Model tweets

[Windysun1]

2 minutes ago, Speedbird said:

If this comes to fruition then we are truly in for an extended spell of severe weather

Can this effect what we have already seen in the FI models tonight?

[Speedbird]

2 minutes ago, Windysun1 said:

Can this effect what we have already seen in the FI models tonight?

For sure, the downstream repercussions would not be factored in by current modelling and i wouldn't expect that to be the case for a number of days

[BLAST FROM THE PAST]

10 hours ago, Griff said:

 Not my words remember... 

 

He’s right, mayhem in the mod thread as the cold gets watered down away due to the split?

 BFTP

Edited January 13, 2021 by BLAST FROM THE PAST

[Griff]

35 minutes ago, BLAST FROM THE PAST said:

He’s right, mayhem in the mod thread as the cold gets watered down away due to the split?

 BFTP

 

[Froze were the Days]

12 hours ago, Speedbird said:

If this comes to fruition then we are truly in for an extended spell of severe weather

If you new who was behind PV forecast you might become less excited...

[kumquat]

Met Office latest on the cold weather today/overnight/tomorrow:

 

[Griff]

1 hour ago, Froze were the Days said:

If you new who was behind PV forecast you might become less excited...

I'm aware, pinches of salt required, but just as long as these are genuine charts etc and not homemade with crayons... 

If you read back from a couple of pages, you'll see that your observation has been echoed by others

[Froze were the Days]

34 minutes ago, Griff said:

I'm aware, pinches of salt required, but just as long as these are genuine charts etc and not homemade with crayons... 

If you read back from a couple of pages, you'll see that your observation has been echoed by others

Yes couldn't agree more...it's some of the over exuberant wording which goes with it (at times) needs to be reigned in.

[Griff]

 

Edited January 13, 2021 by Griff

[Bullseye]

8 minutes ago, Griff said:

 

Thanks for this Griff! Always keen to hear Anthony thoughts and most welcome that he takes time to reply. 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

 

[Griff]

7 hours ago, Froze were the Days said:

Yes couldn't agree more...it's some of the over exuberant wording which goes with it (at times) needs to be reigned in.

Right on cue... 

 

[Griff]

 

[chris55]

is PVforecast Joe Bastardi? its all smoke an mirror in here lol.

[Griff]

10 hours ago, chris55 said:

is PVforecast Joe Bastardi? its all smoke an mirror in here lol.

No just an amateur who used to reside here previously. Big Joe makes money from ramping... 

 

[Griff]

 

[Griff]

You might have guessed I'm in full denial this morning and avoiding the model thread

 

[DanDorsetUK]

 

[Hotspur62]

50 minutes ago, Rapodo said:

 

So from that it looks like a continuation of the pattern we are in now with the trough all the way from western US across Atlantic and continually spreading across Europe into Russia and Siberia!!don’t think I have ever seen a chart like that before.Quite amazing.Sadly jet not far enough South and a west based NAO and for the South more rain looks likely.Further North things look better.That’s how I have interpreted that but I could be completely wrong-it’s all a learning curve for me so any pointers would be appreciated

[DanDorsetUK]

1 hour ago, Hotspur62 said:

So from that it looks like a continuation of the pattern we are in now with the trough all the way from western US across Atlantic and continually spreading across Europe into Russia and Siberia!!don’t think I have ever seen a chart like that before.Quite amazing.Sadly jet not far enough South and a west based NAO and for the South more rain looks likely.Further North things look better.That’s how I have interpreted that but I could be completely wrong-it’s all a learning curve for me so any pointers would be appreciated

If we continue to get the mirroring and downwelling it's only a matter of time before its reflected in the operationals. I think this is reason why in some later stages of the runs we are seeing height rises towards the Pacific. This should help push the PV South into Europe. If you go onto YouTube on his last 2 previous videos he's explaining it quite well.

Will be interesting if he does a follow up soon.

[Griff]

 

[Griff]

 

[Griff]

 

[Griff]

 

 

[Hotspur62]

If you look at the map that JC has put in that tweet then UK Is anything from about 3-6 degrees cooler for 2m temps from 25th January (as per GFS)!!.It’s always 10 days away though isn’t it.But if that was to come to fruition (yeah wishful thinking I know) then even the South would be in with a shout of snow!!