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Paul

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Posted
  • Location: aberdeen 65m
  • Weather Preferences: Snow in winter Sun in summer
  • Location: aberdeen 65m
6 minutes ago, knocker said:

The thread might be of interest

 

I've a feeling this one will barely touch the surface .

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
7 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

 

Not another one with a bloody TARDIS!

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Posted
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, cold!
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon
1 hour ago, drm said:

I've a feeling this one will barely touch the surface .

Yes, I think I agree now, wonder actually if the trop has in recent days imprinted on the strat rather than the other way around.  If so, I don't think the mechanism is well understood, just adds to the complexity!

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Posted
  • Location: aberdeen 65m
  • Weather Preferences: Snow in winter Sun in summer
  • Location: aberdeen 65m
21 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:

Yes, I think I agree now, wonder actually if the trop has in recent days imprinted on the strat rather than the other way around.  If so, I don't think the mechanism is well understood, just adds to the complexity!

Agreed,no 2 Ssw,s so hard to say how each will act,lots of other things influence the downwelling to I think,this may not be the one with our name on it this time 

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Posted
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hoar Frost, Snow, Misty Autumn mornings
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL
26 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

 

We all know how this ends.

charliebrown.jpg.174437a4e45d5d38ba8ea1e20a961cab.jpg

Edited by Yarmy
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Posted
  • Location: Canmore, AB 4296ft|North Kent 350ft|Killearn 330ft
  • Location: Canmore, AB 4296ft|North Kent 350ft|Killearn 330ft

I guess a broken clock is right twice a day

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Posted
  • Location: south london, sutton
  • Location: south london, sutton

There's always a *risk* of something more pronounced into lowland S England given high likelihood of below or mostly below avg temps next week to mid-Feb, but threat of more *extreme* cold/v snowy conditions still considered low, ca. 10-15% (unlikely matching e.g. Feb-March '18)

 

from Ian Ferguson 

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Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook

Given how extreme Feb/Mar 18 was, I think that's probably wise to say its not as likely to get quite that extreme, sounds more like the long term models are more going along a DecJan 10/ December 2010/ March 2013 type event, long lasting but without the extreme blast of Feb/Mar 18.

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Posted
  • Location: Live in NW Kent by the Thames & work in SE London
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy November to March and Sunny and warm April to October
  • Location: Live in NW Kent by the Thames & work in SE London
11 hours ago, kold weather said:

Given how extreme Feb/Mar 18 was, I think that's probably wise to say its not as likely to get quite that extreme, sounds more like the long term models are more going along a DecJan 10/ December 2010/ March 2013 type event, long lasting but without the extreme blast of Feb/Mar 18.

Let's hope so The SE generally had more snow in 2010 than last year as impressive as it was for the depth of cold temps and the spell lasted much longer aswe

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Posted
  • Location: Netherlands close to the coast
  • Location: Netherlands close to the coast
17 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

Fwiw, There is no strong pos NAO forecast .........

nao.sprd2.gif

(as always click on image to see the correct updated version) 

Edited by ArHu3
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