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SE & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 12/1/2017 11z ---->


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It's settling now 

I think snow chances this evening for most of us that live at low-levels will depend very much on how quickly the colder and drier arctic air undercuts the rain from the NW - which will relate to how

I've only just realised what a bunch of nutters we all are lol. All this drama for a 'bit' of snow .... I've spent hours if not days n days watching all this unfold .....Now all I'm left with is about

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1 minute ago, Marie said:

Really , mine says S/westerly still .Maybe I need to upgrade my weather station 

Mine's just started to show more of a northerly. (link below) Temps,DP and pressure dropping and rain increasing.. Hopefully after 5pm will see some of the white stuff falling past the lamppost :pardon:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IWELWYN8

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Staff have started putting grit on the paths around my local Waitrose in Raynes Park.  Do they know something we don't?

Raining still / 5.5C.

Edited by mulzy
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Stansted airport current + forcast. These are normally pretty good.

TAF: EGSS 121059Z 1212/1318 23009KT 9999 FEW040 BECMG 1212/1215 33010KT 6000 -RA BKN010 TEMPO 1212/1214 RA BKN008 PROB40 TEMPO 1214/1216 3000 RASN BKN004 TEMPO 1216/1219 31018G30KT 0800 SN BKN002 PROB30 TEMPO 1216/1219 +SN BECMG 1219/1222 9999 NSW BECMG 1221/1224 27009KT TEMPO 1306/1309 27022G35KT 3000 SHRASN BKN005 PROB30 TEMPO 1306/1309 1000 SHSN BKN002 TEMPO 1309/1318 27022G35KT

 

So yes to snow albeit unlikely to be heavy snow, but they are saying that the event will finish sometime between 7pm & 10pm. I guess we new that anyway. Next TAF is due out soon so the update will be interesting.

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1 minute ago, Ed Stone said:

Defo southwesterly over here...And...the rain has duly arrived.

Yep been raining hard here for a good couple of hours now .Lets hope those temps and DP start to tumble soon 

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3 minutes ago, Badgers01 said:

yes i am i worked at LHR in a senior role at the time - it was costly both to reputation and profits - but it never was teetering on bankruptcy they had literally billions in positive cash balances - i don't think the trainers on a course about shovelling snow really know or understand what they are talking about in relation to the financial viability of LHR.

 

Well like I said, that's just what we were told and the reason given for Heathrow having now hired thousands of snow clearance operatives on standby and having invested in snow ploughs and other clearance equipment. Of course, us stupid manual labourers wouldn't have a clue about the mysterious workings of senior level Gods.

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1 minute ago, Stu_London said:

Huge Wintryness upgrade on the NW radar in the last 10 minutes.

Areas now affected

Cotswolds, Chilterns, West Mids, Dartmoor, Exmoor, Mendips, most of Wales

 

That's what finally kicked Mr Schafernacker into saying we WERE going to get some proper snow in Kent tonight after all :-D He's been looking like he's having a nervous breakdown all afternoon, now he can see that it IS going to snow down South! :-D

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Temp hovering around 4c here in St Albans, Herts. 

Pouring rain and very dark. 

Reports coming in now of rain turning to snow around Birmingham even in the city centre. 

One hopes the ppn gains intensity as it leaves the West Midlands and pulsates NE across our region before quickly pulling away SE. 

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4 minutes ago, Stu_London said:

Huge Wintryness upgrade on the NW radar in the last 10 minutes.

Areas now affected

Cotswolds, Chilterns, West Mids, Dartmoor, Exmoor, Mendips, most of Wales

 

Def changes here in last half hour. Its sleet and 'trying to snow'

The sun wont of course have much of a influence (going down now)  guess evaporating cooling helps

Still think places further south will get some snow

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To confirm from a personal perspective it is indeed sleeting here in Bristol. I think the SE are in a fantastic position for snow, with evening approaching, colder air undercutting quickly and readily turning to sleet and snow across SW, West Midlands and South Wales, all the best!

Plus the front has a long way to go before reaching the SE could be in time for rush hour!

Edited by Ben Sainsbury
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2 minutes ago, stewfox said:

Def changes here in last half hour. Its sleet and 'trying to snow'

The sun wont of course have much of a influence (going down now)  guess evaporating cooling helps

Still think places further south will get some snow

I agree. MetO app on phone has consistently pointed to at least two hours heavy snow for Rochester with start time varying between 6pm and 7pm

Edited by VillagePlank
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