Model Moans, Ramps and Banter

[Ice Man 85]

1 minute ago, Frosty. said:

There would be frosty nights next week under that big juicy Ecm 12z high which would turn the days colder as a result.

Sounds good to me

[sparky1972]

far to much optimism in the mod thread, alot of people being led up the garden path to coldmaggendon, we all know it gets watered now nearer the magical 10 day mark and at best all i think we will get is slightly chilly weather, so i for one cannot get to excited about the output right now, especially when temps are going to be in double figures by the weekend and early next week, well for here anyway

[Mokidugway]

1 minute ago, sparky1972 said:

far to much optimism in the mod thread, alot of people being led up the garden path to coldmaggendon, we all know it gets watered now nearer the magical 10 day mark and at best all i think we will get is slightly chilly weather, so i for one cannot get to excited about the output right now, especially when temps are going to be in double figures by the weekend and early next week, well for here anyway

Read the charts and make your own mind up  its the best way ,all about ego's and sheep in there 

[snow freak]

so much for the SSW then.  If that can't deliver the cold goods then there is no hope anywhere else.  Another winter wasted....unless you live in the North.  If only the British Isles was geographically shunted 1000 miles further north then we might all get some action in the winter.

[booferking]

10 minutes ago, snow freak said:

so much for the SSW then.  If that can't deliver the cold goods then there is no hope anywhere else.  Another winter wasted....unless you live in the North.  If only the British Isles was geographically shunted 1000 miles further north then we might all get some action in the winter.

What charts have you been looking at today??

[Yarmy]

25 minutes ago, snow freak said:

so much for the SSW then.  If that can't deliver the cold goods then there is no hope anywhere else.  Another winter wasted....unless you live in the North.  If only the British Isles was geographically shunted 1000 miles further north then we might all get some action in the winter.

What a strange thing to post. The SSW has only just begun and it looks like being notable not just for the magnitude of the reversal but also for longevity. Moreover, this evenings 12z suites have made a significant shift towards HLB.

[tinybill]

1 hour ago, Ice Man 85 said:

I must be missing something. The ECM 12z looks milder to me. Most of the country in double digit temps this weekend. How is that an improvement?

yep i think the bbc got some catching  up  to do  they got +10  for me weekenf  the gfs say diffenert!!

[Jonathan Rhodri Roberts]

13 minutes ago, tinybill said:

yep i think the bbc got some catching  up  to do  they got +10  for me weekenf  the gfs say diffenert!!

Sunny @11C for us on Sunday, next week 8-9C

[snow freak]

33 minutes ago, Yarmy said:

What a strange thing to post. The SSW has only just begun and it looks like being notable not just for the magnitude of the reversal but also for longevity. Moreover, this evenings 12z suites have made a significant shift towards HLB.

okay i admit then this SSW might be able to offer us something, but whether that will be sufficient for any long lasting snow, we shall see.  its just a pity it couldnt have happened in December, January or even early Feb rather than March.

 

[Ice Man 85]

1 hour ago, Mokidugway said:

Read the charts and make your own mind up  its the best way ,all about ego's and sheep in there 

Some of us (like me) are too dumb to make heads or tails of those charts. I wouldn't have a clue what wind direction/conditions would be showing just from looking at a pressure chart. We rely on people in there to give honest analysis of those charts. Sadly a lot of distortion from rampers is something we have to deal with.

[Mokidugway]

Just now, Ice Man 85 said:

Some of us (like me) are too dumb to make heads or tails of those charts. I wouldn't have a clue what wind direction/conditions would be showing just from looking at a pressure chart. We rely on people in there to give honest analysis of those charts. Sadly a lot of distortion from rampers is something we have to deal with.

Don't get me wrong there are good posters in there but more often  they're drowned out as they tell it as it is not as some want to hear .

[Bradowl]

I always thought that SSW ment winds from South-South West bringing mild weather. 

[snow freak]

what i do not understand is we have a SSW and the BBC are talking about it becoming even milder with temperatures into double figures by the weekend.  What is that all about.  I thought SSW meant cold not balmy temperatures.

[Mokidugway]

1 minute ago, snow freak said:

what i do not understand is we have a SSW and the BBC are talking about it becoming even milder with temperatures into double figures by the weekend.  What is that all about.  I thought SSW meant cold not balmy temperatures.

It can take a fortnight for it to effect our weather .

Edited February 12, 2018 by Mokidugway

[Ice Man 85]

3 minutes ago, snow freak said:

what i do not understand is we have a SSW and the BBC are talking about it becoming even milder with temperatures into double figures by the weekend.  What is that all about.  I thought SSW meant cold not balmy temperatures.

From my *very* limited understanding, those conditions are the result of the transition of where the high cell is going to end up. I don't have a clue either lol

[Ice Man 85]

11 minutes ago, Bradowl said:

I always thought that SSW ment winds from South-South West bringing mild weather. 

Nah. We can get that without one no problem.

[James1979]

3 hours ago, knocker said:

On the other hand we aren't all traveling through King's Cross and I don't think it a bad idea to warn people of ice, particularly the elderly and those a bit unsteady on their pins like me as we all aren't so weather wise as everyone on here appears to be. And talking of common sense.......................

Ice & other genuine hazards yes, but some gentle drizzle? Hmm.

[Tom Quintavalle]

I see the "knee jerk reaction brigade, to every frame, of every run", were out in force last night and blow me down, there still here, this morning. Patience is required!!

Regards,

Tom.

Edited February 13, 2018 by TomSE12

[northwestsnow]

32 minutes ago, TomSE12 said:

I see the "knee jerk reaction brigade, to every frame, of every run", were out in force last night and blow me down, there still here, this morning. Patience is required!!

Regards,

Tom.

I'm keeping quiet

Burnt to many times, sometimes its better to be discreet i agree Tom.

PS Saw your posts in the SE thread, hope you are feeling better and my very best wishes for a healthy happy future

[knocker]

Now that definitely would not be good news

 

[knocker]

One has to say, given the current circumstances, that the EPS means are a thing of beauty this morning, albeit letting themselves down a tad towards the end of the 14 day period.

[Number 23]

Probably wise to keep the powder dry at the moment. 

New members could easily get drawn into talk of 87 and 91. To my untrained eye it seems we're still out to 200 hours for the result most want, and SSW or not, that's still very much in garden path territory for an easterly. 

[chris78]

1 minute ago, Number 23 said:

Probably wise to keep the powder dry at the moment. 

New members could easily get drawn into talk of 87 and 91. To my untrained eye it seems we're still out to 200 hours for the result most want, and SSW or not, that's still very much in garden path territory for an easterly. 

87 and 91!  Last night there was a post in there saying coldest and snowiest period since the 16th and 17th century!   If the sea aroind the uk doesnt freeze...im calling this a let down.

[Number 23]

1 minute ago, chris78 said:

87 and 91!  Last night there was a post in there saying coldest and snowiest period since the 16th and 17th century!   If the sea aroind the uk doesnt freeze...im calling this a let down.

If Carlsberg did ramping....

[Steve C]

6 minutes ago, chris78 said:

87 and 91!  Last night there was a post in there saying coldest and snowiest period since the 16th and 17th century!   If the sea aroind the uk doesnt freeze...im calling this a let down.

Saw that post. I was thinking the winter of 1684 compressed into late February and March! It'll play utter hell with our infrastructure.