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Nick F

Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 27th Feb onwards

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2 hours ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

Got to say it, this is looking nigh on a carbon copy of June 2012! Very similar charts and timings too. 

the difference is the amount of low level moisture and instability.....it's much less for tomorrow compared with 28/6/2012.....there is also less deep shear, vorticity and no where near the same daytime heating.....Whilst tomorrow may well be lively (and I hope it is!) it's unlikely to be as widespread or severe (locally) IMHO as the fabled El Brumo

Edited by ajpoolshark

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Just go to Leicestershire and you will be guaranteed a storm. 

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A cell has just popped up in Normandy abouve that rain band finally pushing it's way North. 

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3 minutes ago, ajpoolshark said:

the difference is the amount of low level moisture and instability.....it's much less for tomorrow compared with 28/6/2012.....there is also less deep shear, vorticity and no where near the same daytime heating.....Whilst tomorrow may well be lively (and I hope it is!) it's unlikely to be as widespread or severe (locally) IMHO as the fabled El Brumo

We had nothing at all on that day - words cannot accurately describe how angry I was! 

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Ping!

59288c2da906f_2017-05-26(1).thumb.png.13c36d4bfd2769f0d0354f555ce815ad.png

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Just now, cheese said:

We had nothing at all on that day - words cannot accurately describe how angry I was! 

man, you were very unlucky.....all hell broke lose, no wonder you were angry!

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1 minute ago, Mapantz said:

Ping!

59288c2da906f_2017-05-26(1).thumb.png.13c36d4bfd2769f0d0354f555ce815ad.png

Let's hope the sea temperature at 13. 5 c doesn't have a negative effect  mumspantz ..

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Once any showers clear the south early morning it looks quite nice for the rest of the day with temps peaking around 27c

57566.thumb.png.970973c8ed251cad1532be46ab0ac6c5.png

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1 minute ago, Mapantz said:

Ping!

59288c2da906f_2017-05-26(1).thumb.png.13c36d4bfd2769f0d0354f555ce815ad.png

Ha! ha!!!,finally we have some action.....well,hopefully:D

i didn't expect that at all.

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Pickering where the f#*ks that?

Sorry couldn't resist:D 

Good luck to everyone over the next few days, always a few surprises when it comes to storms, my camera is charged and ready to go.

Edited by Christchurch storm nut

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Just now, Mokidugway said:

Let's hope the sea temperature at 13. 5 c doesn't have a negative effect  mumspantz ..

looking on the bright side, if any storms crossing the english channel are elevated (i.e above the boundary layer) then the sea temps will have no effect

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Just now, Allseasons-si said:

Ha! ha!!!,finally we have some action.....well,hopefully:D

i didn't expect that at all.

Heading towards Exeter, at a guess.

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5 minutes ago, ajpoolshark said:

man, you were very unlucky.....all hell broke lose, no wonder you were angry!

Yeah, I remember seeing all of the storms breaking out over Brum and then through Leicestershire and LIncolnshire, and then later in the day over Cumbria and the NE. We were in the dry slot.

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33 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Sorry to be a bit negative,but to me that storm in the southern BoB looks to be shunting ENE,whether something kicks off on the northern flank i don't know,will have to wait and see.

I'm pretty convinced we'll import nothing tonight. The channe; storm shield is too strong:diablo:

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1 minute ago, Frosty hollows said:

I'm pretty convinced we'll import nothing tonight. The channe; storm shield is too strong:diablo:

Scratch that,not bothered about that lot down there when we have kick off N of France:)

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I don't pretend to be a professional in any way shape or form, but I normally have a rough idea of what's going to happen when there is potential like this. Tomorrow I have absolutely no clue how it's going to work, but hey, that makes it more exciting right?

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1 minute ago, Allseasons-si said:

Scratch that,not bothered about that lot down there when we have kick off N of France:)

Can't see it yet.But will be delighted to be proved wrong. Again!:D

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4 minutes ago, ajpoolshark said:

looking on the bright side, if any storms crossing the english channel are elevated (i.e above the boundary layer) then the sea temps will have no effect

Sorry ,not seen any SKEW-T charts today been in Scotland on a bender last night 

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That cell in north France already showing quite a few strikes and is only about 10-15mins old!

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2 minutes ago, tomjwlx said:

That cell in north France already showing quite a few strikes and is only about 10-15mins old!

Yes Tom,i am fairly glad to say that this could be the birth of something spectacular for southerners tonight:D

crikey!!! it's packing a good ol punch for 15 min cell from nothing.

Edited by Allseasons-si

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3 minutes ago, Chris K said:

 

UK Scientific....isn;t that the old met monkey chaps?......decent bunch IIRC

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2 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Yes Tom,i am fairly glad to say that this could be the birth of something spectacular for southerners tonight:D

crikey!!! it's packing a good ol punch for 15 min cell from nothing.

Really has got going! Jeez! 

Looking like it may well have dorsets name on it in a few hours. Looks to be travelling directly Northwards.

 

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From this

88.png

to this in 20 mins:shok:

88.png

Edited by Allseasons-si

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