SE & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 12/1/2017 11z ---->

[PLANET THANET]

3 minutes ago, A Wintry Mix said:

Thanet council have shut sea defences along the north coast.

Temp 5.7c

did not even know that we had sea defences in thanet

[john mac]

Sleet just starting in chingford

[snowfall09]

Live HD cam in central London, things about to get interesting. 

http://www.guoman.com/corporate/web_cam_page.html

[Lampostwatcher]

Heavy sleet 3.1c dew p 2.3c

[Weathizard]

Still absolutely pouring it down in East Sussex at a decently elevation - as expected 

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

DP has risen slightly, to 3.9, though temperature is 4.4C.

[Mark]

1 minute ago, Delka said:

Never seen this southeast thread so busy.. 119 recent browsing! Jesus Christ, that's a lot of disappointed people if nothing pulls off by tomorrow

I used to live in Somerset so don't talk to me about disappointment! 

Apart from maybe 1982, 1984 and 2009 

[A Wintry Mix]

2 minutes ago, stubbys said:

lol, I didn't know we had sea defences? Excuse my ignorance

Kent on line also said pavements on the seaward side will also be closed

[stewfox]

12 minutes ago, Surrey said:

Snowing heavily on Alysbury confirmed from work 

Light snow here now 20 miles from Aylesbury. I assume you meant there

 

[VillagePlank]

3 minutes ago, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:

DP has risen slightly, to 3.9, though temperature is 4.4C.

On old rule of thumb is that if you add temp+dp and it's less than 7degC then that gives approx 10% chance of snow. Then you add 10% chance for each degree you subtract from the total. Worked alright for me up the hills when I was a young man. So, at a total of 3degC gives a 50/50 probability of snow/rain.

Edited January 12, 2017 by VillagePlank

[Ben Blizzard]

5 minutes ago, Delka said:

Never seen this southeast thread so busy.. 119 recent browsing! Jesus Christ, that's a lot of disappointed people if nothing pulls off by tomorrow

That's what three years (for most of us) of snow starvation does to us! The first slushy mess that's forecast sends everyone into a frenzy!  You've got to laugh really. Seriously though,  I hope everyone gets lucky tonight, we've been patient so long, we deserve this, we NEED it! 

[Uxbridge90]

Temperature now plummeting, down to 3.3c and DP down to 2.5. Hopefully see some of the white stuff for a good 30-45 minutes later

[SLEETY]

2 minutes ago, Weathizard said:

Still absolutely pouring it down in East Sussex at a decently elevation - as expected.   Snow forecast about 7 in Brighton on BBC webpage

[warrenb]

OK, so centre now passed and winds reversed to  NNE

[Snow Slave]

26 minutes ago, MONKEYJAM said:

Only if all this rain was snow this would be a good dump ! 8.4mm of rain so far, not shaw what that would be in snow depth?

No idea i would guess alot of snow! Really really heavy rain here in southeast Kent,  Dymchurch since 2pm,  Nothing but rain rain rain....

[MONKEYJAM]

All going nicely in the right direction!  3.6c dp 2.9c I think pressure has bottomed out now at 994

[Ben Lewis]

At my sisters in Harpenden Herts. 

The change over is happening- decent size flakes mixed with rain 

[mishy]

It's snowing in Dunstable!

[Lampostwatcher]

1 minute ago, Uxbridge90 said:

Temperature now plummeting, down to 3.3c and DP down to 2.5. Hopefully see some of the white stuff for a good 30-45 minutes later

Exact same temp and dew p as me atm lol

[XLNC]

Temp down 2c and rain turning to sleet here.

[tomp456]

Shoreham Airport forecasting sleet 

 

TAF: EGKA 121403Z 1215/1220 23010KT 9999 SCT035 BECMG 1215/1218 33020KT 7000 -RA BKN012 TEMPO 1215/1217 4500 RA BKN009 TEMPO 1215/1217 34025G35KT TEMPO 1217/1220 34025G35KT 3000 RASN BKN004 

[scottyuk]

Temp and DP holding at around 2.3 and 1.5 respectively (Ampthill weather station)
I get the impression that Milton Keynes and Bedford are right on the cusp for getting snow. If we're going to see anything then it will be from around 17:00 onwards.
 

[Lampostwatcher]

I dhould see snow soon come on 

[Ben Lewis]

Snowing in Harpenden 

[Uxbridge90]

1 minute ago, Lamposangel delightcher said:

Exact same temp and dew p as me atm lol

Well, I am using this weather station: http://www.hillviewweather.co.uk/ so could explain why. Couldn't find one for Uxbridge so Harrow is the nearest, can't imagine there's too much difference!