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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards

BlueHedgehog074

By BlueHedgehog074
in Regional

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festivalking Experienced

festivalking

Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
Posted
4 minutes ago, Mike the Fish said:

Keep the faith for Sunday guys, in my experience over the years these low pressure systems are unpredictable even up to 6 -12 hours out and more often than not tend to track further south than modelled.

Now, i'm not saying we are going to be knee deep in snow, but I wouldn't be surprised to see this tracking further south than progged and some us snow starved southerners seeing the white stuff.

Anyone else follow my thoughts?

Definitely the track is not set in stone. On some models the slider has just turned into a trough and has lost alot of PPN, in others the slider has been consumed into the low pressure system over scandi meaning its rain up most the country. It could slide to the west of cornwall missing us all. But I'm pretty sure in other occasions you see the track starting to slip south very gradually from 4 days out where as this slider has remained pretty streadfast in its predicted track.  However this is why weather is so interesting in the age of supercomputers and with all the available technology people still cannot not predict if its going to rain snow or stay dry!

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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted
27 minutes ago, Mike the Fish said:

Keep the faith for Sunday guys, in my experience over the years these low pressure systems are unpredictable even up to 6 -12 hours out and more often than not tend to track further south than modelled.

Now, i'm not saying we are going to be knee deep in snow, but I wouldn't be surprised to see this tracking further south than progged and some us snow starved southerners seeing the white stuff.

Anyone else follow my thoughts?

I have a little hope reserved! Not giving up just yet! Further corrections this afternoon would be welcomed 

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festivalking Experienced

festivalking

Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
Posted (edited)

Latest from the met office. My locale is right on the boundary of A and nothing! EEK!

24862478_932840350203279_3104374957819702711_n.jpg

Edited by festivalking
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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted (edited)
1 minute ago, festivalking said:

Latest from the met office

24862478_932840350203279_3104374957819702711_n.jpg

won't stop me radar watching!!:nonono:

I would really need any heavy showers to fall in the small hours before sunrise. I am actually in Crewkerne tomorrow at Clay Pigeon Kart Track, so might see something there I guess.

Edited by karlos1983
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Jayfromcardiff Experienced

Jayfromcardiff

Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
Posted
8 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

won't stop me radar watching!!:nonono:

I would really need any heavy showers to fall in the small hours before sunrise. I am actually in Crewkerne tomorrow at Clay Pigeon Kart Track, so might see something there I guess.

I think I'm just into the C area lol so 2-5cn and maybe up to 15cm 

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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted
Just now, Jayfromcardiff said:

I think I'm just into the C area lol so 2-5cn and maybe up to 15cm 

Good luck Jay!! :drinks:

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festivalking Experienced

festivalking

Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
Posted

Ha ha I've just been deleted from the MAD thread! Oh well I must be classed as one of the unhinged now!

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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted

Help @festivalking @Nights King etc. What date was the infamous South Coast dumping that ended up in the Channel Islands ?

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festivalking Experienced

festivalking

Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
Posted (edited)
1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

Help @festivalking @Nights King etc. What date was the infamous South Coast dumping that ended up in the Channel Islands ?

It was early March 2013 hang on I'll give it a google : EDIT 12th March....even typing it makes be cringe a bit

Edited by festivalking
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khodds Experienced

khodds

Posted
  • Location: Work: Near Glasto Home: near Puriton
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny or cold and snowy. Nothing inbetween.
  • Location: Work: Near Glasto Home: near Puriton
Posted
1 hour ago, birdman said:

Sure am! I miss met mon-key :( but its nice here too :) What was your mon-key handle?

Where is Thermo these days....he was brilliant with snow forecasts!

I’m ex met monkey too! Hi ? 

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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted (edited)
16 minutes ago, festivalking said:

It was early March 2013 hang on I'll give it a google : EDIT 12th March....even typing it makes be cringe a bit

LOL I know, cheers fk

Edited by karlos1983
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festivalking Experienced

festivalking

Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
Posted

Steamers?!!! :oops:Bit early for that!! 

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TropicThunder Aficionado

TropicThunder

Posted
  • Location: Southampton
  • Weather Preferences: Heat and thunderstorms, snow in winter
  • Location: Southampton
Posted

I can understand those in the north getting excited but unfortunately it's looking like a bit of a cold rainfest for the next few days for these parts, although some in the west will see snow showers tomorrow. Still time for the track of Sunday's slider to change of course but so far very few models have taken it far enough south for us to benefit.

However the general synoptic pattern and background signals are looking very positive going forward so we are all in with a far better shout than the past few years at least! Hopefully fortune will favour us for a change in the not too distant future, after all it has to snow again at some point, right?!

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festivalking Experienced

festivalking

Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
Posted (edited)

Deleted

Edited by festivalking
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kumquat Seasoned

kumquat

Posted
  • Location: Winterbourne, South Glos
  • Location: Winterbourne, South Glos
Posted (edited)

I was Majic on met monkey LOL - where's THC now we're all coming out of the woodwork.

Edited by kumquat
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matt111 Maestro

matt111

Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
Posted

Just about to pass the overnight ‘low’ of 9.7°C. 

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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted

Down to 8.3C now after a low of 9.3C overnight! Peaked today at 12.7C

 

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matt111 Maestro

matt111

Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
Posted

Just keeping them on their toes with that post @karlos1983? :rofl:

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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted
Just now, matt111 said:

Just keeping them on their toes with that post @karlos1983? :rofl:

Absolutely...LOL. :D Full Armed is full warned and all that :whistling:

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festivalking Experienced

festivalking

Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
Posted
Just now, matt111 said:

Just keeping them on their toes with that post @karlos1983? :rofl:

Mind you those two charts posted show there was not much in it really from sweet spot to sick spot, I doubt we will get the correction required on this one. But yes watch them sparks fly

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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted
Just now, festivalking said:

Mind you those two charts posted show there was not much in it really from sweet spot to sick spot, I doubt we will get the correction required on this one. But yes watch them sparks fly

shhhhh don't tell them that :rofl:

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matt111 Maestro

matt111

Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
Posted
2 minutes ago, festivalking said:

Mind you those two charts posted show there was not much in it really from sweet spot to sick spot, I doubt we will get the correction required on this one. But yes watch them sparks fly

No of course we won’t since we don’t get corrections that help us. Only the opposite type of correction happens here. 

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