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Storm Doris - Atlantic Storm 4


Summer Sun

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Posted
  • Location: Mynydd - Isa , Nr Mold - North Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Foggy autumn days are the best! Although I does enjoy a good thunderstorm.
  • Location: Mynydd - Isa , Nr Mold - North Wales

According XC Weather, looks like winds could be starting to pick up over the SW and Western parts of Wales already. 

http://www.xcweather.co.uk/

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

18z has a slight downgrade on the top wind speeds (still a significant storm for central parts)

18_15_windvector_gust.png?cb=34518_18_windvector_gust.png?cb=34518_21_windvector_gust.png?cb=34518_24_windvector_gust.png?cb=345

Edited by Summer Sun
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Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67

 M6 now 991.5 mbar, wind veering more to the  the WSW at 36 mph. Meanwhile K4 is at 992 mbar, wind has been backing, now ENE. 

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Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
10 minutes ago, Dangerous55019 said:

According XC Weather, looks like winds could be starting to pick up over the SW and Western parts of Wales already. 

http://www.xcweather.co.uk/

 Yes, a quick increase at Aberdaron there. 

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Posted
  • Location: Ramsey, Minnesota (USA)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms/Snow/Hail & Strong Winds
  • Location: Ramsey, Minnesota (USA)
12 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

18z has a slight downgrade on the top wind speeds (still a significant storm for central parts)

18_15_windvector_gust.png?cb=34518_18_windvector_gust.png?cb=34518_21_windvector_gust.png?cb=34518_24_windvector_gust.png?cb=345

No offence to you, but the GFS has seemed reluctant on bringing more widespread gales across the country. The Hi - Res Models like Arome & Arpege have been set on bringing widespread 50 - 60mph with occasional above and the stronger phase of widely 70mph maybe 80mph. This ties with the Met Office.

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Posted
  • Location: Highland Scotland
  • Location: Highland Scotland

This would have been a good couple of days to have been in Leadhills or Wanlockhead by the look of things. Currently the calm before the snow storm hopefully on the village webcam at the Hopetoun Arms at 400m:

leadhills-2017_02_22_21.thumb.jpeg.df2a16ff65a19d0294d05505a84c486e.jpeg

Updating image: http://www.winterhighland.info/cams/lowtherhill/

Don't expect to see much on the webcams actually on top of Lowther Hill tomorrow - the batteries are rather flat after too much dull weather recently and the wind will be blasting the snow straight at the cameras even if they come on (and as they work of a battery / solar combo de-icing heating is a bit minimal by necessity).

 

Edited by skifreak
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Posted
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)

Does anyone know if there Is there any live streaming cams within the zone expected to get the heaviest snowfall?

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Posted
  • Location: Kensington
  • Location: Kensington
18 minutes ago, MKN said:

Does anyone know if there Is there any live streaming cams within the zone expected to get the heaviest snowfall?

Pop over to the Scottish thread I think there is a link there 

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Posted
  • Location: Dublin
  • Location: Dublin

Beginning to think this storm will be stronger for Ireland than anticipated. Deepening sooner and faster than pronged. I fear widespread infrastructural damage from Mayo to Dublin commencing 1am in west

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Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
12 minutes ago, Jo Farrow said:

Can see the very dry air here too on the Water Vapour WV imagery (dark areas) http://eumetview.eumetsat.int/mapviewer/ 

dorisWV2202.png

Quite a well-developed cloud head on the low now looking at most recent airmass imagery, indicative perhaps of the low now moving into the left exit of the jet streak and now starting RACY?

seviri_nat_airmass_20170222_2200.thumb.png.9355b7d5f06fd6eca2ba94e533b64515.png

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Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67

The centre has passed to the north of M6 now. The wind has veered WNW, the temp has fallen and the pressure has shot up 

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Posted
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
4 minutes ago, Nick F said:

Quite a well-developed cloud head on the low now looking at most recent airmass imagery, indicative perhaps of the low now moving into the left exit of the jet streak and now starting RACY?

seviri_nat_airmass_20170222_2200.thumb.png.9355b7d5f06fd6eca2ba94e533b64515.png

Like the image....but quite concerned about sting je potential for my area

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Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
4 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

The centre has passed to the north of M6 now. 

I presume you're not on about the motorway? mafia.gif

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Posted
  • Location: East Lothian
  • Weather Preferences: Not too hot, excitement of snow, a hoolie
  • Location: East Lothian
6 minutes ago, inghams85 said:

What's your take on the possible sting jet Jo?

It's still possible, It will also be worth watching the Norfolk coast, that seems to get slammed with the forecast gales for a while.

 The Met office are slightly tuning down the winds a shade, shaving a sliver off the top end now. But still variations in the models that it is not totally convincing

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Posted
  • Location: Surrey and SW France.
  • Location: Surrey and SW France.
1 minute ago, Matty M said:

Beginning to think this storm will be stronger for Ireland than anticipated. Deepening sooner and faster than pronged. I fear widespread infrastructural damage from Mayo to Dublin commencing 1am in west

Just looking at that on the ARPEGE but the slower to come out (much higher-res 1.3km) AROME is not being nearly as aggressive. The zoom function is way behind - all very slow tonight.

2453_mjj6.png   aromehd-11-10-0_tmt5.png

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Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
3 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

I presume you're not on about the motorway? mafia.gif

Lol no station 62095 m6 buoy at 53N/15.5W. 

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Posted
  • Location: Rotherham
  • Location: Rotherham
6 minutes ago, Jo Farrow said:

It's still possible, It will also be worth watching the Norfolk coast, that seems to get slammed with the forecast gales for a while.

 The Met office are slightly tuning down the winds a shade, shaving a sliver off the top end now. But still variations in the models that it is not totally convincing

Thank you. So looking like a standard winter storm now then. At least people can rest assured on 50-60mph winds. I think I'll take the van out to work now

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Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

All signs point to high impact event for Lancs, north Wales, exposed parts of north Midlands. Take this one seriously, it is going to deepen over British Isles rather than out in the ocean. Sting jet discussion somewhat academic, it has all the dynamics necessary to create very strong gusts, sting jet or no sting jet. Current location about 54N 13W. 

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