Model Moans, Ramps and Banter

[Snow Slave]

5 minutes ago, SLEETY said:

We’ve not used the sledges since March 2013,when we had a big snowstorm here.

Hopefully we  all get to see some proper snow this winter,problem is if the usual weather pattern sets up again for Dec,it always seems to get locked in that pattern for months,the reason why their has been so little snow the last few winters.

well fingers crossed we have a different winter this time round! I'm trying to keep the faith,  I'm not gona lie, if we get another snow no show winter, I think ill give up chasing it.

[Mapantz]

1 hour ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

So do I, who in the right mind wants this? GEFS ensemble, but op showing it too

I wouldn't say no!

[Daniel*]

1 hour ago, Mapantz said:

I wouldn't say no!

Me either, if it’s not going to be cold enough nature show your worst probably an unpopular view.  

[snowking]

7 minutes ago, s4lancia said:

I've got my eyes firmly on it, Nothing showing yet on the charts, I think that will change over the next week though. It looks primed over the coming weeks, for the reasons you've stated. Good angle of and increasing jet strength off the Seaboard should increasingly steer energy through the southern arm as we go through December.

The only mild I can see is in short bursts, through waxing and waning as the theme of meridionality continues.

This remains anti zonal.

Chasing an easterly in December.....what could possibly go wrong 

[knocker]

On the subject of 'the trend is your friend' I don't know whether the latest update of the EC46 has been posted which indicates above average temps from the around the 18th December to the 10th January. Just saying..

[northwestsnow]

32 minutes ago, knocker said:

On the subject of 'the trend is your friend' I don't know whether the latest update of the EC46 has been posted which indicates above average temps from the around the 18th December to the 10th January. Just saying..

Yes i think that sounds reasonable at the moment- best chance for snowfall would be first half of the month imho, esp the further North and west one heads- (and altitude will probably help) as we get waxing and waning of PM/TM air)..

[Tracy Flick]

2 hours ago, knocker said:

On the subject of 'the trend is your friend' I don't know whether the latest update of the EC46 has been posted which indicates above average temps from the around the 18th December to the 10th January. Just saying..

It will be correct.

And it will continue to forecast mild through the rest of the winter and will continue to be correct.

And both EC and GLOSEA will forecast a mild winter next year and they will be correct.

However, at some point in the next 5 years one of the models will forecast a proper cold spell and it will turn out to be incorrect.

[Yarmy]

2 minutes ago, Ryerson said:

It will be correct.

And it will continue to forecast mild through the rest of the winter and will continue to be correct.

And both EC and GLOSEA will forecast a mild winter next year and they will be correct.

However, at some point in the next 5 years one of the models will forecast a proper cold spell and it will turn out to be incorrect.

That's the spirit. 

On the subject of the GloSea5, this was its raw output for NDJ in the October update:

Now I realise we are only on the first day of December, but with a positive height anomaly in the Atlantic modelled for the next 10 days or so, it's not looking too accurate.

 

So far. 

[SLEETY]

So seasonal models miles out already.What a surprise,not 

Ec46 was junk too last winter from what I remember.So hope it does show very mild for 30 days in a row.Wont be happening 

 

Anyway looking at the models,think I’m going to visit the Highlands in a week or so,as it looks like they are going to get hammered with snow.

 

Just visit there if you want your snow fix 

[Iceaxecrampon]

Now yer see it.......

[Mokidugway]

23 minutes ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

Now yer see it.......

I admire your confidence,think might change my sig to ,I walked through drizzle. 

[Iceaxecrampon]

33 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:

I admire your confidence,think might change my sig to ,I walked through drizzle. 

Thanks

Walked through a fair bit of that as well.....!

(If your interested keep tuning in for the inevitable downgrade)

[Methuselah]

2 minutes ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

Thanks

Walked through a fair bit of that as well.....!

(If your interested keep tuning in for the inevitable downgrade)

Just got a text saying there's going to be a rumble in Toytown tonight!

[Iceaxecrampon]

1 minute ago, Ed Stone said:

Just got a text saying there's going to be a rumble in Toytown tonight!

Yes - they're all drooling over the 12z

Fools..........

[northwestsnow]

1 hour ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

Yes - they're all drooling over the 12z

Fools..........

Wise words... EC looks horrible..its almost like some sick game for coldies...every time you get 2 looking good the others says no..and is always right!!!!

[markyo]

Looks like the shorts will be back on next week(looking forward to those weird looks from folk!),Hopefully this mild spell won't last for long though! Cracking start to Winter so far....a Seasonal start for once!

[Spah1]

For a bunch of guys and gals who seem quite intelligent people’s inability to use the word ‘too’, correctly is bewildering often making the post hard to read.

[Mokidugway]

2 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

For a bunch of guys and gals who seem quite intelligent people’s inability to use the word ‘too’, correctly is bewildering often making the post hard to read.

To and too ,cliasic grmatical era 

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

10 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

For a bunch of guys and gals who seem quite intelligent people’s inability to use the word ‘too’, correctly is bewildering often making the post hard to read.

You really think this lot seem intelligent!?

Edited December 1, 2017 by chrisbell-nottheweatherman

[Spah1]

I don’t like to mention it because of the celebrity status he has but SM is the worst.

There, I’ve said it. I’ll get my coat. 

[Mokidugway]

2 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

I don’t like to mention it because of the celebrity status he has but SM is the worst.

There, I’ve said it. I’ll get my coat. 

Don't worry I've blocked him as  I find his input is irksome to put it politely.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

6 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

I don’t like to mention it because of the celebrity status he has but SM is the worst.

There, I’ve said it. I’ll get my coat. 

at what? grammar or the weather 

[DAVID SNOW]

21 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

at what? grammar or the weather 

Still sticking with your mild mild  mild , wet wet wet   winter forecast then, son of Ian ?

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Ay dave

[JeffC]

10 hours ago, Spah1 said:

For a bunch of guys and gals who seem quite intelligent people’s inability to use the word ‘too’, correctly is bewildering often making the post hard to read.

And there vs their...does my napper!