Model Moans, Ramps and Banter

[stainesbloke]

15 hours ago, Ice Man 85 said:

How much longer, models? How much longer must I wait before the threat of "heat" abates? Middle of October and the ECM is trying for nigh on mid-twenties on the south. Absolutely vile.

Absolutely lovely. Will go some small way to mitigating the vile, chilly Atlantic filth that ruined high summer. Will be much cooler in Lancashire so you don't need to worry too much.

[Seasonality]

1 hour ago, stainesbloke said:

Absolutely lovely. Will go some small way to mitigating the vile, chilly Atlantic filth that ruined high summer. Will be much cooler in Lancashire so you don't need to worry too much.

Fair point. Swings and roundabouts come to mind.

[Ice Man 85]

Have you seen how low the diurnal range is on some of these "warm" days? Looks very humid to me. Whats to enjoy about that?

[sundog]

Enjoy they say. Enjoy what? We should be getting into full autumn mode now ,and trying to get set up for the winter,not this return of summer nonsense.

 

[DR(S)NO]

24 minutes ago, Frosty. said:

...feeling more like summer apart from scotland from later this week! Enjoy.

 .....and that line there Frosty sums up how the whole of Summer was for my neck of the woods...

[Ice Man 85]

6 minutes ago, sundog said:

Enjoy they say. Enjoy what? We should be getting into full autumn mode now ,and trying to get set up for the winter,not this return of summer nonsense.

 

I've just seen my future in that image...

Does that sodding continent ever cool down?

[Ice Man 85]

5 minutes ago, DR(S)NO said:

 .....and that line there Frosty sums up how the whole of Summer was for my neck of the woods...

You don't know how lucky you've been imo.

[jvenge]

After the coming warmth, the weekly ECM Eps seems to show above average temperatures for the rest of the month for the UK, although not even close to the extreme coming up. Colder air seems to be tucked into south east Europe and caspian sea areas. CFSv2 broadly similar the the next 20 days as well.

 

 

[Ice Man 85]

6 minutes ago, jvenge said:

After the coming warmth, the weekly ECM Eps seems to show above average temperatures for the rest of the month for the UK, although not even close to the extreme coming up. Colder air seems to be tucked into south east Europe and caspian sea areas. CFSv2 broadly similar the the next 20 days as well.

 

 

Ever hear the phrase "be careful what you wish for?" all of those people applauding the AH right now will be cursing it pretty soon as it continues to deny you the winter you want.

[davehsug]

29 minutes ago, Ice Man 85 said:

Ever hear the phrase "be careful what you wish for?" all of those people applauding the AH right now will be cursing it pretty soon as it continues to deny you the winter you want.

No not all! If it snows I'll enjoy it, but a big fat winter long Barty, (are we old-timers still allowed to call it that?), would suit many of us just fine!

[Wimbledon88]

I haven't looked at the other thread yet but i dare say they must be all a titter now theres a good long period if AH October 'heat' coming up.

Strange on a weather enthusiasts website but there we are.

[JK1]

Normally I cant stand cold and always hoping for mild winters but for some reason be kl for a snowy winter, I like a really stormy autum (Is that wrong to wish?i know it damaging & effects people but I find extra-tropical cyclones/wind storms fastinating my favourite weather phenomenon next to heatwaves) 

[sundog]

Come march they will be wondering what went wrong with the winter. Given our changing climate and recent history record or near record heat at this time of the yr is a no no if you want a cool winter imo. Egging it on like they have done other yrs and the same fools at it again lol.

[Ice Man 85]

28 minutes ago, sundog said:

Come march they will be wondering what went wrong with the winter. Given our changing climate and recent history record or near record heat at this time of the yr is a no no if you want a cool winter imo. Egging it on like they have done other yrs and the same fools at it again lol.

Just imagine what it'd be like if london was where Greenland was now. We'd likely never see a summer again. Maybe Kimmy can arrange it after he nukes us.

[Ice Man 85]

6 hours ago, stainesbloke said:

Absolutely lovely. Will go some small way to mitigating the vile, chilly Atlantic filth that ruined high summer. Will be much cooler in Lancashire so you don't need to worry too much.

daytime maxims, yes. But have you seen how low the diurnal range is? Smacks of humidity to me. I can understand liking warmth. No, scratch that, I can't...

But wanting humidity? Mind boggling.

[cheshire snow]

Personally I am looking forward to the brief warm up,give me a chance to give the lawns

One last cut and maybe one last meal sat out on the decking,hopefully I can squeeze a 20

Or 21c out of this brief warmth spell.

C.S. 

[stainesbloke]

4 hours ago, Ice Man 85 said:

daytime maxims, yes. But have you seen how low the diurnal range is? Smacks of humidity to me. I can understand liking warmth. No, scratch that, I can't...

But wanting humidity? Mind boggling.

I don't particularly want humidity. Even if it is humid though, it won't feel too oppressive seeing as it's approaching mid October. I've not turned the heating on yet this autumn and if that is delayed further, saving my hard earned cash, no problem with me. I doubt this warmer spell will last long anyway. 

[summer blizzard]

The good news is that lower soil moisture profiles mean less modification of cold air when it finally comes. It does look horrid though. Ophelia at least saves us and the 18z has a northerly by day 9.

[Ice Man 85]

45 minutes ago, summer blizzard said:

The good news is that lower soil moisture profiles mean less modification of cold air when it finally comes. It does look horrid though. Ophelia at least saves us and the 18z has a northerly by day 9.

Just when you think the model outputs can't get any worse. I fear to imagine what the ECM has in store come the morning.

[karlos1983]

Look out Norwegian Sea, trouble heading your way!! 

Or is it a smiley face

 

Edited October 11, 2017 by karlos1983

[sundog]

19 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Look out Norwegian Sea, trouble heading your way!! 

Or is it a smiley face

Nice autumnal chart,i hope the model isnt acting the b***ocks though!

[cheese]

22 hours ago, Ice Man 85 said:

daytime maxims, yes. But have you seen how low the diurnal range is? Smacks of humidity to me. I can understand liking warmth. No, scratch that, I can't...

But wanting humidity? Mind boggling.

Doesn't bother me really. I don't find humidity to be an issue until it's past 25C, and even then it's tolerable. A humid 30C isn't too pretty though.

[markyo]

2 hours ago, cheese said:

Doesn't bother me really. I don't find humidity to be an issue until it's past 25C, and even then it's tolerable. A humid 30C isn't too pretty though.

Think it depends what you are doing to be honest,with my job anything over 20c and humid to any degree makes life tough,just for cooling down leaving site,but non working mid 20's yes are bearable,not enjoyable but liveable with. Anything over that is revolting weather which thankfully rarely makes it to my part of the country

Edited October 11, 2017 by markyo

[Ice Man 85]

Have to say these storm projections for monday are making me nervous. Dread to think how bad it could get. Sodding temps were bad enough, but now we have the real possibility of very destructive winds. I'm sure the "enthusiasts" will enjoy it though... 

[Summer Sun]

12 minutes ago, Ice Man 85 said:

Have to say these storm projections for monday are making me nervous. Dread to think how bad it could get. Sodding temps were bad enough, but now we have the real possibility of very destructive winds. I'm sure the "enthusiasts" will enjoy it though... 

It's Autumn strong winds are to be expected the worst at the stage looks to be in south west Ireland