Model Moans, Ramps and Banter

[JeffC]

5 minutes ago, JeffC said:

And there vs their...does my napper!

Oh and should / could of instead of could / should have and your vs you're!

[Weather-history]

I am certain about one thing about the models now..

 

 

 

 

....they will be no repeat of December 2015.......

Edited December 2, 2017 by Weather-history

[JeffC]

Just now, Weather-history said:

I am certain about one thing about the models now

 

 

 

 

....they will be no repeat of December 2015.......

That's good news!!

[Tracy Flick]

26 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

I am certain about one thing about the models now..

 

 

 

 

....they will be no repeat of December 2015.......

With the ridging displaced westward it could still be wet though... just cold rain rather than warm rain.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

EC still stinks, worse than 12Z

[northwestsnow]

9 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

EC still stinks, worse than 12Z

Yes i'm not impressed with EC this morning- the only positive is Fri midnight to sat midnight when there should be snow showers moving south- but really its a 24 hour toppler in reality.

You can see on that chart the azores high doing a lot of damage - so ukmo/gfs versus EC....

Edited December 2, 2017 by northwestsnow

[Snipper]

 Wasn't it 7 days or so ago we were due to have snow now? Seems that we will now get snow in about 7 days time. So will that be put back 7 days and so on?

[Snow Slave]

55 minutes ago, Snipper said:

 Wasn't it 7 days or so ago we were due to have snow now? Seems that we will now get snow in about 7 days time. So will that be put back 7 days and so on?

From my few years on this forum the pushed back pattern of 7 or 10 days is definitely a "thing" from what ive experienced. 

I'm not gona keep falling into the same trap repeatedly.  Didnt Einstein say somthing along the lines of;

"The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result"

Unless it's showing in the 48hr time frame,im not buying it!

[SLEETY]

Some people already had the snow,haven’t you seen the reports

can’t snow in everyone backyard 

why are people showing 8 day charts then saying it’s gfs meto v ecm when ukmo doesn’t run to 8 days 

can the grammar police go away whilst I’m moaning.Thanks

next cold spell coming next week and looking colder than the last one.

 

 

 

 

 

[mushymanrob]

anomaly charts keep the mean upper flow from the northwest.

suggests to me a continuation of cold/less cold spells as systems traverse the northern flank of the western high bringing a milder or less cold spell before northerlies tuck in behind it as ridging to our west builds. not sure why theres so much excitement over there (points to model thread) , i dont think theres much snow likely for most of us and that that we do get is likely to be wet and not settle too long. certainly no 'big freeze' on the cards.... not yet anyway.

[Methuselah]

3 minutes ago, mushymanrob said:

anomaly charts keep the mean upper flow from the northwest.

suggests to me a continuation of cold/less cold spells as systems traverse the northern flank of the western high bringing a milder or less cold spell before northerlies tuck in behind it as ridging to our west builds. not sure why theres so much excitement over there (points to model thread) , i dont think theres much snow likely for most of us and that that we do get is likely to be wet and not settle too long. certainly no 'big freeze' on the cards.... not yet anyway.

Why do I think that one Nathan Rao will disagree with that?

[Coopsy]

I don’t get the excitement. Charts 6/7 days out. So much potential for changes. Rarely have I seen amazing charts 7 days out that far then go on to deliver exactly that. Caution needed. It’s gonna get depressing I think over next few days as there’s only one way the emotions can go from here     

Edited December 2, 2017 by c00ps

[Frost HoIIow]

3 minutes ago, c00ps said:

I don’t get the excitement. Charts 6/7 days out. So much potential for changes. Rarely have I seen amazing charts 7 days out that far hen go in to deliver exactly that. Caution needed. It’s gonna get depressing I think over next few days as there’s only one way the emotions can go from here     

Charts look good for sure but yep nearly a week away, what could possibly go wrong? not getting my hopes up.

[Mokidugway]

2 hours ago, Snipper said:

 Wasn't it 7 days or so ago we were due to have snow now? Seems that we will now get snow in about 7 days time. So will that be put back 7 days and so on?

The folk who live 7 days in the future must be sick of shovelling snow by now 

[KDME]

This is 6 days away and things will change!  I wish people would calm down and stop using terms like "solid".

 

[Mokidugway]

Indeed ,factor in all the Shannon entropy and non singular linear transformation (whatever that means lol ) and it goes Pete tong (not you Ed ) 

[Methuselah]

8 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:

The folk who live 7 days in the future must be sick of shovelling snow by now 

Aye Moki...them thar quantum snow shovels are hellish expensive too!

[MKN]

Well depends who you buy from. Heck of a difference for two that look pretty similar. 

[Methuselah]

1 minute ago, MKN said:

Well depends who you buy from. Heck of a difference for two that look pretty similar. 

True. But a quantum snow shovel costs only $2000, and comes with a free assault rifle...And, you can sweep away snow for up to seven days before it falls...cheap at half the price!

[K9]

I personally think this year we should ban any form of model output discussion beyond T120....saves the major disappointments of years gone by !!....

[stainesbloke]

1 minute ago, K9 said:

I personally think this year we should ban any form of model output discussion beyond T120....saves the major disappointments of years gone by !!....

You're forgetting THAT evil ECM that betrayed all hopes a few years ago, it changed output suddenly within T96, if I remember correctly. Maybe T48 would be better?

[Coopsy]

12 minutes ago, stainesbloke said:

You're forgetting THAT evil ECM that betrayed all hopes a few years ago, it changed output suddenly within T96, if I remember correctly. Maybe T48 would be better?

T1 lol

[78/79]

2 minutes ago, c00ps said:

T1 lol

If there is the slightest , remotest chance of a mild solution , rest assured , the UK will find it.

[Snow Slave]

35 minutes ago, stainesbloke said:

You're forgetting THAT evil ECM that betrayed all hopes a few years ago, it changed output suddenly within T96, if I remember correctly. Maybe T48 would be better?

Defo going with the 48hrs window here from now on, and im defo not telling my kids about any potential untill I've actaully seen the snow falling in my vacintity with my own eyes!

[CK1981]

The latest Met Office outlook is certainly moving in the right direction ?