Storm Doris - Atlantic Storm 4

[Summer Sun]

 

[Matty M]

Centre of Doris is visible on latest satellite imagery...

[Jo Farrow]

1 minute ago, johnholmes said:

Met show it as an open wave about 46/47N 29-30W at 12z, central pressure a bit below 1020 mb

Can keep an eye here.  http://eumetview.eumetsat.int/mapviewer/ Visible VIS only by day. IR10.8 INfra-red interesting and WV is the water vapour where you watch for the dark areas, the very dry stratospheric air, if it starts to entwine in the centre of the low tomorrow early = Explosive cyclogenesis. Still slight confidence wobbles about north/south track. Will affect snow areas most, but could add other parts of ENgland into the Amber criteria

[Cheshire Freeze]

Just read on the other side that the beeb are now suggesting up to 90 mph? Could be a red going out later if that's the case.

[robb]

M6 buoy to the west of Ireland is in the firing line and pressure is falling rapidly there now.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=62095&unit=M&tz=STN

[MAF]

out of interest. how long is the snow likely to lay? will this just be a snow event for the day? if it is then thats an awful amount of snow due to settle in a short period of time. and if it doesn't stay around long then the could a sudden thaw pose flooding problems?

Edited February 22, 2017 by MAF
because i can't spell

[knocker]

30 minutes ago, johnholmes said:

Met show it as an open wave about 46/47N 29-30W at 12z, central pressure a bit below 1020 mb

OWS Station Juliet would be useful

[Jo Farrow]

4 minutes ago, MAF said:

out of interest. how long is the snow likely to lay? will this just be a snow event for the day? if it is then thats an awful amount of snow due to settle in a short period of time. and if it doesn't stay around long then the could a sudden thaw pose flooding problems?

 

It is a bit milder at the weekend but cold before and after. also bands of rain from the Atlantic sweeping across Scotland at the weekend. will get through the gales and snowfall first.

[Summer Sun]

16 minutes ago, CreweCold said:

Just read on the other side that the beeb are now suggesting up to 90 mph? Could be a red going out later if that's the case.

80mph or more in the most exposed places were the words of JH just before 3

[Sparkiee storm]

Can see this bringing widespread disruption with quite a bit of damage especially around the West Midlands conurbation, I remember think it was storm barney bringing severe gales to the midlands a couple of years back and causing damage to a shopping centre in Birmingham, if these winds do verify which is highly likely, can see it being worse like I said, quite a bit of damage.

[weirpig]

Aperge going for very strong winds over the country  seems to be more widespread 

[Summer Sun]

Arriva trains Wales have the following info for tomorrow

Quote

High winds are expected to affect many parts of Wales during Thursday 23rd February 2017 brought in by Storm Doris.  As a result, for safety reasons trains will have to run at reduced speed on the following routes:

Holyhead - Llandudno Junction (Via Bangor)

Aberystwyth - Caersws (Via Machynlleth)

Pwllheli - Machynlleth

Fishguard Harbour / Milford Haven / Pembroke Dock - Llanelli (Via Carmarthen)

As a result of these speed restrictions, services on these routes may be subject to delay and short notice alteration.

We also ask that customers take extra care while making journeys

 

 

[Cheshire Freeze]

GFS cranks up the winds a tad over the 6z 

It looks dicey for Wirral/Merseyside area

[frosty ground]

How is this going to effect air travel...... Cancellations and delays look likely to me,

[Sparkiee storm]

Can see how heavy the snow is going to be up north, no surprise at all there's a warning for it, some parts will look like a winter wonderland for a time at least.

[Summer Sun]

Early tomorrow Merseyside gets the brunt

50 to 70mph gusts quite widely for a time with winds slowly easing from the west

[matty40s]

With this level of wind, I would expect the Highways Agency to be putting some contingency plans in place to stop high sided vehicles on any raised or exposed motorways from 5am to lunchtime. Midlands northwards would be a good start. It's not just the bridges,  it's places like the M6 through Birmingham and m1 through Sheffield amongst others.

Any haulier would be foolish to ignore the warnings, but no doubt we will see lorry after lorry on its side as delivery targets are more important than driver safety or keeping roads open.

[Cheshire Freeze]

http://www.ukweatherworld.co.uk/forum/index.php?app=core&module=attach&section=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=54275

Edited February 22, 2017 by CreweCold

[Fiona Robertson]

7 minutes ago, matty40s said:

With this level of wind, I would expect the Highways Agency to be putting some contingency plans in place to stop high sided vehicles on any raised or exposed motorways from 5am to lunchtime. Midlands northwards would be a good start. It's not just the bridges,  it's places like the M6 through Birmingham and m1 through Sheffield amongst others.

Any haulier would be foolish to ignore the warnings, but no doubt we will see lorry after lorry on its side as delivery targets are more important than driver safety or keeping roads open.

Bit like last month when an HGV ignored the "Closed to HGVs" on the Forth Road Bridge and got blown over onto the central reservation, damaging the structures there. They couldn't recover the HGV for hours because the wind was too high for the recovery crane and then welders had to repair the central reservation. The bridge was closed overnight and the driver was charged.

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

17 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Early tomorrow Merseyside gets the brunt

50 to 70mph gusts quite widely for a time with winds slowly easing from the west

North Norfolk coast could well be nasty tomorrow with the wind running parallel with the shore at first, then vering to onshore later.

[Paul]

Latest video update on Doris from Jo:

Video: Storm Doris to bring disruption - wind, rain and snow

[The PIT]

33 minutes ago, matty40s said:

With this level of wind, I would expect the Highways Agency to be putting some contingency plans in place to stop high sided vehicles on any raised or exposed motorways from 5am to lunchtime. Midlands northwards would be a good start. It's not just the bridges,  it's places like the M6 through Birmingham and m1 through Sheffield amongst others.

Any haulier would be foolish to ignore the warnings, but no doubt we will see lorry after lorry on its side as delivery targets are more important than driver safety or keeping roads open.

 

Any company that orders the fleet out when conditions are severe as warned should be liable for any injuries or loss of life.

It will be interesting too see what the latest gfs thinks.

Edited February 22, 2017 by Paul

[Matty M]

Looking like this will be a major new headline tomorrow..

It has gone a little under the radar with all the hype surrounding weather events in recent months. Hopefully nobody has become too complacent.

It could be really disruptive across a large swathe of the UK tomorrow. Model output is beginning to intensify things also which is what I feared.

This could well be a major storm event.

[Delka]

How is it looking for my area? And when would the worst sustained winds and gusts come through? I'm planning a nice walk tomorrow but it wouldn't be too nice to be out in the peak of what looks to be a pretty nasty storm.. I'd rather know beforehand how bad it might be and stay home in the warm nice and safe!

[Jo Farrow]

1 minute ago, Matty M said:

Looking like this will be a major new headline tomorrow..

It has gone a little under the radar with all the hype surrounding weather events in recent months. Hopefully nobody has become too complacent.

It could be really disruptive across a large swathe of the UK tomorrow. Model output is beginning to intensify things also which is what I feared.

This could well be a major storm event.

 

There has been a lot of reaction to the name Doris, especially on social media which is what the naming was really for, which has helped highlight this storm. I hope the snow gets as much attention in the warnings as the winds. It has been very windy today so people may have thought that was it for NE Britain. Those newspapers who named Doris at the beginning of the month have been quieter with  the usual horror stories , as they've already used their Doris hype