Model Moans, Ramps and Banter

[knocker]

In favor of CFSv2 solution of bringing back the "La Nina" Pacific pattern, which re-develops the arctic cold air source over Canada; But the model may be struggling with the Greenland pattern for December. Something to watch. H/t MV

[78/79]

2nd load of logs put away , ready for winter now, and best of all British Gas can go swivel

[Methuselah]

So peeps, which is it - toys in or toys out?

[V for Very Cold]

42 minutes ago, 78/79 said:

2nd load of logs put away , ready for winter now, and best of all British Gas can go swivel

Same here... piling up the wood in  the garage but just filled the gas tank ? cold winters aren’t cheap ! Lol

[V for Very Cold]

1 minute ago, Ed Stone said:

So peeps, which is it - toys in or toys out?

I’m so unsure... I now keep my toys on elastic    

[Methuselah]

7 minutes ago, V for Very Cold said:

I’m so unsure... I now keep my toys on elastic    

I have mine finely balanced, in a very unstable equilibrium...just like the GFS!

[jvenge]

13 hours ago, knocker said:

In favor of CFSv2 solution of bringing back the "La Nina" Pacific pattern, which re-develops the arctic cold air source over Canada; But the model may be struggling with the Greenland pattern for December. Something to watch. H/t MV

It looks a bit optimistic with the arctic temperature anomaly 

 

[SLEETY]

Back to posting  fl charts  in the model outlook discussion if your after  decent cold weather unless you live in the Highlands

 

Nice ecm day 10 chart.EASTERLY INCOMING

 

you know it will verify

Every ecm day 10 chart always does

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited November 19, 2017 by SLEETY

[snowblizzard]

Deleted!

Edited November 20, 2017 by snowblizzard

[knocker]

Good to see some warm westerly zephyrs on the morning run

 

[knocker]

Need to keep abreast of the trend

Edited November 20, 2017 by knocker

[northwestsnow]

2 minutes ago, knocker said:

Need to keep abreast of the trend

Gawd i wish something like that showed up in July

[The Beast From The East]

I'm liking the sound of the colder outlook but I'm not liking the look of the PV. .....

Looks like it's grow itself a set of BALLS!

?

Thanks Nick Sussex for the image.

Edited November 20, 2017 by Unleash the Beast
Spelling mistake.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

now even I say this isn't bad, may see a few sleety flurries here at 104m asl in TMW, 90's though proper snow

[V for Very Cold]

lets have a little for the weekend......lets hope its not a washout!

[78/79]

It might have been mild today,but in every other respect the weather was gash,bl'''dy impossible to get any work done 

[tinybill]

is  the  model thread heading for its first melt  down this weekend!1

[Methuselah]

Just now, tinybill said:

is  the  model thread heading for its first melt  down this weekend!1

Not sure. But it's the Pub Run up next. So who knows? Spoiler shortwaves? Unsuccessful trough-disruption? A toppler? Or, will we see another one of those runs that's simply too stellar for its own good, one of those runs from which the only way is down?

Anywho, whatever, it's almost eyes-down time!

[Tracy Flick]

Digressing while it's dead around here:  does anyone know if there's any disquiet at ECMWF caused by Brexit?  They're based at Reading and I assume the UK can continue to be a funding member (Turkey is a paying member too), but it was founded by an EU-funded organisation (C.O.S.T.).  I was wondering if anyone has heard of any politicians or staff suggesting that it should re-locate to an EU country on ideological grounds, even if the UK does continue with financial support.    

[V for Very Cold]

Think it might be a case of stocking up on coal this weekend!

[knocker]

11 hours ago, Punxsutawney Phil said:

Digressing while it's dead around here:  does anyone know if there's any disquiet at ECMWF caused by Brexit?  They're based at Reading and I assume the UK can continue to be a funding member (Turkey is a paying member too), but it was founded by an EU-funded organisation (C.O.S.T.).  I was wondering if anyone has heard of any politicians or staff suggesting that it should re-locate to an EU country on ideological grounds, even if the UK does continue with financial support.    

https://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centre/press-kit-bologna-host-ecmwfs-new-data-centre

[knocker]

The latest EC46 has above average temps for the last third of December and the first week of January. The news created quite a glow down at the lake

Edited November 21, 2017 by knocker

[northwestsnow]

24 minutes ago, knocker said:

The latest EC46 has above average temps for the last third of December and the first week of January. The news created quite a glow down at the lake

Oh nooooooo, hows the first 2/3 looking tho?

[knocker]

3 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Oh nooooooo, hows the first 2/3 looking tho?

First half below then average.

[BlueHedgehog074]

Wow, actually had no idea that ECMWF was based in the U.K. ?That really surprised me! Can’t believe I didn’t know that before! Even though I’ve visited their website in the past

Just assumed it was based in one of the continental countries in Mainland Europe!

Having read that article that knocker posted, looks as though while the ECMWF will be opening up a data centre in Italy, looks as though the main headquarters will still be in the UK  

Sorry, I’m just really fascinated by what I just found out (lol) ?