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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards


BlueHedgehog074

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Just now, Dorsetbred said:

I've dropped an email over to the Met Office to highlight their typo. I noted that in their error they had used 'cm' instead of 'snowflake'. They quite quickly replied and said "Thank you for you email, highlighting our error, we are unable to abbreviate this to "flakes" as many west-country folks will be expecting to see chocolate falling from the sky".

I guess their right...so flakes it is then  

Dorset :nonono: That is very glass half empty.... tut tut

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Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
4 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Dorset :nonono: That is very glass half empty.... tut tut

OK, so maybe the folks on the east coast will do better, at least they have McFlurries to look forward to..

Car is tanked full, so a chasing we will go, nowcasting at the ready, Map interrogation mode for north of the M4 installed....

Edited by Dorsetbred
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Posted
  • Location: Exeter
  • Location: Exeter
22 minutes ago, festivalking said:

This thread might self combust if that slider slips further to the south and west!  Half hour to go I reckon 50 minutes till we know whats going on Sunday......until the next run changes it again!!! Great we are having these south west moments and its only the 1st week of december!!!!

Out of interest as a lurker where would the sweet spot for the slider be to interest Devon/Somerset? Keep seeing talk of corrections SW so would be interesting to know what im looking for in the models

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Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
2 minutes ago, SnowChance24 said:

Out of interest as a lurker where would the sweet spot for the slider be to interest Devon/Somerset?

The Met Office operational room in Exeter maybe? Ok, OK, I got it, grabbing my coat now..

Edited by Dorsetbred
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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Just now, SnowChance24 said:

Out of interest as a lurker where would the sweet spot for the slider be to interest Devon/Somerset? Keep seeing talk of corrections SW so would be interesting to know what im looking for in the models

if we can keep the flow off shore, then we have a chance. if we see the centre of the low heading down across N Ireland into Wales we are getting wet, if it drifts down western Ireland we have a good chance of upgrades for the region. Roughly

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Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl

if the system sliced through say devon and traversed up the channel most of southern UK would be on the cold side of the system so it would be a bit of snow fest. But the further it slides to the west the less potential for ppn and hence the snow threat would cease. IMBY going through cornwall would be ideal................or what @karlos1983 said!!!

Edited by festivalking
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Posted
  • Location: Exeter
  • Location: Exeter
6 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

if we can keep the flow off shore, then we have a chance. if we see the centre of the low heading down across N Ireland into Wales we are getting wet, if it drifts down western Ireland we have a good chance of upgrades for the region. Roughly

Thanks, will be waiting patiently!

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Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
Just now, Jayfromcardiff said:

Where's all this snow then? It better snow this winter after the last so many years of disappointment!

Brecons have nabbed it again ;)

 

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Posted
  • Location: Cheddar Valley, 20mtrs asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and lots of it or warm and sunny, no mediocre dross
  • Location: Cheddar Valley, 20mtrs asl

Reading all the above, seems there's a chance I should check out the number for the Vatican, prepare them to verify a bona fide miracle?

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Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
4 minutes ago, jethro said:

Reading all the above, seems there's a chance I should check out the number for the Vatican, prepare them to verify a bona fide miracle? :rofl:

Time to head for the downs on the IOW I reckon, always good for miracles up there..

Edited by Dorsetbred
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Posted
  • Location: Downton, Wiltshire
  • Location: Downton, Wiltshire
Just now, SnowChance24 said:

Thanks, will be waiting patiently!

But do remember, it's all just for fun at this range. :santa-emoji:

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Posted
  • Location: Cheddar Valley, 20mtrs asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and lots of it or warm and sunny, no mediocre dross
  • Location: Cheddar Valley, 20mtrs asl
Just now, festivalking said:

Brecons have nabbed it again ;)

 

Have we got any engineers in here? Reckon if we chopped the top off the Brecons, used the debris to build a bloody great big funnel just north of the M4, we'd all be a lot happier.

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Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire

21 new posts since I last looked in here. Something going on? ;)

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

ICON is a prime example of what we don't want to see, tracks the low straight over N Ireland

iconnh-0-99.thumb.png.357dd2b109a154e16e09073dd94d15d7.png

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Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

ICON is a prime example of what we don't want to see, tracks the low straight over N Ireland

iconnh-0-99.thumb.png.357dd2b109a154e16e09073dd94d15d7.png

lucky then its not that rated..........bets it right today!

Edited by festivalking
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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
3 minutes ago, festivalking said:

lucky then its not that rated..........bets it right today!

Indeed, GFS says Nah Icon, you suck, much better 

 

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Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl

Think GFS is holding the slider back and more west already. So another correction. Next couple of frames should let us know. EDIT: Nah going the other way what do I know!!!!

Edited by festivalking
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Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl

Seen enough I'm off home to my proper job looking after my 2 year old daughter! Catch you later gang at 9.30!

Edited by festivalking
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Posted
  • Location: Southampton, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, hot, hot! Or cold, cold, cold!
  • Location: Southampton, UK
21 minutes ago, Dorsetbred said:

Time to head for the downs on the IOW I reckon, always good for miracles up there..

Now, that's a very good idea. No worries about transport home and some very nice pubs... *strokes chin thoughtfully*.

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