Model Moans, Ramps and Banter

[Weather-history]

37 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Poor ECM this morning.

Seems the models are not reading the script.

Not Exeters anyway..surely they will be stopping all this talk of easterlies soon as the PV looks to be stregthening out to mid Feb ..

Happy for those that get snow before the rain arrives thur...

Yet again im unlikely to see a flake as the gfs will likely be to progressive with tues front.

 

By the way, this is what ECM was showing last Sunday for this Sunday

and the reality

Edited February 4, 2018 by Weather-history

[northwestsnow]

Just now, Weather-history said:

By the way, this is what ECM as showing last Sunday for this Sunday

and the reality

[I remember Atlantic 252]

4 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:

Are you feeling ok this morning

C.S

fine thanks? 

[stainesbloke]

The models may continually change output but it’s the same old moaning Minnie’s in here. Every day, without fail, whining. Would be nice if, for once, we could actually just try to enjoy what’s coming and not drag the whole world down in a sea of misery. It looks like a reasonable chance of many areas seeing at least snow showers with the longer range MetO outlook going for cold. 

[tight isobar]

3 minutes ago, stainesbloke said:

The models may continually change output but it’s the same old moaning Minnie’s in here. Every day, without fail, whining. Would be nice if, for once, we could actually just try to enjoy what’s coming and not drag the whole world down in a sea of misery. It looks like a reasonable chance of many areas seeing at least snow showers with the longer range MetO outlook going for cold. 

Fairplay...the suicide squad are out in force atm!!!

[stainesbloke]

7 minutes ago, tight isobar said:

Fairplay...the suicide squad are out in force atm!!!

Most of us like a moan occasionally about our shyte climate but I’m so effing bored of the same people whining endlessly on here. Every day, multiple times, since November. Time to take some happy pills lol.

[Methuselah]

1 minute ago, stainesbloke said:

Most of us like a moan occasionally about our shyte climate but I’m so effing bored of the same people whining endlessly on here. Every day, multiple times, since November. Time to take some happy pills lol.

Oi! Less of the 'occasionally'!

Anywho, things are nae looking too bad - a bit of snow is better than no snow at all?

[James1979]

14 hours ago, Pjginger said:

Only a few days ago we had -10 uppers coming from both the east and northwest. How can it go so wrong

 

Murphy's law.

[SLEETY]

On 29/01/2018 at 06:46, northwestsnow said:

Beginning to look like Glosea underestimated the Atlantic unfortunately.

The Atlantic just wont relent.

Id expect Exeter to revise their outlook today.. :-(

That was posted last mon after poor runs overnight sun.Just shows you taking op runs as gospel 5 or more days ahead is pointless,and also the other models the met use are really useful sometimes. Ecm was useless looking at what it predicted a week ago.

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

Looks like our best chance of registering a colder than average winter if the Met Office’s latest update today is accurate.

Edited February 4, 2018 by prolongedSnowLover

[SLEETY]

Hope we get a proper cold spell with ice days and powder snow,or am I dreaming 

[SLEETY]

Looking on ukmo nothing wintry after Tuesday ,Icelandic low and Azores High look to be in charge bringing Westerly winds and only snow on high ground.back to chasing rainbows.Pass me a bucket

 

 

 

 

[NeilN]

4 minutes ago, SLEETY said:

Looking on ukmo nothing wintry after Tuesday ,Icelandic low and Azores High look to be in charge bringing Westerly winds and only snow on high ground.back to chasing rainbows.Pass me a bucket

 

 

 

 

Oh No!!! We should block the Azores High. 

[bluearmy]

With the ‘warm sectors’ still evident, I suspect most will end up watching week 2 with more interest than week 1

[Chevron12345]

12 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

With the ‘warm sectors’ still evident, I suspect most will end up watching week 2 with more interest than week 1

Oh right..sure i was slated earlier for suggesting the upper air temps wernt that good this week..

[sparky1972]

well i have to say this week is certainly not going to be as cold as some would hope i fear, temps back up by the end of the week, spells of rain during the week, but fingers crossed the following week will deliver the cold goods.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Pardon me, but to me ECM and UKMO just looks like normal February weather from Wednesday? low after low and westerlies in charge, double digit temps at times then cooler/showery

[Ice Man 85]

Have to admire the enthusiastic/deluded (delete as appropriate) posters on the MOD thread. Weeks of prolonged cold? Deep snow? Snow opportunities every few days? You'd have a better chance of a black female president being elected in america...

1-2 c either side of average will be the best we'll get after tuesday. Even that won't be cold.

[FENDER.]

Major downrades this morning.   And back to square one. More disappointment  

[Had Worse]

23 minutes ago, Fender.. said:

Major downrades this morning.   And back to square one. More disappointment  

Please back up you'e major disappointment with some charts so that we can muse over your findings.

Thanks.

[FENDER.]

Check out the UKMO GFS Ops  see what you think

[northwestsnow]

I can;'t really find the words to describe the GFS/UKMO this morning so i'll settle for the  emotion.

 

Edited February 5, 2018 by northwestsnow

[knocker]

I notice in the 10-15 range of the GEFS anomalies this morning signs of some amplification and mid Atlantic ridging

[davehsug]

6 minutes ago, knocker said:

I notice in the 10-15 range of the GEFS anomalies this morning signs of some amplification and mid Atlantic ridging

Is it Narnia yet?

[knocker]

12 minutes ago, davehsug said:

Is it Narnia yet?

Pending!