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March 2017 C.E.T. forecasts


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Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

March CET averages and extremes

14.7 ... Warmest March daily mean (27th, 1777)

 9.2 ... Warmest March (1957)
 9.1 ... 2nd warmest March (1938)
 8.4 ... 3rd warmest March (1997)
 8.3 ... 4th warmest March (1948,1990, 2012)
 8.2 ... 7th warmest March and warmest before 20th century (1750, tied with 1961)
 7.6 ... 2014 CET
 

 6.7 ... mean of 1987-2016

 6.6 ... mean of 1981-2010 and 1986-2015

 6.4 ... mean of 21st century (2001-2016) and 2015 CET
 6.3 ... mean of 1971-2000


 5.8 ... mean of 20th century (1901-2000) and 2016 CET
 5.7 ... mean of 1961-1990
 5.33... mean of all 358 years (1659-2016)
 5.2 ... mean of 19th century (1801-1900)
 5.0 ... mean of 18th century (1701-1800)

 4.6 ... mean of (CET portion of) 17th century (1659-1700)

 2.8 ... Coldest March of 20th century (1962)

 2.7 ... Coldest March since 1892 (2013) ... tied with 1892 and 1784 joint 12th coldest March

 1.8 ... 3rd coldest March (1748)
 1.2 ... 2nd coldest March (1785)
 1.0 ... Coldest March (1674)

 1.0 ... Mean of last ten days of March 2013 (22nd-31st)

 0.6 ... Mean of the five days 22nd-26th March 2013

-3.9 ... Coldest March daily mean in last 50 yrs (3rd, 1965)
-6.5 ... Coldest March daily mean (13th, 1845)

Enter your forecast by the end of Tuesday, 28 Feb to avoid time penalties, or by the end of Friday 3rd of March with time penalties but before the absolute deadline.

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Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl

7.4° zonal start, low after low and very wet/mild, then late March, getting more settled/cooler then signs of HLB that will dominate April

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Posted
  • Location: Trowbridge, Wilts
  • Weather Preferences: hot summers; frigid winters; golden fall; bright spring
  • Location: Trowbridge, Wilts

6.8 for me please

 

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Posted
  • Location: South Manchester. Summer=LV-426. Other=Azeroth
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, cold, cold and errrr......cold. I am, unashamedly, a cold fan.
  • Location: South Manchester. Summer=LV-426. Other=Azeroth

6.2c please.

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Posted
  • Location: Helensburgh,22 miles from Glasgow
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,snow and....a bit more snow
  • Location: Helensburgh,22 miles from Glasgow

Not expecting any special this March... Cool start, some reasonable warmth later....and above average rainfall....

6.5c is my guess. Cheers

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Posted
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
  • Weather Preferences: Unseasonably cold weather (at all times of year), wind, and thunderstorms.
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)

3.9C.

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Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy and thundery.
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level

5.9c for me thanks :)

Edited by Dami
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Posted
  • Location: Comrie, Perthshire, Bonnie Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: bright & frosty/snowy; summer: hot and sunny.
  • Location: Comrie, Perthshire, Bonnie Scotland

4.7C for me please.

 

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Posted
  • Location: Broxbourne, Herts
  • Weather Preferences: Snow snow and snow
  • Location: Broxbourne, Herts

I was so close in December, but the cold bias came out in me for both Jan and Feb and my scores have taken a battering!

So it's back to CET science for this month.  Working on the basis that February will end up warmer than January, and looking at years where the previous December was also warmer than the preceding November, I get...

years followed by March CET

1910 - 1911 _ 5.2C

1911 - 1912 _ 7.2C

1912 - 1913 _ 6.2C

1919 - 1920 _ 7.2C

1921 - 1922 _ 4.6C

1934 - 1935 _ 6.6C

1942 - 1943 _ 6.5C

1965 - 1966 _ 6.5C

1971 - 1972 _ 6.5C

2013 - 2014 _ 7.6C

That little run of 6.5C and 6.6C is enough scientific convincing for me.  I'm going for 6.6C

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Posted
  • Location: Broxbourne, Herts
  • Weather Preferences: Snow snow and snow
  • Location: Broxbourne, Herts
On ‎18‎/‎02‎/‎2017 at 18:50, Roger J Smith said:

March CET averages and extremes
......

-3.9 ... Coldest March daily mean in last 50 yrs (3rd, 1965)

.

I really wish March 1965 was in the last 50 years!!  I'd be younger!

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

6.1c for me please

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Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)

6.2c Cheer's

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Posted
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom
  • Weather Preferences: cold winters, cold springs, cold summers and cold autumns
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom

12C  :(  Last sub 2C March in 1883.  Last sub 3C, last sub 4C, last sub 5C and last sub 5.5C March in 2013.

Edited by Lettucing Gutted
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