Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go

[northwestsnow]

Doesnt get much better than gfs6z !! Some places would get hammered.

The GEFS have been moving in this direction for a few days now , and we have an op on board.

[swfc]

1 hour ago, swfc said:

Would seem that way and yes hes been a great help during his time on here.The models this morning esp the gfs 6z to my eye have later in the run the makings of a proper scan based easterly and more blocking moving into iceland.May be a slow process but imo thats where its heading 

getting there!!!

[chris55]

very nice 06 GFS brrrrr

[seabreeze86]

The 6z is one of the best runs for snow I have ever seen, a polar low running down the east coast is the stuff dreams are made of. Hasn't happened in my lifetime but has in the past.

To good to be true probably, can't post charts on phone 

[West is Best]

Good lord what a run. That's a 1978/9 type chart. Blimey o'reilly

 

[northwestsnow]

By 264 we have deep snow cover and bitterly cold temps, -7 across the north...

[radiohead]

[SMU]

-14c uppers touching the NE coast @ 288

The whole of the UK sub -10c

....

[northwestsnow]

Lol -17 across scotland the 10th of jan..

[Gael_Force]

1 minute ago, seabreeze86 said:

The 6z is one of the best runs for snow I have ever seen, a polar low running down the east coast is the stuff dreams are made of. Hasn't happened in my lifetime but has in the past.

To good to be true probably, can't post charts on phone 

That isn't a true polar low .. just an ordinary low dragging down polar air. Will do  the business just as well and probably longer lasting than the genuine article.

[karlos1983]

there are boom Charts and then there are charts like this

BIBLICAL!!

No faux there, proper cold!!!

[northwestsnow]

Biblical run, think i need a lie down !!

[Luke Attwood]

My word the 6z is looking ridiculously cold!! Brr

[london-snow]

Fantastic 06z

 

And it's got below that magic mark of +300!!

in actual fact were virtually there by +240

[northwestsnow]

Surely this is the coldest snowiest run i have EVER seen in the internet era!!

[radiohead]

06Z GFS just keeps bringing the snow...What an FI.

[chionomaniac]

If I could programme a snow and cold lovers run into the GFS then the FI of the 06Z would be pretty much it for a perfect scenario. Pity it's FI really.

[SMU]

Frame it. Frame it because its unlikely to happen-

A full on snow event for the UK from top to tail in -12 continental air - Deep snow & accumulations followed by severe surface cold.

-12 dewpoints in london + -20c in Scotty

Edited December 29, 2016 by Steve Murr

[mhielte]

Whatever happens let us enjoy this run for the spectacle it provides. FI or not these are charts worth archiving!

[Guest]

Oh my word what a fantastic run from the 6Z... Cobra meeting required after that run. surely if that verified the country would be brought to a complete stand still..airports closed etc... a state of emergency and not in the USA for once... if the next 24hr of models follows in the same way we could well be onto something special

[karyo]

2 minutes ago, mhielte said:

Whatever happens let us enjoy this run for the spectacle it provides. FI or not these are charts worth archiving!

Exactly! This is similar to That ECM from 2012!

[Tim Bland]

Just for Fun but in FI even areas on the South cost are under 20cm of snow!  Would be a long cold snowy spell for the UK if the 06z GFS came off !

 

[West is Best]

Just now, mhielte said:

Whatever happens let us enjoy this run for the spectacle it provides. FI or not these are charts worth archiving!

I know. I almost totally agree. Even to see such a run is worth it

So reminiscent of 1978/9 where we had these north and north-east lows (point taken about whether it's a true polar low) which brought some massive snowfall. I can remember HUGE drifts: some of them were ten feet high over the hedgerows.

Can it still happen today? Is this just a dream?

[radiohead]

06Z GFS....unbelievably good for coldies. Right to the end of the run.

 

[Purga]

LOL - could there be a better chart set?