North West England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/2017 onwards

[Day 10]

24 minutes ago, WillinGlossop said:

 

Everyone come up to Glossop/Peak District/Buxton Sunday and go Xmas shopping/country walk in the snow ❄️❄️☃️ I’m doing a roast if anyone’s interested... ?now I’ve said that it’ll probably rain here too hehe ? 

And about 500 people will turn up

[WillinGlossop]

5 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

And about 500 people will turn up

Only if it’s snowing in Glossop/Peak District ❄️⛄️❄️⛄️?? unless they’ve heard about our cooking ?? hehe ? 

Edited December 5, 2017 by WillinGlossop

[iand61]

27 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Your going to get pummeled with snow sunday at your altitude- im sure of it.

Hope your right but don't think it'll be sorted until the bay.

still think someone in the region will get hammered, just don't think it will be IMBY.

[Spah1]

We we’ve been told the sliders ‘always’ shift south west. 

Lets hope so. 

Still hoping to catch a couple of beefy showers and get everything white. 

[itsnowjoke]

Think everyone is on glue lol 

all we can do is wait the weather will do what it will do if I get a cm I will eat my mankini won't I moki and he knows me lol

[C11ady]

Expecting a few inches up here in Buxton.

[Spah1]

by 7am Friday. 

Chorley just in the zone. 

[dodge]

BBC forecast barely making anything of the snow showers Fri/sat on their graphics.  Just a few flurries hitting the coastal Districts.  It will feel a bit fresh out in the wind though

[Miamay]

Forcasts seem to be changing all the time at the moment !!

[northwestsnow]

1 minute ago, Miamay said:

Forcasts seem to be changing all the time at the moment !!

GEFS snow row for liverpool was like 20+ last time i looked!! Ihavent seen it that high before..

[northwestsnow]

22 and 23 !! Virtually every single member on the GEFS18Z has snow for Liverpool on the thur AND the Fri..

[WillinGlossop]

Goodenacht alevetazane

goodbye?

[Chris.R]

Wow there we go, 18z looks like a snow event all the way now sonday, and importantly with winds backing from SSE to NNE. Perfect!!

[northwestsnow]

2 hours ago, Chris.R said:

Wow there we go, 18z looks like a snow event all the way now sonday, and importantly with winds backing from SSE to NNE. Perfect!!

00z runs are even better from ukmo/gfs..

Really hoping to see upgrades to the meto later- with a chart like this for tomorrow night!

Edited December 6, 2017 by northwestsnow

[Spah1]

It’s all moved SW get in!!!

 

[northwestsnow]

1 minute ago, Spah1 said:

It’s all moved SW get in!!!

 

GEM/GFS/UKMO have ALL moved the right way overnight- first things first i'd like to see late upgrades to the meto - 

this could be awesome for our region..

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

NMM 00z 

[northwestsnow]

EURO4 has uppers of -7/-8 thur night- should be OK with dews below freezing, wind direction looks perfect for our region..

dew points midnight thursday midnight

im sure negative dews and uppers of -8 will produce for the vast majority- this is ahigh res model so fingers crossed!!

Edited December 6, 2017 by northwestsnow

[NorthYorksWeather]

49 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

EURO4 has uppers of -7/-8 thur night- should be OK with dews below freezing, wind direction looks perfect for our region..

dew points midnight thursday midnight

im sure negative dews and uppers of -8 will produce for the vast majority- this is ahigh res model so fingers crossed!!

-7/8c 850hpa temps is what delivered snowfall to the North Yorkshire coastline last Thursday morning with snow settling on the beach for a time in the morning.

Would be nice to see some pics of low lying areas along the west coast with some snow come the end of the week. ie: @Chris.R

[EastofWigan]

??Not seen any lying snow here for years. Would love to wake up to this again 

[Had Worse]

Listening to BBC Radio Manchester at 7.25, Simon King said that there was a possibility of snow causing disruption during the rush hour on Thursday evening.

Definately one to watch.

[Joe Bloggs]

Morning all. No real changes from the overnight model runs in terms of snow later this week.

For Greater Manchester and South Lancs, we have a window from midnight until 10am ish on Friday. From mid morning latest the risk slips south and west towards West Cheshire & Merseyside. I do think somewhere will hit the jackpot and sit under a streamer but it’s hard to say where quite yet. My best guess is the Crewe/Chester area.

I’m now not as convinced as I was that Manchester will get lying snow, but it’s still very possible, not out of the question yet. 

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPUK00_60_43.png

[frosty ground]

Big upgrade on the Automated App (BBC) Lots of heavy snow forecast from 8pm Tomorrow.... Considering only light snow has been forecast and an hour of it all week thats a big jump.

Thursday night looks like the main event for east of the region.

[WillinGlossop]

Haha a couple of weather models/forecasts have Peak District under 70-80cm Sunday/Monday...don’t think so....

[northwestsnow]

1 minute ago, frosty ground said:

Big upgrade on the Automated App (BBC) Lots of heavy snow forecast from 8pm Tomorrow.... Considering only light snow has been forecast and an hour of it all week thats a big jump.

Thursday night looks like the main event for east of the region.

Yes and joe bloggs told me to wait until 48hrs before the event- and thats where we are now.

Mmust admit FG, i will be bitterly disappointed if i wake up nothing on friday morning as i think it looks really good- EURO4 has uppers of -8 by 00am fri !! With altitude on our side it can surely only be snow, if the precip hits that is..