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South West & Central Southern England Regional Discussion 11/1/2017 ---->


A.J

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
Just now, numbnutts(uk) said:

if not tomorrow friday will do sure we will see something.its more favorable temp wise on fri:cold-emoji:

Plenty of snow showers were packing in on the forecast map so who knows, might have to go off chasing these showers  if they're not hitting this area 

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset

Enjoyed that points West forecast :)

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Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

Nice to see Ian mentioning some snow showers falling on behind the rain/wintry mess tomorrow night too.

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Posted
  • Location: Bs249ej
  • Location: Bs249ej
3 minutes ago, Smartie said:

Enjoyed that points West forecast :)

lol still scratching my head though positive thinking needed case of nowcasting. enjoy all whatever happens

 :cold-emoji:

Edited by numbnutts(uk)
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Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Harsh Frosts & Heavy Snow
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
2 hours ago, AWD said:

However, on Friday the 12z Hirlam shows PPN over the West Country and with conditions a lot less marginal on Friday, this would be snow for the majority (most likely in the form of flurries);

Ihirlamuk-42-35-0.png

hirlamuk-42-37-0.png

hirlamuk-42-38-0.png

Hands up who is doing an all-nighter tomorrow night??  Lol.


I said yesterday:

"I have a gut feeling there will be some pleasant surprises for some on Friday.. even if it's just a dusting. What usually happens is the main event is a let down and then there's some unexpected shower activity the day after when it's colder."

Still time for changes but it always seems to happen like this.

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset

Wouldn't be surprised if we had some sleet here before that front pulls away going by the forecast and east of the m5 sounds good, I'm only about a thousand yards west from junction 21 lol 

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Posted
  • Location: Bs249ej
  • Location: Bs249ej
1 minute ago, Smartie said:

Wouldn't be surprised if we had some sleet here before that front pulls away going by the forecast and east of the m5 sounds good, I'm only about a thousand yards west from junction 21 lol 

lucky you lol

 

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
Just now, numbnutts(uk) said:

lucky you lol

 

:p you live in the wrong part of Weston mate 

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Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Harsh Frosts & Heavy Snow
  • Location: Yate, Bristol

Well whatever happens.. it's nice to be able to radar watch tomorrow :drunk: 

Think it's been about 2 or 3 years :shok:

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Posted
  • Location: Cheddar Valley, 20mtrs asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and lots of it or warm and sunny, no mediocre dross
  • Location: Cheddar Valley, 20mtrs asl

East of the M5 is hugely better than the usual north of the M4. I know the graphics can't be taken literally but on the Points West forecast just now it showed the precipitation whipping through pretty quickly, seemed to be only a couple of hours where there's potential for it to be cold enough for snow whilst there's still something falling from the sky.

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset

Why can't the ECM 240h chart every verify, that would be a classic blizzard into the south west! 

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Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Harsh Frosts & Heavy Snow
  • Location: Yate, Bristol

Oxford area looks to be in the sweet spot. In the firing line for Thursday and Friday.

No doubt it will change again though 

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Posted
  • Location: Exeter
  • Location: Exeter

Been lurking and watching for a couple of years now and get frustrated around this time every year at both the weather and the carry on over in the MAD thread some days.

I'm about 250 yards west of the M5 so lamppost watching it is! Unless it shifts west a touch and stalls.....

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Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Harsh Frosts & Heavy Snow
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
5 minutes ago, Smartie said:

Why can't the ECM 240h chart every verify, that would be a classic blizzard into the south west! 

The ECM 240h has been trolling us since November.

One day.. :bomb:

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Posted
  • Location: Thornbury, South Glos
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes
  • Location: Thornbury, South Glos

Being in North Yate, I'm East of the M5 and North of the dreaded M4. What could possibly go wrong!

Fingers crossed for all hoping for snow.

Edited by John88B
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Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
5 minutes ago, Mark N said:

Ian Fergusson forecast here- http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/forecast-video/21416951

Your welcome :)

Right, thanks, so moving on..

Rain already showing in the western approaches.

Edited by Dorsetbred
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Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Harsh Frosts & Heavy Snow
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
8 minutes ago, Mark N said:

Ian Fergusson forecast here- http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/forecast-video/21416951

Your welcome :)

According to those graphics we only get about a 1-2 hour window of snow.

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Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
1 minute ago, MidnightSnow said:

According to those graphics we only get about a 1-2 hour window of snow.

That's 1 - 2 hrs more than I was expecting to be honest.

Will still watch the radar/window lick with interest tomorrow but it is the potential for any shower activity to enter our area tomorrow night that interests me more now.

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Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl

Spotlight weather showing back edge snow at best with snow showers for the moors into Friday. 

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Posted
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
31 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:

Oxford area looks to be in the sweet spot. In the firing line for Thursday and Friday.

No doubt it will change again though 

Looking forward to seeing a few inches:nea:

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Posted
  • Location: Work: Near Glasto Home: near Puriton
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny or cold and snowy. Nothing inbetween.
  • Location: Work: Near Glasto Home: near Puriton

Quiet in here at the moment... is everyone sleeping so they can stay awake tomorrow night?! 

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Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset

Could be a lot of rain here, going by the graphics on the points west forecast. A bit of interest for someone who doesn't mind heavy rain and strong winds! It'll be a busy affair tomorrow, that's for sure- and travelling will be rather horrid for anyone caught up in it.

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