April 2017 C.E.T. forecasts

[NorthYorksWeather]

Big drop to 9.2c overnight, now 1.4c above the 1981-2010 average here.

Couple or rises now likely before the cooler weather sets in next week, can we get back to average?

[Summer Sun]

9.5 to the 7th

3.0 above the 61 to 90 average

2.0 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 10.0 to the 4th

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield up to 9.4C another big bump for today then we are in reverse mode.

[BornFromTheVoid]

With a minimum today of 6.4C, a maximum of 20.7C or higher would actually produce a record for the daily average, beating the previous value of 13.5C set in 1928.

[Roger J Smith]

If the current GFS is right, the thundering herd will be the blundering herd and the CET will fall steadily to about 7.5 by the 20th. Easter Sunday looks no higher than 3 (avg) on today's charts. 

[Summer Sun]

9.9 to the 9th

3.4 above the 61 to 90 average

2.4 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 10.0 to the 4th

Edited April 10, 2017 by Summer Sun

[Hammer50]

Is there a league table set up for this anywhere as would like to know how I am doing.

[seaside 60]

3 hours ago, Hammer50 said:

Is there a league table set up for this anywhere as would like to know how I am doing.

Top of page 10 of the MArch CET forcasts,

 

Edited April 10, 2017 by seaside 60

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield up to 9.9C +1.5C for the month.

[Roger J Smith]

Today's 06z GFS would see the CET steadily falling for almost two weeks before reaching about 7.5 C where it stays late in the period (24th-27th), Easter weekend looking slightly milder than yesterday's run but that near-record cold arrives later in the week around 18th-19th instead, so net effect is the same. Our lowest forecast IIRC was 7.9 C. 

The GFS can always be wrong on 10-day cold spells so this is not a done deal. 

The drop will be gradual at first, predicting 9.0 by Friday, 8.3 by Sunday, and 7.5 by Wed 19th. 

[Don]

1 hour ago, Roger J Smith said:

Today's 06z GFS would see the CET steadily falling for almost two weeks before reaching about 7.5 C where it stays late in the period (24th-27th), Easter weekend looking slightly milder than yesterday's run but that near-record cold arrives later in the week around 18th-19th instead, so net effect is the same. Our lowest forecast IIRC was 7.9 C. 

The GFS can always be wrong on 10-day cold spells so this is not a done deal. 

The drop will be gradual at first, predicting 9.0 by Friday, 8.3 by Sunday, and 7.5 by Wed 19th. 

I expect that 'near record cold' will continue to be put back and downgraded.

[NorthYorksWeather]

9.9c to the 10th here, 2.1c above the 1981-2010 average.

GFS continuing to water down the cold as per winter so still unsure if we can get back to average.

[Summer Sun]

9.8 to the 10th

3.3 above the 61 to 90 average

2.2 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 10.0 to the 4th

[Roger J Smith]

06z GFS continues with a rather cold outlook and it's hard to see how we avoid sliding back into the low 8's or high 7's somewhere after Easter, probably the lowest point would be 7.3 around 20th then perhaps a slight recovery, but not that much. 

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield at 9.6C  +1.2C above normal. With the GFS and other models continuing  to edge away from a cool spell should be comfortably above normal still by this time next week.

[Summer Sun]

9.8 to the 11th

3.1 above the 61 to 90 average

2.2 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 10.0 to the 4th

[The PIT]

A cool day yesterday offset by a mild night so just a slight drop to 9.5C +1.1C above normal. Certainly no chance off being below 9 by the end of Easter. After Easter there's a brief cold snap as cold air wraps around a high pressure. This if it turns up should knock CET down a bit. Rainfall or lack of it looks set to continue as well. No measurable rainfall at all this month.

[Summer Sun]

9.8 to the 12th

3.1 above the 61 to 90 average

2.2 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 10.0 to the 4th

[Roger J Smith]

GFS 12z continues with quite a cold theme after Easter, expect to find CET drifting down by about 0.1 a day for a few days then a faster decline to about 8.0 near final week, not much recovery shown so far. In any case I think forecasts above 10 are probably in some trouble already, forecasts 7.9 to 9 are probably in best shape. 

Edited April 13, 2017 by Roger J Smith

[NorthYorksWeather]

No drop here yet at 9.9c to the 12th, 1,1c above the 1981-2010 average.

Steady drop looking likely over the next few days.

[Summer Sun]

9.7 to the 13th

2.9 above the 61 to 90 average

2.1 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 10.0 to the 4th

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield 9.4C all depends on tonight's low if we go down but looking the same for tomorrow.

[The PIT]

After a milder than forecast Friday this meant the average stay at 9.4C Today at the moment is looking cooler than forecast but this may change if the cloud clears away.

[NorthYorksWeather]

9.8c here to the 14th, 2.0c above the 1981-2010 average.

Stubbornly slow drop here but we are forecast highs lower than the currently average over the next few days so the only way is down.

[Summer Sun]

9.7 to the 14th

2.8 above the 61 to 90 average

2.0 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 10.0 to the 4th