The controversy over probability

[Alan Robinson]

Hi, I haven't posted here for quite a while, but in the meantime, it seems to me nothing has changed with respect to probability in statistics.

The controversy is maybe a century old or more. Basically, there are those who hold that probability can only be used with respect to roulette wheels and such things, while others maintain they can state the probability of something occurring that never has happened before. These two camps are often called "determinists" and "Bayesians", and the arguments between them have at times been heated. As far as I know, they still haven't reconciled their differences. Science however presses on regardless making predictions based on mathematical techniques that mathematicians cannot agree upon.

Does anyone have anything to say about probability in climate science?

 

 

[dusk]

On 12/11/2016 at 13:00, Alan Robinson said:

Does anyone have anything to say about probability in climate science?

 

 

Aye. It's probably based on tortured and cherry-picked data used by "scientists" scared by losing their government funding. Maybe you could ask Messrs Mann / Bradley / Hughes / Jones / Briffa / Trenberth / Schmidt / Overpeck / Santer et al for confirmation?

I would not, however, hold your breath.

HTH!

[reef]

Closing this as it does not fit in with the guidelines of the section: