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South West & Central Southern England Regional Discussion 11/1/2017 ---->


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Posted
  • Location: Yate, South Gloucestershire
  • Location: Yate, South Gloucestershire

    Was just about to post the NetWx-sr 18Z myself was surprised to see it turning to sleet on the back edge by 1pm though

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    Your all taking to much notice of these weather apps. They are next to useless and not meant for enthusiasts like us with time better spent on looking at radars and temperature gauges. My own take is

    There's quite a rash of showers over Japan, they might make it this far?

    Good morning everyone .  Just before I post  The amazing to weather phenomena that I've witnessed this morning ,  I'd like to say Ian Ferguson  if you read this and see this picture you have

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Molesey Surrey
  • Location: Molesey Surrey
    8 hours ago, karlos1983 said:

    :good:ME 

    Not looking good now for Surrey ! Maybe a little snow but lots of rain !!!! God I hope I'm wrong!! 

    If you get it enjoy people 

    Dont think it's worth using my flexy day just yet ! 

    Edited by Aron102
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    Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny summers. cold snowy winters
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl

    Mmmm what a change in the forecast for here. Heavy snow replaced with sleet and perhaps light snow. Hopefully back to where it was come morning.

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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

    12z Hirlam very consistent with light snow shower signal across the West Country for early hours Friday morning;

     

    hirlamuk-42-23-0.png

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    hirlamuk-42-25-0.png

    hirlamuk-42-26-0.png

    hirlamuk-42-27-0.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

    The 0z GFS also offering the prospect of a scattering of West Country light snow flurries during the early hours of Friday;

    27-574UK.gif

    Along with a possible "chain" later in the day too;

    42-574UK.gif

    All in all, various modelling offers some form of snow flurry/light snow shower activity over the next 60hrs or so, after tomorrow's predominantly wet weather has shifted SE. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon

    Can't believe I just woke up at 5am sodding hell. 

    Temperature is 3.2c which is cooler than expected... Baby steps :D

    First thing I did was tentatively open my met offic app while still laying in bed in dark.... phew snow is still there for hours :rofl: 

    Screenshot_2017-01-12-05-57-08.png

    Edited by Nights King
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    Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny summers. cold snowy winters
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl

    Phew. The snow is back on the app. First hurdle out the way. So the day has arrived! At last. Good luck everyone!

    Edited by festivalking
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    Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne

    Cloudy at the moment and as yet no rain. Temp 7C and a westerly breeze.

    Still some doubt about the snow in the SW but looks increasingly likely it will be a rain event with the possible exception of the moors.

    1hourprecip_d02_26.pngmaxsnowrate_d02_29.png2mdewpoint_d02_26.png

    2mdewpoint_d02_32.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny summers. cold snowy winters
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl

    The dream lives on!

    Screenshot_20170112-064329.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Cyprus and North east Swindon. 104 ASL
  • Location: Cyprus and North east Swindon. 104 ASL

    Half hour ago Swindon was only down for 2 hours of heavy snow on the BBC website, similar to local BBC weather just now, however the BBC website now has us down for this - maybe the front will hang around a little longer.

    IMG_3991.PNG

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    Posted
  • Location: Locks Heath, Southampton
  • Location: Locks Heath, Southampton

    Not the best of set ups for south coast, very different to the awesome event Jan 2010. The wind that supplies the fuel is the very thing that will hurry it through. Blink and we may miss it. Still, subtle changes could make a significant difference.

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    Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

    Well I'm pretty stubborn, so I'm going with nowcasting for today 

    AWD nice find!! 

    7 hours ago, Mapantz said:

    @karlos1983 Have your got your station running on Wunderground yet? I see they've finally fixed some of their issues. Only took about 5 months!

    Will be trying to sort today.

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    Posted
  • Location: Cyprus and North east Swindon. 104 ASL
  • Location: Cyprus and North east Swindon. 104 ASL

    Already sleet on higher ground, was this not meant to start as rain?

