Jump to content
Cold?
Local
Radar
Snow?

Model Moans, Ramps and Banter


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: SE London Bromley
  • Weather Preferences: Very Cold with Fog, Frost and Snow all Hitting the Spot
  • Location: SE London Bromley
    5 hours ago, kumquat said:

    seeable is a terrible word - why did I even say that?

    Especially with only one eye

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
    • Replies 12k
    • Created
    • Last Reply

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Popular Posts

    This is wrong on so many levels...

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne

    It looks increasingly likely that the well sign posted cold spell may well come to fruition. Fortunately it looks like being very dry so hopefully it will lessen the negative impact of this on the elderly and infirm such as the likes of myself.

    • Like 4
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
    10 hours ago, radiohead said:

    My fear is that the second northerly (if it happens) will be shortened and watered down by the time it enters the reliable timeframe. This is something we've seen before in recent years.

    certainly is rubbish on 06Z unless you're up a mountain! very wet few days coming up from 6th, W Midlands, but all FI yet

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

    The sun was far from spotless in 1947? I think some folks were even attributing February's monster snowfalls to the high number of sunspots? So you'll forgive if I remain unconvinced, John?:)

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Bude
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme weather...heavy snow and heat waves
  • Location: Bude
    32 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

    The sun was far from spotless in 1947? I think some folks were even attributing February's monster snowfalls to the high number of sunspots? So you'll forgive if I remain unconvinced, John?:)

    I read somewhere the reason the fabled failed beast from the east back in 2012 that models picked up and completely flipped at t72 hours was down to the big uptick in solar activity around that time. Am i talking complete BS or is there any credence in that ?

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: Basically intresting weather,hot,cold,windy you name it
  • Location: sheffield

    I'm standing by what I said earlier,chilly/cold and dry,very little in the way of snow coming up,would be very surprised if there was a decent fall anywhere apart from the highest ground.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON
    8 minutes ago, cobbett said:

    Quite an impressive update from the metoffice - if you Ike cold of course ! Pretty much below avg thru Jan 

    any snowy stuff?

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Castle Black, the Wall, the North
  • Weather Preferences: Spanish Plumes, Blizzards, Severe Frosts :-)
  • Location: Castle Black, the Wall, the North

    Have to say the future is looking bright for coldies I'm happy to report according to the latest models, at last it looks like this winter will wake up with an increasing risk of snow and plenty of frost / fog.:D

    Edited by Frosty.
    • Like 5
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
    2 hours ago, markyo said:

    I'm standing by what I said earlier,chilly/cold and dry,very little in the way of snow coming up,would be very surprised if there was a decent fall anywhere apart from the highest ground.

    If the cold is in place then there is always a chance of disturbances turning up within the flow, so even it looks dry, never discount a surprise or two. But hey, lets not get ahead of ourselves, lets get the cold in place first.

    Edited by SteveB
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
    10 minutes ago, SteveB said:

    If the cold is in place then there is always a chance of disturbances turning up within the flow, so even it looks dry, never discount a surprise or two. But hey, lets not get ahead of ourselves, lets get the cold in place first.

    1st Jan 2010. We were looking forward to a very cold but very dry spell. Here in the Midlands we had resigned ourselves to the fact that we had some good frosts on the way, but we could forget about snow. I was all prepared for seeing wonderful pictures of places like Newcastle and Lowestoft blanketed in snow as I scraped the frost off my car. 

    Only took until the 5th before the first big snow arrived here. Think we only saw it coming for us in the West Mids within 48 hours of the event itself. 

    Edited by Gord
    • Like 4
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Corby 130 meters above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Corby 130 meters above sea level

    I am sure the toys will be thrown out of the pram soon.:)

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Not a fan of heatstroke.
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
    16 minutes ago, knocker said:

    Goddammit I''ve got so excited as the GFS churns out I've just wet myself. :shok:

    You couldn't make it up.  All those posts of rapture over the GFS and, latterly the ECM, and it seems that the UKMO output was right.  New Model Winter is real!

    Edited by chrisbell-nottheweatherman
    Correcting a minor grammatical error
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level

    No suprise for me.Think i will avoid the mod thread for a wee while.

     

     

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire SACRA MEMBER 16/122
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire SACRA MEMBER 16/122
    Just now, knocker said:

    Goddammit I''ve got so excited as the GFS churns out I've just wet myself. :shok:

    LOL Knocks

    said it this morning and will say it again 

    until UKMO on board not convinced of anything

    C.S

    watch the ECM through out a stonker

    Edited by cheshire snow
    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.

    There's too many runs, too many models, making too many problems. 

    This is the land of confusion big time! 

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne

    Best to avoid the MOD thread at the moment as a detailed and erudite analysis is underway of current and recent outputs and will probably take some time, depending on the depth of the analysis, Best to get a summary later.

    Edited by knocker
    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Corby 130 meters above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Corby 130 meters above sea level
    34 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

    There's too many runs, too many models, making too many problems. 

    This is the land of confusion big time! 

    I am totally confused trying to learn but everybody has there own opinions which is fine as that is what a forum is.

    Seems like on one run other day it's 1962 1963 then next run december 2015.

    Very hard to follow met office changed there view today a little on there forcast so all to play for. Lol

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire SACRA MEMBER 16/122
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire SACRA MEMBER 16/122

    OK admit it,who told the kids it was going to snow.:oops:

    C.S

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Not a fan of heatstroke.
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
    18 minutes ago, knocker said:

    Best to avoid the MOD thread at the moment as a detailed and erudite analysis is underway of current and recent outputs and will probably take some time, depending on the depth of the analysis, Best to get a summary later.

    To be fair, Malcolm, you might want to check snowking's latest post, which shows why, when he does post here, his input is so valued.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne
    8 minutes ago, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:

    To be fair, Malcolm, you might want to check snowking's latest post, which shows why, when he does post here, his input is so valued.

    Actually I have just read it, and his earlier post, and totally agree but the problem is, unless one is prepared to spend a fair bit of time wading through it all, it's easy to miss posts such as this. Frankly I don't see the point of a forensic analysis of every run unless one is looking for detail in the very near time frame. Take an overview having looked at the ens and relaxe a bit

    Edited by knocker
    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Guest
    This topic is now closed to further replies.
    ×
    ×
    • Create New...