South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards

[karlos1983]

Just now, matt111 said:

No of course we won’t since we don’t get corrections that help us. Only the opposite type of correction happens here. 

not that we are bitter about it 

[birdman]

30 minutes ago, khodds said:

I’m ex met monkey too! Hi ? 

Hi!

This must be the Dead Monkey Society...anyone else want to join?!

[matt111]

7 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

not that we are bitter about it 

No not at all...

Watching everyone else enjoying our snow. 

[khodds]

Haha @birdman and @kumquat think I was as this user name or may have been snowball? THC is at Leeds studying meteorology lucky thing! 

[MidnightSnow]

57 minutes ago, festivalking said:

Latest from the met office. My locale is right on the boundary of A and nothing! EEK!

Worries me that the boundary of 'C' stops at the Welsh mountains. Just watch all the hefty showers dissipate right before they get to the West Country. 

Sorry to be a negative nancy..  I just wish for once we could get a last minute upgrade.

[lettice]

Temp here has began to fall since 1:30pm when it was 12.5c to 8c now.
All changed as the wind moved form SW to NW.

We did have a long heavy rain spell from 9am to 11am this morning of 4mm, with 14-11mph SSW winds and a few 30mph gusts.

[MidnightSnow]

It's gonna change again but there's gonna be some lucky people if you're in the firing line.

 

[SteveB]

Temp down to 8.3c, was hoping it would be lower than that by now.

Still time for it to drop, but would really need to see it around 1-2c by 9-10pm latest to have any confidence in seeing snow fall.

[festivalking]

Shocking as it might be but I have to go and do some work when the 12z runs come out!! Demonstrating germination and photosynthesis techniques, thats how I roll! I usually ask students to put the phones away might be a bit rich if I keep glancing at the GFS run.....

[Richard Fisher]

14 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:

It's gonna change again but there's gonna be some lucky people if you're in the firing line.

 

That red slash nearly covers Bristol!

[festivalking]

17 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:

It's gonna change again but there's gonna be some lucky people if you're in the firing line.

 

Looks like colouring my 2 year old did yesterday I advised her to use more red pencil.....

[karlos1983]

I'm off to drive hope, hopefully with more success today. Gonna miss the 12z 

[khodds]

South!! I hear it’s corrected south...

more runs needed. 

[jethro]

Afternoon all, passed the local gritting depot on the way home from work, pleased to report the doors are open, the lights are on and the lorries are out and all lined up ready to be filled. I'm taking this as a positive sign ;-)

[Mapantz]

1 minute ago, khodds said:

South!! I hear it’s corrected south...

more runs needed. 

I wouldn't worry about the GFS now, follow the MetO. They will be using a blend of models, and MOGREPS - far superior to anything we have access to. The 12Z actually looks worse for those in the Midlands, as the colder uppers/dewpoints have shifted North.

[Rich_Clements]

Sat at my desk and looking outside the wind has definitely changed direction since this morning. 

[MP-R]

51 minutes ago, SteveB said:

Temp down to 8.3c, was hoping it would be lower than that by now.

Still time for it to drop, but would really need to see it around 1-2c by 9-10pm latest to have any confidence in seeing snow fall.

Give it time. Consistently falling here and most importantly the dew point is falling considerably. From 11-12C dps earlier on to 3C now.

[Jayfromcardiff]

19 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

I'm off to drive hope, hopefully with more success today. Gonna miss the 12z 

Its gone further south! Hopefully it drops further. Still have 2 days anyway to correct.

[MidnightSnow]

Half a chance of a snow event Monday morning with this correction?

[Ciderwithrosie]

21 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

I'm off to drive hope, hopefully with more success today. Gonna miss the 12z 

I hope that you are home safe and well tonight . If we do have weather events then being at home is a good place be in . 

[*Stormforce~beka*]

58 minutes ago, festivalking said:

Looks like colouring my 2 year old did yesterday I advised her to use more red pencil.....

I'll get my 2 year old to colour the rest in. We might end up with a great time!

[Joneseye]

As per usual we are into nowcasting territory for the 'Slider'.

They don't come along very often so very difficult to accurately model. It's excrutiating micromanaging every small shift in trajectory. I remain positive, but not enough to spark any excitement from my children yet!

'Daddy - what does snow look like?'

 

 

[*Stormforce~beka*]

4 hours ago, karlos1983 said:

This is quite cool, you can really see the cold air digging in now across the country. I've just hit 12.c high temp of the day, expect to see it dropping soon!

I think is is more cool ;-) Just waiting for the first spot of blue to appear! :-D *Obsessed.comdom*

[*Stormforce~beka*]

4 hours ago, Mapantz said:

Hi Birdman! You're en ex met mon-key aren't you?

Met Monkey! Geeze now there's a blast from the past! Haven't heard that name for some time ...!

[festivalking]

So what did I miss 10ft snow drifts on the isle of Wight?....thought not