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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards

BlueHedgehog074

By BlueHedgehog074
in Regional

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festivalking Experienced

festivalking

Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
Posted

Shower activity in Devon and Cornwall has almost all dried up. Fear we are out the game for today. Good luck folks!

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katemart Enthusiast

katemart

Posted
  • Location: Southampton, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, hot, hot! Or cold, cold, cold!
  • Location: Southampton, UK
Posted

Short, sharp shower - rain with the odd white flake in it. Temp dropped by over a degree, now 2.2c, dp -1.2c

 

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Chesil View Accomplished

Chesil View

Posted
  • Location: Wyke regis overlooking Chesil beach.
  • Weather Preferences: Snowfall
  • Location: Wyke regis overlooking Chesil beach.
Posted

While we may miss out snow wisr on sunday the synoptic situation for monday is becoming increasingly interesting.

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Singularity Maestro

Singularity

Posted
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
  • Weather Preferences: Fascinated by extreme weather. Despise drizzle.
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
Posted

nmm-26-79-0.png?08-12

Shift S from WRF-NMM 0.05* model for Sun-Mon. Result is... eyebrow-raising to say the least.

Sorry, I've gone and raised the bar too high now haven't I? Don't shoot the messenger! :rofl:

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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted

just had a shower....... it was a wet one :wallbash:

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted

I don't for the life of me, understand why a wind warning has been issued? 40mph is forecast here for 3 hours, yet Wednesday night and in to Thursday, 40 to 48mph was forecast for  around 10 hours, and a warning wasn't issued - and didn't need one.

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jtay Veteran

jtay

Posted
  • Location: Downton, Wiltshire
  • Location: Downton, Wiltshire
Posted
1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

just had a shower....... it was a wet one :wallbash:

I think you'll need the intensity to pick up. The one in the pic above might do the trick if you get a direct hit.

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted

Wetbulbs too high for snow even if a shower makes it here. The best you can hope for is some sleet/wet snow mixed unless you're at a decent elevation.

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TropicThunder Aficionado

TropicThunder

Posted
  • Location: Southampton
  • Weather Preferences: Heat and thunderstorms, snow in winter
  • Location: Southampton
Posted

Was just leaving work in Totton when a rain shower came over. Just got home in town and there is a light dusting on the cars, so appears it snowed briefly imby and I still missed it!  :wallbash:

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kent Experienced

kent

Posted
  • Location: Poole Dorset
  • Location: Poole Dorset
Posted
2 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Wetbulbs too high for snow even if a shower makes it here. The best you can hope for is some sleet/wet snow mixed unless you're at a decent elevation.

Need to put up the outside xmas lights.  Will two thirds up the ladder do?

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jtay Veteran

jtay

Posted
  • Location: Downton, Wiltshire
  • Location: Downton, Wiltshire
Posted

Surely the South Coast can see something. It's even currently snowing at my mates place in Houston, Texas.

image.thumb.png.db14e907aa625e8bf20ebd702f9a5f3c.png

:reindeer-emoji:

 

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festivalking Experienced

festivalking

Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
Posted
8 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Wetbulbs too high for snow even if a shower makes it here. The best you can hope for is some sleet/wet snow mixed unless you're at a decent elevation.

Is the wetbulb level set to drop in the next 12 hours?

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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted

my only hope is those showers over South wales making here, but that as we all know is a big ask!!! 

I really hope monday brings us something 

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fromey Experienced

fromey

Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
Posted

Ian F has mentioned wet bulb temps will come down this afternoon.

anyway temps here balmy 5c and dew 1.2c, nothing to see here!!:nonono:

 

fromey

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted (edited)
9 minutes ago, festivalking said:

Is the wetbulb level set to drop in the next 12 hours?

Yeah - they'll continue to lower through the day and overnight.

17120815_0806.thumb.gif.ef38ddad16cc1624251edbac6b96a470.gif 17120900_0806.thumb.gif.74204b1590febfd55b68b9b3647a6d85.gif

Of course, the WBFL will be dragged lower during heavier showers. We'll have to hope that shower activity continues.

Edited by Mapantz
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nettie Aficionado

nettie

Posted
  • Location: Bulford, Wiltshire 98m asl
  • Weather Preferences: frosty, lots of snow and good ol fashion thunderstorms.
  • Location: Bulford, Wiltshire 98m asl
Posted

I see snow out of the window!!!  That's me happy .

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Singularity Maestro

Singularity

Posted
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
  • Weather Preferences: Fascinated by extreme weather. Despise drizzle.
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, fromey said:

Ian F has mentioned wet bulb temps will come down this afternoon.

fromey

Are you sure, the wind's not that strong so I'd expect most Xmas lights to be okay.

 

:reindeer-emoji: 

Okay, that didn't quite work but whatever, at least I'm trying :laugh:.

Showers struggling to get much past the Bristol Channel at the moment, but some heavier ones are now over S. Wales and as the 850's also drop, this may further increase vertical instability to aid shower penetration inland.

Edited by Singularity
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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted
3 minutes ago, Singularity said:

Are you sure, the wind's not that strong so I'd expect most Xmas lights to be okay.

 

:reindeer-emoji: 

Okay, that didn't quite work but whatever, at least I'm trying :laugh:.

Showers struggling to get much past the Bristol Channel at the moment, but some heavier ones are now over S. Wales and as the 850's also drop, this may further increase vertical instability to aid shower penetration inland.

My vertical instability will decrease as this evening goes on!! :drunk-emoji:

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted (edited)

A good example of WBFL being pulled down in heavier precip.. despite the NetWx radar saying otherwise (due to what the NMM charts project)

2017-12-08.thumb.png.bbe5fad291de17046714cd604ca2f7ef.png

My sister says she can see flakes falling in Bournemouth.

Edited by Mapantz
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Singularity Maestro

Singularity

Posted
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
  • Weather Preferences: Fascinated by extreme weather. Despise drizzle.
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
Posted
Just now, Mapantz said:

A good example of WBFL being pulled down in heavier precip..

2017-12-08.thumb.png.bbe5fad291de17046714cd604ca2f7ef.png

My sister says she can see flakes falling in Bournemouth.

Blimey, didn't work here earlier despite rain rates of 10 mm/hr - shows how much the WBs are coming down in general as well.

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