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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme!
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
    20 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

    Interesting 

    E446EA04-44F1-4111-98D8-D92F68CB95A9.thumb.png.4aec358f565b90773746f3c12499566e.png

    Hmmmmmmm

    liking that one :)  Glos and now south glos potentially getting in on the action  plus some even further south. 

    Brecon Beacons seeing 40+ cm omg.

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    if, on the off chance that we hit the jackpot sunday/monday then who fancies joining me on a recce into the Northern England Regional threads monday night to say "hello" and then do some serious gloat

    I looked at this chart and proudly pronounced to the wife that she was getting 10-15cm tomorrow.....she just laughed  the old ones are the best......lol

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    Posted
  • Location: Solihull, West Midlands. - 131 m asl .
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, Snow and Storms
  • Location: Solihull, West Midlands. - 131 m asl .

    Hello..

    .A visitor in here...

    keep up the positivity.

     I notice that  the rain (?) has already reached the Southwest of Cornwall (according to the radar). anyone confirm?

    It would appear to be moving in more quickly than expected.

     

    MIA 

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    Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
    23 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

    Interesting 

    E446EA04-44F1-4111-98D8-D92F68CB95A9.thumb.png.4aec358f565b90773746f3c12499566e.png

    I looked at this chart and proudly pronounced to the wife that she was getting 10-15cm tomorrow.....she just laughed :cray:

    the old ones are the best......lol

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    Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW BABY
  • Location: Yate, Bristol

    One of my best memories was a rain to snow event in school. Does anyone around the Bristol area remember snow in the winter 2005/2006? I never see that date thrown around on this forum but it was one of the best I can remember down here. Started the lesson with rain, finished the lesson with about an inch on the ground. It continued to snow heavily for a good 5-6 hours. Good times.

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    Posted
  • Location: Wellingborough, Northants
  • Weather Preferences: Heat and thunderstorms, snow in winter
  • Location: Wellingborough, Northants

    Calm down peeps, it's the hope that kills you!

    Certainly think more northern parts of the region could see falling snow at least.

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    Posted
  • Location: Between Sidmouth and Exeter
  • Location: Between Sidmouth and Exeter

    Brr, dropped to -4.5C last night, beating the -3.4C on the 29th November. No snow here though.

    14 hours ago, Mapantz said:

    I agree if comparing GFS/other models to the MetO warning. What I cannot understand is their own wind forecasts - they don't match the warnings at all. If you go by the wind forecasts, then why wasn't there a warning out for Weds in to Thurs night? There was a stretch of around 8 - 10 hours of 45mph +, yet they're forecast shows the low 40's for around 3 hours. The weather maps and wind forecasts have always seemed correct during a warning, but not this time. It's extremely confusing.

    It did seem a bit strange I guess, bur I presume they thought differently to whatever computer output drives the symbol forecasts.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL

    Someone posted  this chart earlier and here is the huge problem that massive Azores  high  is so elongated and huge it’s deflecting wins west to east now if that could just go into a vertical position right up and link up to Greenland we would be in much better position 

     

     But this just seems to sit there constantly most of the time making it very difficult for any systems to approach from the north  

    1265C7EA-402F-4B29-8D36-68C6F8168A21.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
    10 minutes ago, Midlands Ice Age said:

    Hello..

    .A visitor in here...

    keep up the positivity.

     I notice that  the rain (?) has already reached the Southwest of Cornwall (according to the radar). anyone confirm?

    It would appear to be moving in more quickly than expected.

     

    MIA 

    As expected looking at radar.

    7E47D248-B4AE-467F-8B0A-163B7066CC90.thumb.png.6750b1728c9fcf2f5604caaf64ac141a.pngD97BE01E-1E02-4483-B676-FC533EBD8B9A.thumb.png.515536d80cc5de52a3e08932c9a95445.png

    If anything it’s progress is a bit slower.

    good luck 

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    Posted
  • Location: South Cotswolds
  • Location: South Cotswolds

    The BBC forecast for tomorrow shows rain at first and then the band seems to pivot near Gloucester and the precipitation turns briefly to snow in the afternoon in my area.

    Would be great to see some snow falling this weekend. Otherwise it will mean a quick blast up the M5 to chase the snow band lol!

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    Posted
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny or cold and snowy. Nothing inbetween.
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater
    17 minutes ago, Nick_Somerset said:

    Could the cold front strengthen and win out over the warm front coming up from the south...or at least drag the cold so far south that (pray to the snow gods) Somerset takes a hit? Could it...would it...models all seem to show a little shift south each run...

