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Roger J Smith

January 2017 C.E.T. forecasts

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On 12/26/2016 at 13:13, Dancerwithwings said:

Love the idea of -1.3c but ill stick with a below average realistic guess....  2.0c please

Very rare i do this.....All change...3.8c :cray:

Edited by Dancerwithwings

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Horrible feeling it is all going to change on the cusp as it did this month. I'll sit on the fence with 4c.

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1 hour ago, Froze were the Days said:

UKMO has this nailed with a westerly by this time next week and a fairly Atlantic regime - I'll plump for 5.5c

Indeed - may I make one final amendment to my entry, please : 4.7C?

Edited by chrisbell-nottheweatherman

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41 minutes ago, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:

Indeed - may I make one final amendment to my entry, please - 4.7C?

Chris, looks a wee bit like -4.7° :oops:

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3.9c please.

A lot of high pressure around, suggestive of cool, inversion type days.

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5.4 is my guess.

Just posted a table of forecasts which I will continue to edit.

 

https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/75427-cet-competition-the-scores-ongoing/?page=7

 

(edit) 82 forecasts by the deadline, median 3.9 C.

You can continue to post forecasts until end of 3rd of January with increasing late penalties.

 

These values remain untaken ... as of 1230 a.m. Sunday 1st (edit)

all values between --1.3, our lowest forecast, and 0.0, second lowest.

all values from 0.1 to 1.6

2.0, 2.4, 2.6, 2.7

5.0 

5.8, 5.9

6.1, 6.3, 6.5 (6.6 our second highest forecast)

6.7 to 9.4 (9.5 our highest forecast)

HAPPY NEW YEAR

 

Edited by Roger J Smith
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After being swayed by long range material for December, back to usual methods to start the year. CET range indicated 2,5 to 4,0C so I'll play the top range* and opt for the median of the punts.

3,9C please.

* To take cognisance of recent warming when comparing to decades past.

Edited by Nouska
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I've been waiting as long as possible to do this lol. 

 1.7°C please. :-) 

 

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Just now, Chris.R said:

I've been waiting as long as possible to do this lol. 

 1.7°C please. :-) 

 

Go all the way.....GFS 18z out at 9:30 :)

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