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January 2017 C.E.T. forecasts


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Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 would be nice :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 would be nice :-)

    Love the idea of -1.3c but ill stick with a below average realistic guess....  2.0c please

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    Posted
  • Location: Newton Aycliffe, County Durham... 90m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow and thunderstorms :)
  • Location: Newton Aycliffe, County Durham... 90m asl

    Didn't enter all of last years C.E.T month's so this will be my early new years resolution to enter every month next year and be in the top 10 :yahoo:

    So to kick it off i think a below average month ahead helped by high pressure and cold nights especially with the possibilty of an extended cold spell...

    2.3.c Please

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    Posted
  • Location: Newcastle Upon Tyne (Spital Tongues)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Newcastle Upon Tyne (Spital Tongues)

    Below is the January CET from 1659-2016 in blue, the 30 year average in red and the linear trend in black.

    nJoBuYs.png

    The CET this month is likely to finish somewhere between 5.7 and 6.6C after corrections. The average January following December within that range is 4.3C.

    The linear trend for the whole record is +0.49C per century. Following this trend gives a January CET of 4.1C.
    The linear trend since 1850 is +0.56C per century. Following this trend gives a January CET of 4.3C.
    The linear trend since 1950 is +2.56C per century. Following this trend gives a January CET of 4.9C.
    The linear trend over the last 50 years is +1.35C per century. Following this trend gives a January CET of 4.7C.
    The linear trend over the last 30 years is +0.90C per century. Following this trend gives a January CET of 4.8C.

    The last 2 years have each set a record for the warmest 30 year average January, at 4.57C and 4.63C. Anything greater than 0.8C this year will result in a 3rd consecutive record.

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    Posted
  • Location: Birmingham (Solihull), West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, thunder, hail & heavy snow
  • Location: Birmingham (Solihull), West Midlands

    Looking at the models about a week ago, you would probably be fooled into thinking January wouldn't start off all that cold (although I guess there were hints from one or two people of a chilly North-Westerly flow to establish). 

    Don't know what to think really, just hope the models aren't doing that usual 'let's play tricks on the cold weather fans and let them believe The Polar Express is coming to the UK' and then suddenly snatch the dream from us!

    My guess: 3*C! That train better come...

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    I'm going for 4.4C

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    Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough

    3.3c for me thanks.

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    While I would love it to be cold and snowy, and the charts are showing a cold beginning,  + Meto & others are saying below average through out Jan, I feel we are being led up the garden path again. So on that basis I will go for......

    4.9c please

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    Posted
  • Location: BIRMINGHAM B6 ASTON WM. About 112MASL 367.36FT
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWY WINTERS AVRAGE SPRING HOT SUMMERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS.
  • Location: BIRMINGHAM B6 ASTON WM. About 112MASL 367.36FT

    for jan im going 6.6c thanks.

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    Posted
  • Location: North Yate, South Glos
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes
  • Location: North Yate, South Glos

    I'm convinced it's going to be a cold one. 2.1C for me please. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Ok based on the fact that I have completely missed doing anything sensible with my December guess, I'll go for a completely uneducated guess at 3.8 C please

    Ta

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    Posted
  • Location: South ockendon essex
  • Weather Preferences: thunderstorms and HEAVY snow
  • Location: South ockendon essex

    May i change my 6.1 to 4.3 please? Thank you 

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