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March 2017 C.E.T. forecasts

Roger J Smith

By Roger J Smith
in Spring Weather Discussion

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

Oo only just remembered.  5.1°C please. 

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Roger J Smith Maestro

Roger J Smith

Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Author
Posted (edited)

The midnight hour approaches (for you at least) and I have a table of entries ready to post over in the Scoring thread. Here it is:

https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/75427-cet-competition-the-scores-ongoing/?page=7

 

As of (edit) midnight, 68 on time entries and the median is 6.5 C. These values are untaken

 

-- Anything above 7.8 except 12.0

... 7.7

... 5.4, 5.2, 5.0

... 4.8, all 4.0 to 4.6

... (noting BLAST FROM THE PAST said 4.0 over in the long range thread, could be considered an entry)

-- and anything below 3.9 which is currently the low guess. 

This post will be edited if some of these values are chosen. And late entries will be added to the table of entries, which I will post very soon.

 

Edited by Roger J Smith
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stewfox Accomplished

stewfox

Posted
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and heatwave
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
Posted

6.9c

 

still February in New York :sorry:

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AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted

6.1c please

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Roger J Smith Maestro

Roger J Smith

Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Author
Posted (edited)

March CET 1981-2010 averages and 1772-2016 extremes

 

DATE ___ MAX ____________ MIN _________ CET date ___ CET cum

01 Mar ... 10.7 (1878) ... ... ... ... -3.5 (1785) ... ... ... ... 5.0 ... ... ... 5.0
02 Mar ... 11.1 (1777) ... ... ... ... -3.2 (1965) ... ... ... ... 4.8 ... ... ... 4.9
03 Mar ... 11.0 (1777) ... ... ... ... -3.9 (1965) ... ... ... ... 4.9 ... ... ... 4.9
04 Mar ... 12.3 (1859) ... ... ... ... -2.9 (1909) ... ... ... ... 4.7 ... ... ... 4.8
05 Mar ... 10.9 (1834) ... ... ... ... -2.8 (1786&1909) .... 5.4 ... ... ... 5.0

06 Mar ... 12.0 (1989) ... ... ... ... -4.7 (1786) ... ... ... ... 6.4 ... ... ... 5.2
07 Mar ... 10.9 (1875) ... ... ... ... -3.3 (1947) ... ... ... ... 6.6 ... ... ... 5.4
08 Mar ... 12.2 (2000) ... ... ... ... -3.1 (1786) ... ... ... ... 6.5 ... ... ... 5.5
09 Mar ... 12.4 (1948) ... ... ... ... -3.0 (1917) ... ... ... ... 6.2 ... ... ... 5.6
10 Mar ... 11.6 (1957) ... ... ... ... -2.4 (1883) ... ... ... ... 6.9 ... ... ... 5.7

11 Mar ... 12.6 (1957) ... ... ... ... -1.9 (1847) ... ... ... ... 6.6 ... ... ... 5.8
12 Mar ... 13.4 (1957) ... ... ... ... -2.4 (1785) ... ... ... ... 6.0 ... ... ... 5.8
13 Mar ... 12.8 (1991) ... ... ... ... -6.5 (1845) ... ... ... .. 6.3 ... ... ... 5.9
14 Mar ... 11.5 (1805) ... ... ... ... -3.7 (1845) ... ... ... ...6.6 ... ... ... 5.9
15 Mar ... 11.9 (1884) ... ... ... ... -1.6 (1867) ... ... ... ... 7.0 ... ... ... 6.0

16 Mar ... 13.2 (2004) ... ... ... ... -3.0 (1845) ... ... ... ... 6.9 ... ... ... 6.1
17 Mar ... 13.2 (2005) ... ... ... ... -2.2 (1845) ... ... ... ... 7.5 ... ... ... 6.1
18 Mar ... 14.1 (1990) ... ... ... ... -1.3 (1853) ... ... ... ... 7.1 ... ... ... 6.2
19 Mar ... 11.8 (1822) ... ... ... ... -0.9 (1814) ... ... ... ... 6.6 ... ... ... 6.2
20 Mar ... 12.3 (1779) ... ... ... ... -1.6 (1845) ... ... ... ... 6.6 ... ... ... 6.2

21 Mar ... 11.7 (1927,1931) ... ... -1.6 (1899) ... ... ... ... 6.6 ... ... ... 6.2
22 Mar ... 12.6 (1903) ... ... ... ... ..-0.9 (1837) ... ... ... ... 6.9 ... ... ... 6.3
23 Mar ... 12.1 (1852,1945) ... ... -0.8 (1837,1899) ...... 6.9 ... ... ... 6.3
24 Mar ... 13.4 (1776) ... ... ... ... ..-0.6 (1879) ... ... ... ... 7.4 ... ... ... 6.4
25 Mar ... 13.9 (1777) ... ... ... ... ..-1.3 (1853) ... ... ... ... 7.3 ... ... ... 6.4

26 Mar ... 14.6 (1777) ... ... ... ... . -0.3 (1879,1901) ..... 7.2 ... ... ... 6.4
27 Mar ... 14.8 (1777) ... ... ... ... . +0.1 (1901) ... ... ... ...7.1 ... ... ... 6.4
28 Mar ... 12.6 (1822,1998) ... ... -0.3 (1785) ... ... ... ... 7.2 ... ... ... 6.5
29 Mar ... 13.4 (1813) ... ... ... ... . -0.7 (1785) ... ... ... ... 7.2 ... ... ... 6.5
30 Mar ... 13.4 (1920) ..... ... ... ... 0.0 (1799) ... ... ... ... 7.6 ... ... ... 6.5

31 Mar ... 13.8 (1815) ... ... ... ... . -0.8 (1799) ... ... ... ... 8.0 ... ... ... 6.6

Edited by Roger J Smith
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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Sunny Sheffield at 4.9C -1.4C below normal.

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I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted
10 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

5.6 to the 2nd

1.0 above the 61 to 90 average

0.7 above the 81 to 10 average

only 2 days! but again a 'snow' month running at above average, what's new 2000+

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Sunny Sheffield at 5.3C and fall tomorrow as today was quite cold

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted (edited)

6.4°C (-0.2) here

Mean min 4.3°C (+0.5

Mean max 8.6°C (-0.8 

Edited by Chris.R
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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Sunny Sheffield back down to 5C would have been lower but the temps rose overnight.

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NorthYorksWeather Experienced

NorthYorksWeather

Posted
  • Location: Nr Malton, North Yorkshire 53m
  • Weather Preferences: Snow/Thunderstorms
  • Location: Nr Malton, North Yorkshire 53m
Posted

5.8c here to the 6th, 0.4c below the 1981-2010 average.

Looking at my local BBC 5 day forecast, we will see a rise in the coming days.

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Roger J Smith Maestro

Roger J Smith

Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Author
Posted

12z GFS suggests a slow rise to about 7.2 C by middle of next week, then a slight drop around 17th to 20th to about 6.5 C and a very slight rise to the end of the run, so likely to be in high 6 to near 7 territory with a week to go. If the model is anywhere near right, that is to say. 

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DAVID SNOW Veteran

DAVID SNOW

Posted
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
Posted
2 hours ago, Roger J Smith said:

12z GFS suggests a slow rise to about 7.2 C by middle of next week, then a slight drop around 17th to 20th to about 6.5 C and a very slight rise to the end of the run, so likely to be in high 6 to near 7 territory with a week to go. If the model is anywhere near right, that is to say. 

If indeed,  interesting that the METO have now changed their longer term outlook, gone is the seemingly never ending "Chance" of something much colder to develop, to temps around average with blocking favoured, not the northern type though.

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