December 2016 C.E.T. forecasts -- start of 2016-17 competition year

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield up to 6.8C

[NorthYorksWeather]

Cloudy North Yorkshire up to 6.6c, 2.8c above 1981-2010 average.

[Scorcher]

9 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

6.9 to the 14th

2.0 above the 61 to 90 average

1.9 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month is 6.9c on the 14th

A quite remarkable rise given lots of places had a clear day and night yesterday. Here in Manchester we started the day with clear sky and it was still 10C! Got up to a very mild feeling 12C in the early afternoon in sunshine.

[Summer Sun]

7.0 to the 15th

2.1 above the 61 to 90 average

2.0 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month is 7.0c on the 15th

[Matthew.]

Maybe we should start this comp again in January

[Gael_Force]

20 minutes ago, Matthew Wilson said:

Maybe we should start this comp again in January

This is definitely one of the occasions where the late entries will have an advantage in that the news of all change came on the 1st of the month.

[Mapantz]

Currently at 8.1°C, MetO region average is 4.8°C 

 

[Chris.R]

 Just wondering: how can I obtain my Meto regional average? 

Thanks

Edited December 16, 2016 by Chris.R

[Mapantz]

2 hours ago, Chris.R said:

 Just wondering: how can I obtain my Meto regional average? 

Thanks

You might need to go somewhere like here: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/climate/gctb66ydw

Then choose the averages table tab. then either choose the district tab, or the region tab. Once chosen, add the mix/max temps together and divide by two.

Edited December 16, 2016 by Mapantz

[The PIT]

No change sunny Sheffield still 6.8C cooler day offset by milder night.

[Chris.R]

53 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

You might need to go somewhere like here: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/climate/gctb66ydw

Then choose the averages table tab. then either choose the district tab, or the region tab. Once chosen, add the mix/max temps together and divide by two.

 Thanks :-) answers all my questions. 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

6 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

7.0 to the 15th

2.1 above the 61 to 90 average

2.0 above the 81 to 10 average

______________________________________

Current high this month is 7.0c on the 15th

Jesus SS, I look miles out! went for 5.9° pfft, I predicted a wet month with mostly southerly jet, with storms/gales and floods, kinda wrong there 

Edited December 16, 2016 by I remember Atlantic 252

[Chris.R]

Crosby currently running at 7.8°C, 2.8°C above normal. 

[NorthYorksWeather]

6.7c here to the 16th, 2.9c above the 1981-2010 average.

Looking at this mornings GFS this could well be the high point of the month, a slight drop looks likely over the coming week, no chance of getting back down towards average though!

[Summer Sun]

7.1 to the 16th

2.2 above the 61 to 90 average

2.1 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month is 7.1c on the 16th

[Matthew.]

Looks to me like gradually dropping back to 6c over the next 10 days. Maybe an estimate between 5.5-6c as a final at a guess. So between slightly above average-above. 

Edited December 17, 2016 by Matthew Wilson

[The PIT]

No change here but suspect a slightly downward drop this coming week but zero chance of an average or below average month.

[Relativistic]

The provisional first-half (1st-15th) CET for this month (7.0C) ties with the years 1776, 1866, 1913, and 1931. The second halves of these months were 2.0C, 5.4C, 3.3C, and 3.7C respectively. Things can turn around, there is still some hope for a chilly spell before the New Year.

Edited December 17, 2016 by Relativistic

[johncam]

I am afraid according to the latest charts, no hope 

[Summer Sun]

7.1 to the 17th

2.2 above the 61 to 90 average

2.2 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month is 7.1c on the 16th & 17th

[I remember Atlantic 252]

3 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

7.1 to the 17th

2.2 above the 61 to 90 average

2.2 above the 81 to 10 average

______________________________________

Current high this month is 7.1c on the 16th & 17th

Averages need to be revised I think for the mòdern era, 1999+

[cheese]

3 hours ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Averages need to be revised I think for the mòdern era, 1999+

1991-2020 averages are not far away. Think we'll see a rather big shift. Nearly every year since 1990 has been warmer than the 1961-1990 averages.

 

Edited December 18, 2016 by cheese

[reef]

The December 1991-2015 average is 4.8C, so actually lower than the 1971-2010 average and very similar to the 1961-1990 period (4.7C). Its worth bearing in mind we've only had 7 Decembers more than 1C above the relevant 30 year average in the 1991-2015 period, the same number as those more than 1C below. Months like February, April and November look like they might jump by 0.4C or more though, unless we get a few cold ones in the next few years.

Edited December 19, 2016 by reef

[ARTDEMOLE]

Slight drop today!!!!!

[Summer Sun]

6.9 to the 18th

2.1 above the 61 to 90 average

2.0 above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month is 7.1c on the 16th & 17th