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Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 27th Feb onwards


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Lovely looking storm this afternoon! 

Here's the one that didn't get away. Taken at Crawley, West Sussex.

All bark but no bite down here on the south coast! 

Posted Images

I know some are getting dishearted, but the main time of interest for me to the 1am onwards period. This is where CAPE amounts and various other parameters reach their peak for us. I'd expect to see some further developments within the next hour or two. 

People talking about the outflow, reducing the chance of storms, but as we see the MCS move further ENE/NE, and showers further west move NNE, the distance between the two masses of storms increases so I think we could potentially see the situation improve for those in CS England. 

Just my opinion, not trying to deliberately get hopes up.

Edited by Ben Sainsbury
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17 minutes ago, STORMGUY said:

That Warm plume has moved over towards the south west of of england you should start to see lightning storms kick of soon

I was thinking, there's some quite intense rainfall starting to appear on the radar in the SW .. looks like a possible storm for Plymouth .. again :)
Bet they will love it if they're woken up by another light show (though not looking nearly as intense at this stage) 

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2 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

57 mins drive down to Worthing.... is it worth trying? Anyone know any good spots to pork up and observe?

Definitely don't come here. Would be a waste of time. No storms here tonight. 

 

Might as well go a few miles east! Brighton way seems to be where everything is going to end up 

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hmmm not liking this mess west of the main event... seems its will be less and less likely for me at the mo seen this sort of set-up many a time.

Anyone in west driving through salisbury to head south east/along south coast and fancy company? lol 

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2 minutes ago, John Hodgson said:

Yea but the anvil shield doesn't always mean that much. 

 

2 minutes ago, John Hodgson said:

Yea but the anvil shield doesn't always mean that much. 

Indeed core weather system is a small fraction of that but it looks good on radar .

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This might get lost in the action but I'm currently at Cobham Services eastbound on the M25. Looks good over the channel :O Wondering if it'll track even more east of here though? Being on the motorway there is scope to travel, I guess.

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2 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

57 mins drive down to Worthing.... is it worth trying? Anyone know any good spots to pork up and observe?

Yes head goring by sea rail station then head north to round about  then west on A259 towards littelhamton  for approx 500 yards to right up to highdown hill great view over the sea some height 

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Just now, Jcweather said:

I do enjoy nights like this. The forum is a hive of activity, there's a storm potential, and a general air of 'will we, won't we'

 

I know, I'm odd.

Aren't we all? :crazy:

Storms or snow brings everyone out. 

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1 minute ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Awesome and another!!!

I take it you're not in Godalming currently?

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