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Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 27th Feb onwards


Nick F

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Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
2 hours ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

Got to say it, this is looking nigh on a carbon copy of June 2012! Very similar charts and timings too. 

the difference is the amount of low level moisture and instability.....it's much less for tomorrow compared with 28/6/2012.....there is also less deep shear, vorticity and no where near the same daytime heating.....Whilst tomorrow may well be lively (and I hope it is!) it's unlikely to be as widespread or severe (locally) IMHO as the fabled El Brumo

Edited by ajpoolshark
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Posted
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Humid Continental Climate (Dfa / Dfb)
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL

Just go to Leicestershire and you will be guaranteed a storm. 

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: snow, heat, thunderstorms
  • Location: Leeds
3 minutes ago, ajpoolshark said:

the difference is the amount of low level moisture and instability.....it's much less for tomorrow compared with 28/6/2012.....there is also less deep shear, vorticity and no where near the same daytime heating.....Whilst tomorrow may well be lively (and I hope it is!) it's unlikely to be as widespread or severe (locally) IMHO as the fabled El Brumo

We had nothing at all on that day - words cannot accurately describe how angry I was! 

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Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
Just now, cheese said:

We had nothing at all on that day - words cannot accurately describe how angry I was! 

man, you were very unlucky.....all hell broke lose, no wonder you were angry!

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Once any showers clear the south early morning it looks quite nice for the rest of the day with temps peaking around 27c

57566.thumb.png.970973c8ed251cad1532be46ab0ac6c5.png

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Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
1 minute ago, Mapantz said:

Ping!

59288c2da906f_2017-05-26(1).thumb.png.13c36d4bfd2769f0d0354f555ce815ad.png

Ha! ha!!!,finally we have some action.....well,hopefully:D

i didn't expect that at all.

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Posted
  • Location: Christchurch, Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme weather what else!
  • Location: Christchurch, Dorset

Pickering where the f#*ks that?

Sorry couldn't resist:D 

Good luck to everyone over the next few days, always a few surprises when it comes to storms, my camera is charged and ready to go.

Edited by Christchurch storm nut
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Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
Just now, Mokidugway said:

Let's hope the sea temperature at 13. 5 c doesn't have a negative effect  mumspantz ..

looking on the bright side, if any storms crossing the english channel are elevated (i.e above the boundary layer) then the sea temps will have no effect

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Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Just now, Allseasons-si said:

Ha! ha!!!,finally we have some action.....well,hopefully:D

i didn't expect that at all.

Heading towards Exeter, at a guess.

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: snow, heat, thunderstorms
  • Location: Leeds
5 minutes ago, ajpoolshark said:

man, you were very unlucky.....all hell broke lose, no wonder you were angry!

Yeah, I remember seeing all of the storms breaking out over Brum and then through Leicestershire and LIncolnshire, and then later in the day over Cumbria and the NE. We were in the dry slot.

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Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)

Sferic in Normandy:D,that soon got going:yahoo:

vd.thumb.png.20cf46346774939ef007d7d46c27a37d.png

 

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Posted
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
33 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Sorry to be a bit negative,but to me that storm in the southern BoB looks to be shunting ENE,whether something kicks off on the northern flank i don't know,will have to wait and see.

I'm pretty convinced we'll import nothing tonight. The channe; storm shield is too strong:diablo:

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Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
1 minute ago, Frosty hollows said:

I'm pretty convinced we'll import nothing tonight. The channe; storm shield is too strong:diablo:

Scratch that,not bothered about that lot down there when we have kick off N of France:)

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Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and breezy with a bit of cloud, about 20C
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex

I don't pretend to be a professional in any way shape or form, but I normally have a rough idea of what's going to happen when there is potential like this. Tomorrow I have absolutely no clue how it's going to work, but hey, that makes it more exciting right?

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Posted
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
1 minute ago, Allseasons-si said:

Scratch that,not bothered about that lot down there when we have kick off N of France:)

Can't see it yet.But will be delighted to be proved wrong. Again!:D

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4 minutes ago, ajpoolshark said:

looking on the bright side, if any storms crossing the english channel are elevated (i.e above the boundary layer) then the sea temps will have no effect

Sorry ,not seen any SKEW-T charts today been in Scotland on a bender last night 

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Posted
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather enthusiast
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35

 

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Posted
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL

That cell in north France already showing quite a few strikes and is only about 10-15mins old!

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Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
2 minutes ago, tomjwlx said:

That cell in north France already showing quite a few strikes and is only about 10-15mins old!

Yes Tom,i am fairly glad to say that this could be the birth of something spectacular for southerners tonight:D

crikey!!! it's packing a good ol punch for 15 min cell from nothing.

Edited by Allseasons-si
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Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
3 minutes ago, Chris K said:

 

UK Scientific....isn;t that the old met monkey chaps?......decent bunch IIRC

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Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
2 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Yes Tom,i am fairly glad to say that this could be the birth of something spectacular for southerners tonight:D

crikey!!! it's packing a good ol punch for 15 min cell from nothing.

Really has got going! Jeez! 

Looking like it may well have dorsets name on it in a few hours. Looks to be travelling directly Northwards.

 

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Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)

From this

88.png

to this in 20 mins:shok:

88.png

Edited by Allseasons-si
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