    I honestly don’t know. It’s happened before so you never know. I’m remaining cautiously optimistic 

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    Posted
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Continental winters & summers.
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
    16 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:

    One of my best memories was a rain to snow event in school. Does anyone around the Bristol area remember snow in the winter 2005/2006? I never see that date thrown around on this forum but it was one of the best I can remember down here. Started the lesson with rain, finished the lesson with about an inch on the ground. It continued to snow heavily for a good 5-6 hours. Good times.

    Can't remember a rain to snow event in that winter. The last totally unexpected rain to snow event I remember is 11th January 2008 - floods followed by settling snow. That one put to bed the myth of snow not settling on sodden ground.

    Might you be thinking of 09th Feb 2007? That one was a constant alternation of snow and rain in central Bristol, and came on a Friday.

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    Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW BABY
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
    1 minute ago, MP-R said:

    Can't remember a rain to snow event in that winter. The last totally unexpected rain to snow event I remember is 11th January 2008 - floods followed by settling snow. That one put to bed the myth of snow not settling on sodden ground.

    Might you be thinking of 09th Feb 2007? That one was a constant alternation of snow and rain in central Bristol, and came on a Friday.

    I would've left school in 2007. Although it could've been 2004/2005

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    Posted
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL

    Forecast looking grim for most of us ! 

    Plus side though 

    it is only early December ! Plenty time left for snow chances ! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Coalpit Heath, South Gloucestershire
  • Location: Coalpit Heath, South Gloucestershire

    This is getting quite exciting now......there seems to be a good possibility for quite a lot of us. No matter how old I get, I still get excited when there is a possibility of snow and I still go out to play in it if I am not at work.  The love of snow is not something you ever grow out of!

    Edit.......I was looking at some of the stuff in the MAD thread, which looked quite good, but then checked the met office forecast and it said heavy rain...how very confusing!

    Edited by noggin
    Clarification/confusion
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    Posted
  • Location: Gloucester,England
  • Location: Gloucester,England

    #MyFirstPost .. Very happy to wake up this morning living in Gloucester to hear the snow line has moved south somewhat. Gonna be a night of lamppost watching I think 

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    Posted
  • Location: Chapmanslade, Wiltshire + Charente, France
  • Location: Chapmanslade, Wiltshire + Charente, France

    arpegeuk-45-45-0.png?09-12

    ARPEGE suggesting accumulations even in southern England later Sunday and overnight into Monday. Small scale disturbances plus a bit of height such as the Mendips and Salisbury Plain will make all the difference

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
    7 minutes ago, chapmanslade said:

    arpegeuk-45-45-0.png?09-12

    ARPEGE suggesting accumulations even in southern England later Sunday and overnight into Monday. Small scale disturbances plus a bit of height such as the Mendips and Salisbury Plain will make all the difference

     

    You’re quite high up there too Chapmslade. I can see over your way from where I live . 

     

    Quite often you have microclimate there , when I used to drive to Westbury I’d see snow fog ice where you ate but nothing in westbury . 

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    Posted
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon

    Well it would seem the jury is still out just 24 hours or less before the event :crazy::help:

    I no longer have any clue what is going to transpire but If I had to take a punt id expect heavy precipitation to hit us all. :rofl:

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    Posted
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny or cold and snowy. Nothing inbetween.
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater

    Could see snow earlier lying on the east of the mendips from last night. At least I can say I’ve seen lying snow this year :nonono:

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    Posted
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny or cold and snowy. Nothing inbetween.
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater

    There’s a bit of shower activity in the Bristol Channel ahead of the main band of precipitation. Reminds me of the good old streamer days! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Coalpit Heath, South Gloucestershire
  • Location: Coalpit Heath, South Gloucestershire

    Blast it, I really need to go out and get some milk and bread, but I don't want to tear myself away from here, as I am getting sweaty palms at the thought of the next lot of models coming out before long. Decisions, decisions........ If I go now though, at least when I come back I can settle down without that niggle at the back of my mind........models, Strictly, IACGMOOH........that's the rest of my Saturday sorted!

    Fingers crossed for all of us re snow.

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    Posted
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny or cold and snowy. Nothing inbetween.
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater
    1 minute ago, noggin said:

    Blast it, I really need to go out and get some milk and bread, but I don't want to tear myself away from here, as I am getting sweaty palms at the thought of the next lot of models coming out before long. Decisions, decisions........ If I go now though, at least when I come back I can settle down without that niggle at the back of my mind........models, Strictly, IACGMOOH........that's the rest of my Saturday sorted!

    Fingers crossed for all of us re snow.

    I’ve got to collect my daughter in a mo and there’s no phone network where she is.. not sure how I’ll cope without being able to keep one eye on here!! 

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