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Posted
  • Location: SE London Bromley
  • Weather Preferences: Very Cold with Fog, Frost and Snow all Hitting the Spot
  • Location: SE London Bromley
5 hours ago, kumquat said:

seeable is a terrible word - why did I even say that?

Especially with only one eye

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Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne

It looks increasingly likely that the well sign posted cold spell may well come to fruition. Fortunately it looks like being very dry so hopefully it will lessen the negative impact of this on the elderly and infirm such as the likes of myself.

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Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
10 hours ago, radiohead said:

My fear is that the second northerly (if it happens) will be shortened and watered down by the time it enters the reliable timeframe. This is something we've seen before in recent years.

certainly is rubbish on 06Z unless you're up a mountain! very wet few days coming up from 6th, W Midlands, but all FI yet

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

The sun was far from spotless in 1947? I think some folks were even attributing February's monster snowfalls to the high number of sunspots? So you'll forgive if I remain unconvinced, John?:)

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Posted
  • Location: Bude
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme weather...heavy snow and heat waves
  • Location: Bude
32 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

The sun was far from spotless in 1947? I think some folks were even attributing February's monster snowfalls to the high number of sunspots? So you'll forgive if I remain unconvinced, John?:)

I read somewhere the reason the fabled failed beast from the east back in 2012 that models picked up and completely flipped at t72 hours was down to the big uptick in solar activity around that time. Am i talking complete BS or is there any credence in that ?

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Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: Basically intresting weather,cold,windy you name it
  • Location: sheffield

I'm standing by what I said earlier,chilly/cold and dry,very little in the way of snow coming up,would be very surprised if there was a decent fall anywhere apart from the highest ground.

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Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON
8 minutes ago, cobbett said:

Quite an impressive update from the metoffice - if you Ike cold of course ! Pretty much below avg thru Jan 

any snowy stuff?

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Posted
  • Location: Castle Black, the Wall, the North
  • Weather Preferences: Spanish Plumes, Blizzards, Severe Frosts :-)
  • Location: Castle Black, the Wall, the North

Have to say the future is looking bright for coldies I'm happy to report according to the latest models, at last it looks like this winter will wake up with an increasing risk of snow and plenty of frost / fog.:D

Edited by Frosty.
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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
2 hours ago, markyo said:

I'm standing by what I said earlier,chilly/cold and dry,very little in the way of snow coming up,would be very surprised if there was a decent fall anywhere apart from the highest ground.

If the cold is in place then there is always a chance of disturbances turning up within the flow, so even it looks dry, never discount a surprise or two. But hey, lets not get ahead of ourselves, lets get the cold in place first.

Edited by SteveB
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Posted
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
10 minutes ago, SteveB said:

If the cold is in place then there is always a chance of disturbances turning up within the flow, so even it looks dry, never discount a surprise or two. But hey, lets not get ahead of ourselves, lets get the cold in place first.

1st Jan 2010. We were looking forward to a very cold but very dry spell. Here in the Midlands we had resigned ourselves to the fact that we had some good frosts on the way, but we could forget about snow. I was all prepared for seeing wonderful pictures of places like Newcastle and Lowestoft blanketed in snow as I scraped the frost off my car. 

Only took until the 5th before the first big snow arrived here. Think we only saw it coming for us in the West Mids within 48 hours of the event itself. 

Edited by Gord
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Posted
  • Location: Corby 130 meters above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Corby 130 meters above sea level

I am sure the toys will be thrown out of the pram soon.:)

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Posted
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Varied and not extreme.
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
16 minutes ago, knocker said:

Goddammit I''ve got so excited as the GFS churns out I've just wet myself. :shok:

You couldn't make it up.  All those posts of rapture over the GFS and, latterly the ECM, and it seems that the UKMO output was right.  New Model Winter is real!

Edited by chrisbell-nottheweatherman
Correcting a minor grammatical error
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Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
Just now, knocker said:

Goddammit I''ve got so excited as the GFS churns out I've just wet myself. :shok:

LOL Knocks

said it this morning and will say it again 

until UKMO on board not convinced of anything

C.S

watch the ECM through out a stonker

Edited by cheshire snow
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Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.

There's too many runs, too many models, making too many problems. 

This is the land of confusion big time! 

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Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne

Best to avoid the MOD thread at the moment as a detailed and erudite analysis is underway of current and recent outputs and will probably take some time, depending on the depth of the analysis, Best to get a summary later.

Edited by knocker
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Posted
  • Location: Corby 130 meters above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Corby 130 meters above sea level
34 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

There's too many runs, too many models, making too many problems. 

This is the land of confusion big time! 

I am totally confused trying to learn but everybody has there own opinions which is fine as that is what a forum is.

Seems like on one run other day it's 1962 1963 then next run december 2015.

Very hard to follow met office changed there view today a little on there forcast so all to play for. Lol

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Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le

OK admit it,who told the kids it was going to snow.:oops:

C.S

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Posted
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Varied and not extreme.
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
18 minutes ago, knocker said:

Best to avoid the MOD thread at the moment as a detailed and erudite analysis is underway of current and recent outputs and will probably take some time, depending on the depth of the analysis, Best to get a summary later.

To be fair, Malcolm, you might want to check snowking's latest post, which shows why, when he does post here, his input is so valued.

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Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne
8 minutes ago, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:

To be fair, Malcolm, you might want to check snowking's latest post, which shows why, when he does post here, his input is so valued.

Actually I have just read it, and his earlier post, and totally agree but the problem is, unless one is prepared to spend a fair bit of time wading through it all, it's easy to miss posts such as this. Frankly I don't see the point of a forensic analysis of every run unless one is looking for detail in the very near time frame. Take an overview having looked at the ens and relaxe a bit

Edited by knocker
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