February 2017 C.E.T. forecasts

[Summer Sun]

5.6 to the 8th

1.2 above the 61 to 90 average

0.8 above the 81 to 10 average

[Summer Sun]

5.1 to the 9th

0.8 above the 61 to 90 average

0.4 above the 81 to 10 average

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield down to 4.2C  just -0.1C below normal.

[Mapantz]

6°C here, 0.6°C above the MetO derived average.

[Summer Sun]

4.8 to the 10th

0.5 above the 61 to 90 average

0.1 above the 81 to 10 average

[BornFromTheVoid]

Min today is 0.1C, while maxima look like reaching about 4C, so a drop to 4.5C is likely on tomorrows update.

After that, the 06z GFS has the CET at:

4.4C to the 12th (2.6: -2.1)
4.4C to the 13th (5.0: +1.0)
4.5C to the 14th (4.9: +1.5)
4.6C to the 15th (6.9: +3.1)
4.8C to the 16th (8.1: +4.4)
5.0C to the 17th (8.3: +4.6)
5.3C to the 18th (8.7: +4.9)
5.5C to the 19th (10.0: +6.0) [Record High: 10.6C]
5.7C to the 20th (10.2: +6.4)

Looks like the 12th could be the low point for the month. Looking further ahead, the likely upper and lower ranges are now 5.7C and 3.2C but, as the graph shows, the average temperature after the 15th would be record breaking...

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield down to 3.7C -0.6C below normal. Another drop for today and then up up and away from Tuesday.

[summer blizzard]

Given the reduced number of days available and outlook to the 20th, it looks likely that Feb will end up a fairly mild month. 

[Don]

22 minutes ago, summer blizzard said:

Given the reduced number of days available and outlook to the 20th, it looks likely that Feb will end up a fairly mild month. 

Yes, it's looking odds on that February will be above average at this stage.

[Summer Sun]

Estimated figure

4.81 to the 11th

0.53 above the 61 to 90 average

 

[snowray]

Tomorrow should be the last day of drops, could see some big rises after mid month as things warm up.

[Chris.R]

5.1°C (+0.4) here. 

Mean min: 3.0°C (+0.9)

Mean max: 7.5°C (+0.2) 

 I thought I might get below average but it's not to be. Minimums in particular have been higher than expected due to cloud. 

 

[NorthYorksWeather]

3.9c to the 11th here, 0.1c above the 1981-2010 average.

Expecting a drop to average tomorrow, before a gradual rise this coming week.

[damianslaw]

Quite likely to hit the low point in values tomorrow, then a steady climb upwards for the foreseeable. Highly unlikely to end up below average even if we see a marked colder period to end the month. A finish about a degree above norm very plausible, if not higher, but perhaps 25% chance we may end up between 0.5 and 1 degree above norm, if we see more pronounced colder conditions to end the month. Next week may see some chilly nights which could peg the CET back a little, conversely if the flow is more SW mild nights will occur.

[Summer Sun]

Looks like Hadley's return was short lived

No estimated figures either

[Chris.R]

Someone likes their holidays too much. 

Edited February 13, 2017 by Chris.R

[NorthYorksWeather]

As expected a drop down to 3.8c here today, bang on the 1981-2010 average.

Rising from Wednesday onwards and with double digits being forecast can't see a chance of Feb finishing anything but above average now, but still a long way to go.

[Chris.R]

Almost into double digits already today with the constant sun. Mean has risen to 5.2°C (+0.5)

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield down to 3.5C A slight rise tomorrow unless it's a cold night. Then up up up and more up and away.

[Summer Sun]

Hadley is not accessible at the moment

[ARTDEMOLE]

Met Office Hadley   Back with us...      4.5c.    Anomaly     0.4c.   Provisional to 13th.     Happy days...

[Summer Sun]

4.5 to the 13th

0.4 above the 61 to 90 average

0.1 below the 81 to 10 average

[The PIT]

Still on 3.5C in Sunny Sheffield.

[The PIT]

No change in Sunny Sheffield.

[Chris.R]

5.4°C (+0.7) here. 

Mean min: 3.2°C (+1.1)

Mean max: 7.9°C (+0.6)  

 An accelerating upward trend now especially after a max of 11.5°C today.