South West & Central Southern England Regional Discussion 11/1/2017 ---->

[Zephyr]

Maybe some will make it across? 

[Paul T]

Oh come on!

The event was never on, NAE 48hr high res suggested nothing but rain, GFS only hinted at sleet and  the Met agreed.

Today has been exactly as we should all know it would have been...a chilly NW'rly moving in with alot of cold rain. 

HOWEVER....Its all a red herring !

Firstly, and excitingly, the showers tonight will be giving it big-guns across the whole SW; Keep an eye out, as some areas will have a nice few CMs by tomorrow morn.

Secondly, this pattern will continue over the next 48hrs... Check out the HGT 500-1000 maps. I can almost promise snow when they are below 522 hpa/mb.

Thirdly....next week: Cold cold cold from the East, with weather systems trying to form and push in = nice combo! 

 

[Terrence]

Saw 5 mins of sleet In Bath about 4.30 and that was on top of a hill. jaffa cakes poor. 

[SNOW CRYSTAL]

Light snow here at the moment.

[festivalking]

Equilibrium restored. Enjoying some sleet and snow falling. The dog didn't enjoy it as much!!

[Zephyr]

Quote

Ian Fergusson ‏@fergieweather  26m26 minutes ago

W COUNTRY 1950GMT RADAR These showers moving SE - where they survive crossing Wales - will bring sporadic snow showers to parts of W Country

 

[karlos1983]

Zypher you beat me too it.good news though.

Edited January 12, 2017 by karlos1983

[matt111]

The temperatures risen to 2.6°C but dewpoint has dropped to 0.8°C, which is the lowest it's been so far today, as the humidity's started falling.

[Super_Uwe]

 Ha ha! Just snowed here for about 2 minutes. First snow in 4 years even if it is the lightest of dustings! Possibly some more to come...

[Barbel]

Snow shower here now. First of many tonight with a bit of luck 

[Bristawl Si]

5 minutes ago, Super_Uwe said:

 Ha ha! Just snowed here for about 2 minutes. First snow in 4 years even if it is the lightest of dustings! Possibly some more to come...

Whereabouts in S Devon are you?

[karlos1983]

I think Jay from Cardiff could be in the snow soon!!

[Jayfromcardiff]

1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

I think Jay from Cardiff could be in the snow soon!!

Hopefully, showers popping up everywhere now I think some parts of the SW will get some too.

[Argyle1980]

We do have wintery showers down in west Cornwall but of soft hail.

but just 10mile to the east off truro its wet snow.

heavy hail shower now in a gusty wind.

Edited January 12, 2017 by Argyle1980

[Man With Beard]

51 minutes ago, Paul T said:

Oh come on!

The event was never on, NAE 48hr high res suggested nothing but rain, GFS only hinted at sleet and  the Met agreed.

Today has been exactly as we should all know it would have been...a chilly NW'rly moving in with alot of cold rain. 

HOWEVER....Its all a red herring !

Firstly, and excitingly, the showers tonight will be giving it big-guns across the whole SW; Keep an eye out, as some areas will have a nice few CMs by tomorrow morn.

Secondly, this pattern will continue over the next 48hrs... Check out the HGT 500-1000 maps. I can almost promise snow when they are below 522 hpa/mb.

Thirdly....next week: Cold cold cold from the East, with weather systems trying to form and push in = nice combo! 

 

Post of the day

[MidnightSnow]

We somehow need the welsh mountains to fall into the sea. 

[karlos1983]

Just now, Jayfromcardiff said:

Hopefully, showers popping up everywhere now I think some parts of the SW will get some too.

Fingers crossed, I'm not holding out much hope here!

[MP-R]

Seems to be the showers make it past the Welsh mountains then die a death around Cardiff and Newport!

[Super_Uwe]

17 minutes ago, Bristle boy said:

Whereabouts in S Devon are you?

Kingsbridge. Usually tropical here of course!

[festivalking]

Looks like the showers are coming to an end down here looking at the radar and the MO app. Been more sleet than snow but I'm claiming snow. Looking ahead that's it for now down here think the dp will rise tomorrow a bit. All eyes turn east but that looks like it might of run out of puff before it starts!

[The Enforcer]

3 hours ago, AWD said:

Mmmmm.............

The WRF NMM 12z has this Friday morning;

On this run it swings a little too much SE, into CS England & SE England, but a marginal correction westwards would bring more of the West Country into play.

Clutching at straws I know, but you are all telling me to be more positive.  I'm trying, I really am.

The higher resolution 5km NMM run is less optimistic, narrowing the band so it misses here by the usual 5 miles:

Hopefully, the 18z will shift the band further west. Annoyingly, the even higher resolution 2km NMM seems to have stopped working on 8th Jan.

[Argyle1980]

1 minute ago, festivalking said:

Looks like the showers are coming to an end down here looking at the radar and the MO app. Been more sleet than snow but I'm claiming snow. Looking ahead that's it for now down here think the dp will rise tomorrow a bit. All eyes turn east but that looks like it might of run out of puff before it starts!

Still a possibility of some shower activity over the moor between 12 and 3 in the morn. 

[Zephyr]

Looking forward to the pub run 18z high rezzers tonight don't think I have ever said that 

[Ali1977]

Shower activity pepping up in SE Wales, looks good for West Country but maybe just to far south for Swindon if they make it this far

[karlos1983]

On the plus side, it won't be snowing in the south east for much longer