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56 minutes ago, Paul_1978 said:

Never heard of the CMC model!

Another name for GEM

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12 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

Good to share.. 

 

Does that mean the Canadian (GEM?) Should be taken more seriously. But ouch GFS. That should burn.

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4 minutes ago, jvenge said:

Does that mean the Canadian (GEM?) Should be taken more seriously. But ouch GFS. That should burn.

It does indeed I’ll be having a look at this model now, certainly not the cream of the crop EC unmistakably king. I think the UKMO has been performing poor too probably similar to that ot GEM/GFS or a tad better. 

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Fascinating to view the 850hPa temp anomalies from the last 20 GFS runs - it highlights how much the forecasts are flipping and flopping!

 

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Well, leaving (recently chaotic!) deterministic models aside, latest monthly output leans to -ve temp anomalies next ca. 2-3 weeks; slow-moving/blocked patterns; marked mobility/zonality considered less probable... *but* NB: blocks can ultimately = mild as well as cold!

 

 

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