    IMG_3992.PNG

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    Posted
  • Location: lizard pen south cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: summer thunderstorms snow snow snow
  • Location: lizard pen south cornwall

    Rain setting in now, here in the Tropics. Hope some of you guys up the line see some of the white stuff:)

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    Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
    14 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:

    Already sleet on higher ground, was this not meant to start as rain?

    IMG_3992.PNG

    That display is only indicative, based on conditions, i.e. local temperature & precipitation it "suggests" that the precip will be of a certain type, there's no guarantee it actually is of that type. Unless of course you are under it and it is of that type of precipitation,. In which case the display is correct..

    If you see what I mean :)

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    Posted
  • Location: Bulford, Wiltshire 98m asl
  • Weather Preferences: frosty, lots of snow and good ol fashion thunderstorms.
  • Location: Bulford, Wiltshire 98m asl

    Morning all, well looks like I won't be seeing much of the beautiful white stuff. So good luck to all of you in the sweet spots today.

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    Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
    3 minutes ago, Dorsetbred said:

    That display is only indicative, based on conditions, i.e. local temperature & precipitation it "suggests" that the precip will be of a certain type, there's no guarantee it actually is of that type. Unless of course you are under it and it is of that type of precipitation,. In which case the display is correct..

    If you see what I mean :)

    So precip type radars are useless is what your saying :shok:

    i have planned my entire day around observing that very radar, and it's useless :wallbash:

    Edited by karlos1983
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    Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
    1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

    So precip type radars are useless is what your saying :shok:

    Karlos, nay you place words into my mouth:whistling:.  After all I've seen sleet this year and the radar merely suggested rainfall, based upon the conditions present. It is "indicative".

    I only say this because I've been caught by it before, so when people ask me I stay on the careful side of what it might happen in the form of precipitation. (After all we know it's a damn fine line between the liquid & the solid!)

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    Posted
  • Location: Somerset midway between Bath&Wells. Mendips 200m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and lots of it or warm and sunny, no mediocre dross
  • Location: Somerset midway between Bath&Wells. Mendips 200m asl

    Morning all, currently light rain here.

    BBC have me down as rain all day bar an hour of heavy snow at 5pm. Met have me as rain until 4pm then 3-4 hours of heavy snow. We will shall see. I've found a straw to wave at the sky in a menacing manner...BBC say it should currently be 5c, Met say 4c, actual temperature is 2.7c with sub zero dew points. So, if they're off by that margin now they may well be later too, or being a little colder than anticipated the temps may drop sooner than expected, turning the rain to snow a little earlier too.

     

    Yes, I know, it's female logic at work but it's my straw and I'll clutch it tightly whilst crossing fingers and toes. Anyone spots a dotty old woman hobbling and waving small, hollow things at the sky whilst chanting a charm, don't worry it's only me.

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    Posted
  • Location: Old Town, Swindon
  • Weather Preferences: Storms
  • Location: Old Town, Swindon
    18 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

    So precip type radars are useless is what your saying :shok:

    i have planned my entire day around observing that very radar, and it's useless :wallbash:

    Isn't it something about solid rain drops reflect radar better than snowflakes. Therefore radar images can't show falling snow quite so well? 

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    Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny summers. cold snowy winters
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
    25 minutes ago, Dorsetbred said:

    That display is only indicative, based on conditions, i.e. local temperature & precipitation it "suggests" that the precip will be of a certain type, there's no guarantee it actually is of that type. Unless of course you are under it and it is of that type of precipitation,. In which case the display is correct..

    If you see what I mean :)

     

    23 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

    So precip type radars are useless is what your saying :shok:

    i have planned my entire day around observing that very radar, and it's useless :wallbash:

    Crikey all these years I've put faith in these! I guess what could be of use is webcams (wunderground have some) , they don't lie! Anyone know a link or website to motorway cameras that could be another way to track it.

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    Posted
  • Location: Cyprus and North east Swindon. 104 ASL
  • Location: Cyprus and North east Swindon. 104 ASL

    yes the meto website as incresed the snow possibilty with 3 hours heave and 4 light, I wonder if this front is slowing down a little.

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