass my house then it will be 90% probability of snow. We all know there could and may be changes over the next 48 hours for better or worse but at least it's not a false hope, decent accumulations as it stands right now would make it to low levels on Sunday.

That is absolutely awesome!

[pip22]

Question. Does Manchester airport cancel there flights in advance of the amber weather warning? I'm catching a plane to Tenerife at 10AM Sunday.

Edited December 8, 2017 by pip22

[cfallon]

12 minutes ago, Stratocumulus perlucidus said:

There probs will be red warnings but there usually last minute

No such thing as a read warning it’s AMBER

[karyo]

Euro 4 for Sunday morning.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=euro4&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prty&HH=42&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=