Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

Model output discussion 25th Jan - The final third of winter beckons..


Paul

Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Cork City(Southern Ireland)
  • Location: Cork City(Southern Ireland)

Agreement between the big 2 now of winds turning southeasterly and dragging up milder air by Monday.

Hopefully upgrades for the longer term tomorrow as it's starting to look like another 2 day event

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: oldham
  • Location: oldham
2 minutes ago, January Snowstorm said:

Agreement between the big 2 now of winds turning southeasterly and dragging up milder air by Monday.

Hopefully upgrades for the longer term tomorrow as it's starting to look like another 2 day event

Thursday to Sunday.... 2 day event?

  • Like 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Rotherham
  • Location: Rotherham
4 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

1) At 108, theres a swathe of -10 uppers across the SE,  2) you've gone and jinxed it for us now - lol,  3) Theres unlikely to be a snow FEST anywhere this weekend, 4) I like to see the SE get a dumping as well anyway and love to see snow fans everywhere get tonked!.

Lol love sending out the fishing rod mate for the southerners! Looking at the heights and flow id suggest there will be more snow for us than you think, slow moving wintry showers springs to mind. Will be interesting if them charts get within Euro4 range

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire

Certainly some cutting into Greenland. .which needs eyeing from here on through raw-output. ..

And oddly short waving could aid us for once ' in regards to backdoor. .or perhaps front door Greenland heights establishment. ...

gfsnh-0-174.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Hemingfield, South Yorkshire (49m / 160ft ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Summer Sunshine / Winter Snow
  • Location: Hemingfield, South Yorkshire (49m / 160ft ASL)
9 minutes ago, inghams85 said:

Notice how things are quieter because the South East isn't getting as low uppers or isn't within the cold pool lol excellent run for Central/North East England though! Snow fest fri/sat/Sunday here!

Now now let's not get IMBY!  I am a Southerner living oop North so why can't we all share the cold and snow (if it arrives?!)

2 minutes ago, January Snowstorm said:

Agreement between the big 2 now of winds turning southeasterly and dragging up milder air by Monday.

Hopefully upgrades for the longer term tomorrow as it's starting to look like another 2 day event

Well it will be at least five days between Wednesday and Sunday and anything after is FI so not really a two day event no!

  • Like 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: west yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: extreme weather
  • Location: west yorkshire
2 minutes ago, January Snowstorm said:

Agreement between the big 2 now of winds turning southeasterly and dragging up milder air by Monday.

Hopefully upgrades for the longer term tomorrow as it's starting to look like another 2 day event

2 day event really. Sorry but that's not correct. Starting to turn colder Wednesday onwards lasting at least till Sunday on latest gfs output. And even if we do get southerly sourced air trust me it will still be cold at the surface. And as some of the experts on here are saying short term pain for long term gain. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Maldon, Essex
  • Location: Maldon, Essex
2 minutes ago, January Snowstorm said:

Agreement between the big 2 now of winds turning southeasterly and dragging up milder air by Monday.

Hopefully upgrades for the longer term tomorrow as it's starting to look like another 2 day event

Not sure what charts you're looking at to be honest,

And next Monday is a week away, Total speculation at that range with the current set up.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Rayleigh, Essex. 68m asl
  • Location: Rayleigh, Essex. 68m asl
2 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

1) At 108, theres a swathe of -10 uppers across the SE,  2) you've gone and jinxed it for us now - lol,  3) Theres unlikely to be a snow FEST anywhere this weekend, 4) I like to see the SE get a dumping as well anyway and love to see snow fans everywhere get tonked!.

Fantastic response. There really is something for everyone with this impending cold spell.  All models agree on a cold spell and that in itself is odd as we spend 80% of winter debating which model is wrong. Sure they all have different endings but some of us here, hopefully all of us, are going to get some of the white stuff. And enough to enjoy with out families and friends.

