Model Moans, Ramps and Banter

[Tracy Flick]

1 hour ago, knocker said:

The current pattern, where we now have the building blocks in a position so that we can safely say we are on the cusp of triggering a number of slider lows that threaten white outs in much of the UK and a state of emergency being declared, reminds me very much of December 1905 when Edwardian ladies skated on the Thames and squirrels roasted their nuts in regents Park.

I'm not sure even this captures just how epic these charts are though Knocker.  They remind me more of when I was a young lad hunting mammoths in the last days of the Pleistocene era.

[tinybill]

looking at  the  models since this  morning  they geting better even now  the cold going dep in to fantasy world  cant  wait  for the xmas  charts

28 minutes ago, meh said:

I'm not sure even this captures just how epic these charts are though Knocker.  They remind me more of when I was a young lad hunting mammoths in the last days of the Pleistocene era.

[Dancerwithwings]

2 hours ago, Bristle boy said:

Havent seen a flake of snow yet from the "epic" cold spell. Next w/e has gone from blizzard whiteout to cold rain with snow showers to higher parts. Then i'm off to Fuerteventura on Saturday for a few days when old blighty may get some snow!

Same here......won't be long

Keep the force faith

https://media.giphy.com/media/g645343yAjfzy/giphy.mp4

 

Edited December 3, 2017 by Dancerwithwings

[I remember Atlantic 252]

13 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

Same here......won't be long

Keep the force faith

https://media.giphy.com/media/g645343yAjfzy/giphy.mp4

 

Thought you had, I have, temporary covering early on 25th Nov, sleet/wet snow thawed it though by 9am

[Dancerwithwings]

6 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Thought you had, I have, temporary covering early on 25th Nov, sleet/wet snow thawed it though by 9am

Not a single

Hope that will change

[SLEETY]

Very disappointed with the bbc week ahead forecast with Ben rich.

turning colder end of week ,but still showing temps of 5-6c most places Friday,then turning less cold for the weekend.

Not low enough for any decent snowfall after all 

So much for another dec 1981.then.That was amazing we even had fierce blizzards here that month .

Edited December 3, 2017 by SLEETY

[Methuselah]

Aye - it's very annoying when they do that...Why on earth does one forecast say one thing while another forecast (often issued within minutes of one another) says something completely different? Either there is a threat of disruptive snow or there isn't. You can't have it both ways!

[Stuart]

maybe there like the UKMO model the best 

[78/79]

2 hours ago, Mokidugway said:

Red or grey knocker ,greys have bigger nuts 

Probably Greys, they've ,  practically killed off all of the  native Reds  . 

[cyclonic happiness]

16 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

Aye - it's very annoying when they do that...Why on earth does one forecast say one thing while another forecast (often issued within minutes of one another) says something completely different? Either there is a threat of disruptive snow or there isn't. You can't have it both ways!

The BBC forecast are getting worse. 

They've basically said there is no chance of any snow, anywhere away from coasts. This is highly misleading, and could even endanger some folk who might make trip which they could postpone if they had warning of bad weather.

And the temperatures are laughable!! 7'c and snow?? The BBC has really taken a nose dive since ditching the Met office

[knocker]

29 minutes ago, cyclonic happiness said:

The BBC forecast are getting worse. 

They've basically said there is no chance of any snow, anywhere away from coasts. This is highly misleading, and could even endanger some folk who might make trip which they could postpone if they had warning of bad weather.

And the temperatures are laughable!! 7'c and snow?? The BBC has really taken a nose dive since ditching the Met office

What did they specifically say and what day are we talking about?

[Iceaxecrampon]

 

SLEET

[cyclonic happiness]

18 minutes ago, knocker said:

What did they specifically say and what day are we talking about?

the forecast for the week ahead

[knocker]

2 minutes ago, cyclonic happiness said:

the forecast for the week ahead

Okay, so they have said there is no chance of any snow, anywhere away from coasts in the coming week.

[Djdazzle]

Yet Chris Fawkes is talking about disruptive snow!

Is this a forecast based on the more recent 12z runs I wonder?

[I remember Atlantic 252]

really only 19 members on model thread? quietest it's been since the summer

[Methuselah]

1 minute ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

really only 19 members on model thread? quietest it's been since the summer

The rest have all gone to retrieve all their toys!

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Just now, Ed Stone said:

The rest have all gone to retrieve all their toys!

picked mine up, I'm ready for EC Ed!

[Tracy Flick]

2 hours ago, FiftyShadesofWine said:

They haven't ditched the Met Office yet.

...but it would be understandable if the MetO have lost motivation to provide the BBC with anything more than the minimum required by their contract at this point.

 

2 hours ago, cyclonic happiness said:

The BBC forecast are getting worse. 

They've basically said there is no chance of any snow, anywhere away from coasts. This is highly misleading, and could even endanger some folk who might make trip which they could postpone if they had warning of bad weather.

And the temperatures are laughable!! 7'c and snow?? The BBC has really taken a nose dive since ditching the Met office

As for that forecast which I haven't seen: while northerlies can be largely underwhelming for many of us, this forecast was nonetheless probably strictly not beyond Friday.  But yes, they seem wide of the mark here.

[Coopsy]

I can just see that high ending too far east and it being too warm for anything .... just my fear/thought 

[steveinsussex]

Still no excitement to be had in the output, a colder couple of days (still 5-6 days away!) followed by a milder couple of days then chillier, but still not really cold, with a few wintry showers in the usual places up north

 

Just you average winter weather

[stainesbloke]

Countryfile forecast today wasn't especially exciting, unless you live in parts of the North or near a north facing coast. Temperatures may fall a little lower than they did in the 'cold' spell just gone. Still, it's 5-6 days away though and much more seasonal than recent Decembers. 

[JoeShmoe]

oh dear .......now you see why the beeb and other outlets simply dont go much past 4 or 5 days

[cyclonic happiness]

Phew!!! I was starting to think this cold would never downgrade in the short term :-D

[knocker]

Apparently it has been decided by the general council that in future any trough/depression approaching the UK from the north west will henceforth be called a trigger shortwave slider.