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Paul

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

 

 

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

 

 

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Posted
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Varied and not extreme.
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
7 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

 

 

 

7 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

 

 

Can anyone more knowledgeable please explain to me how these aren't mutually exclusive?

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Posted
  • Location: Chisinau, Moldova.
  • Location: Chisinau, Moldova.
12 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

Good to share.. 

 

Does that mean the Canadian (GEM?) Should be taken more seriously. But ouch GFS. That should burn.

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Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
4 minutes ago, jvenge said:

Does that mean the Canadian (GEM?) Should be taken more seriously. But ouch GFS. That should burn.

It does indeed I’ll be having a look at this model now, certainly not the cream of the crop EC unmistakably king. I think the UKMO has been performing poor too probably similar to that ot GEM/GFS or a tad better. 

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Posted
  • Location: Hadleigh, Suffolk
  • Weather Preferences: An Alpine climate - snowy winters and sunny summers
  • Location: Hadleigh, Suffolk

Fascinating to view the 850hPa temp anomalies from the last 20 GFS runs - it highlights how much the forecasts are flipping and flopping!

 

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Posted
  • Location: Kensington
  • Location: Kensington

Well, leaving (recently chaotic!) deterministic models aside, latest monthly output leans to -ve temp anomalies next ca. 2-3 weeks; slow-moving/blocked patterns; marked mobility/zonality considered less probable... *but* NB: blocks can ultimately = mild as well as cold!

 

 

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Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)

 

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