And folks, if and when it arrives, don't be on here looking at when it ends, but ENJOY

 

 

 

 

 

  • Like 8
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: OSLO, Norway
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Storms, Heat, Thunderstorms
  • Location: OSLO, Norway

As wonderful as it is seeing precipitation charts for next weekend and the prospect of a few snow showers or even a trough, a quick reminder of what was showing for today, this time last week should be noted, to what is actually verifying. Take a look, given the fantastic inputs from the more knowledgable on here of the background signals, we stand our best shot at something to salvage this tease of a winter within the next few weeks... I look forward to comparing next Mondays output to what is currently progged by the models :)

 

 

 

Screen Shot 2017-02-06 at 22.28.52.png

 

Screen Shot 2017-02-06 at 22.33.31.png

Edited by -uksnow-
Wrong chart..
  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: HILL OF TARA IRELAND
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW ICE
  • Location: HILL OF TARA IRELAND
2 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

Thursday to Sunday.... 2 day event?

Yes it's clear from all models it 4*days at present. You know the saying you can bring a horse to water but you can't make him drink it:)

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.

So is everyone now looking west at T+201?

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Barrow-upon-Soar, Nth Leics, 50mASL
  • Weather Preferences: Deep snow, biting winds, frigid temperatures and thunderstorms
  • Location: Barrow-upon-Soar, Nth Leics, 50mASL
38 minutes ago, winterof79 said:

Take a few seconds to look at this and when our next m-ld spell comes you will appreciate what a special chart this is

graphe3_1000_262.0400085449219_32.459999

We will not be out of the freezer too long, if at all, looking at the trend

Wow! That's the best graph I've ever seen

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: near dalmellington E ayrshire 302m asl
  • Weather Preferences: mediterranean summer
  • Location: near dalmellington E ayrshire 302m asl

cant see us getting a better chance than this with a super block to our east and a dead atlantic if we get nothing from this we may as well just give up well its snowing already here for the past few hours and im confident many others will get the same in the next week:D

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Heckmondwike, West Yorkshire
  • Location: Heckmondwike, West Yorkshire
1 minute ago, chionomaniac said:

So is everyone now looking west at T+201?

Too busy waiting for the blasted 120hr fax chart to update lol

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL

Just look at the state of the Atlantic, for what its worth it won't be turning milder even in a SE'rly flow with heights trying to build towards Greenland.

gfs-0-216.png?18

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: North East Cotswolds, 232m, 761feet ASL
  • Location: North East Cotswolds, 232m, 761feet ASL

DP for next Wed, colder than 850s.  Might look warm but it won't feel it!!

IMG_4219.PNG

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
6 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

186 flow allignment- look at the angle of isolines - as posted earlier lets put the greenland high theory to the test

IMG_2384.thumb.PNG.9bfcfa697a940c5429563c834b0e2773.PNG

 

Hi Steve, sorry to be a nuisance. But what is an 'isoline'? I understand isobars, isotherms and isoclines...But isolines have me completely baffled.:cc_confused:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: North East Cotswolds, 232m, 761feet ASL
  • Location: North East Cotswolds, 232m, 761feet ASL

If we can get a direct Northerly from this it'll have some serious bite to it !!IMG_4221.thumb.PNG.0d444ecfe6cc50192756049c5d33c73e.PNG

IMG_4222.PNG

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

    UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2024-03-29 07:13:16 Valid: 29/03/2024 0600 - 30/03/2024 0600 THUNDERSTORM WATCH - FRI 29 MARCH 2024 Click here for the full forecast

    Nick F
    Nick F
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    Difficult travel conditions as the Easter break begins

    Low Nelson is throwing wind and rain at the UK before it impacts mainland Spain at Easter. Wild condtions in the English Channel, and more rain and lightning here on Thursday. Read the full update here

    Netweather forecasts
    Netweather forecasts
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

    UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2024-03-28 09:16:06 Valid: 28/03/2024 0800 - 29/03/2024 0600 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - THURS 28 MARCH 2024 Click here for the full forecast

    Nick F
    Nick F
    Latest weather updates from Netweather
×
×
  • Create New...