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February 2017 C.E.T. forecasts


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CET averages and extremes for February

 

12.4 ... warmest Feb day (mean temp) 4th Feb 2004

10.0 ... lowest daily extreme max (16th Feb 1928)

7.9 ... warmest month of Feb 1779
7.5 ... second warmest month of Feb 1869
7.3 ... tied third warmest month of Feb 1990 and 1998

7.2 ... fifth warmest month of Feb 1794

6.4 ... 2011 CET (tied with six other years as 21st warmest)

6.2 ... 2014 CET (tied with 1877 as 32nd warmest)
 

4,9 ... 2016 CET

4.8 ... mean for 1987-2016
4.7 ... mean for 2001-2016 and also for 1986-2015
4.4 ... mean 1981-2010
4.2 ... mean for 1971-2000
4.0 ... mean for 1801-1900 and 1901-2000 and also for 2015

3.9 ... mean for 1659-2016 (all 358 years)
3.8 ... mean for 1961-1990 and 1701-1800 and also for 2012

3.2 ... 2013 CET

2.9 ... mean for 1659-1700

-1.1 ... fifth coldest month of Feb, coldest in recent years 1986
-1.6 ... fourth coldest month of Feb 1740
-1.7 ... third coldest month of Feb 1855
-1.8 ... second coldest month of Feb 1895
-1.9 ... coldest month of Feb 1947

-2.4 ... highest daily extreme min (29th 1904)
-2.8 ... highest daily extreme min, not leap year day (27th, 1929)

-8.8 ... coldest Feb day (mean temp) 9th Feb 1816

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Enter your forecast in this thread before the end of the day Tuesday 31st January,

or with increasing time penalties before the end of the day Friday 3rd February. Good luck!

Edited by Roger J Smith
updated mean for all years (no change, just forgot to add 2016).
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I had a look at some data from the CET zone and compared a few days that were last reported, then took the missing data from 18th to today, average that I estimated was 7.5 to 8.0 for that period (10

CET extremes for February (1772-2016) and 1981-2010 means ____________________________________________________________ DATE .. MAX (year) ... ... MIN (year) ... ... ... 1981-2010 avg, and cu

5.8c please, expecting HLB but in the wrong position for a cold UK.

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I'd love to see a cold February. However, I'm going to hazard a guess of 3.6c. I don't think it'll be relentlessly mild throughout, but I doubt that any wintry spells will be protracted enough to give a cold CET. I also have a feeling that it'll be colder towards the end.

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