March 2017 C.E.T. forecasts

[seaside 60]

Been totally under for last three months.

Think I will go with 5.9c and watch Knockers daffs fry lol.

[snowray]

5.6 please

[jonboy]

5.1 Please

[Godber 1]

6.3c for me please.

[AtlanticFlamethrower]

6.4 C

[Hammer50]

6.5c please.

[coldest winter]

5.7 for me please

[J10]

7.1C

[Don]

Another mild month to be had.  I will go for 7.2C please

[Midlands Ice Age]

I have to go for 6.9C, Please

MIA 

[Kentish Man]

5.5C thanks

[BlueSkies_do_I_see]

7.1C please. Mild at times,  but not record breaking.

[reef]

Rather above average, think the colder weather might hold off until April this year:

7.6C

[Nouska]

After another false lead in February - where to, this month....

I doubt it will be average but best to pick that as options seem to be either very mild or quite cool - depending on ridge/trough placement.

6,8C.

[mulzy]

6.3C - fairly average I think!

[damianslaw]

Not expecting a particularly mild month, but given we seem to be stuck in a long run of above average months, the safe bet is above average, so lets go with 6.9 degrees. Mind I think if we are to see a break from the current long mild spell then it will be this month with a chance of something a fair bit colder emerging. A marked north-south split looks probable with Scotland and far north of england below average, the south more exposed to milder tropical maritime air at times. Wouldn't at all be surprised if some places see there heaviest snowfall of the season this month - not to be unexpected given how woeful snowfall has been this winter.

 

[Mark Bayley]

6.9c please

[Corrigan87]

6.9C please

[Norrance]

7.4C for me.

[DAVID SNOW]

7.3..

[davehsug]

7.2C please

[BornFromTheVoid]

Below is the March CET from 1659-2016 in blue, the 30 year average in red and the linear trend in black

The CET this month is likely to finish somewhere between 5.7C and 6.3C. The average March following Februarys in that range is 6.2C

The linear trend for the whole record is +0.41C per century. Following this trend gives a March CET of 6.1C.
The linear trend since 1850 is +0.96C per century. Following this trend gives a March CET of 6.5C.
The linear trend since 1950 is +1.84C per century. Following this trend gives a March CET of 6.7C.
The linear trend over the last 50 years is +2.76C per century. Following this trend gives a March CET of 6.9C.
The linear trend over the last 30 years is -2.38C per century. Following this trend gives a March CET of 6.3C.
 

The current 30 year average for March, of 6.68C, is the highest it's been on record, beating the 6.65C average from last year. Anything more than 4.3C this year will result in a new high for the 30 year aveage.

[crucible72]

7.1 please

[BornFromTheVoid]

7.2C for me, thanks.

[Singularity]

Model madness and hints of highly anomalous conditions one way or the other.

A plain and simple 6.4*C will have to do please. I'd not be surprised to see a 3-4 day run of exceptional warmth trash this, though!