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Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion

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3 minutes ago, LeeSnowFan said:

still more charts to come in the next fewhours! I am not giving up until after the pub run lol then I will throw my toys out the pram 

think mine have already been thrown but i will gladly get out and pick them back up if im wrong haha. 

Love your positivity and i hope it shifts north, just dont look good, its all the models and MetO against us in here isnt it :rofl:

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18 minutes ago, snow*please said:

hmm big downgrades now for my area on metO! Taken away all the heavy snow symbols :(

Think the writing may be on the wall now imo. 

Oh well...soon be xmas :)

Yes somebody has stolen my heavy snow symbols as well!  :nonono:

Look North just now still showed the snow making it just North of Barnsley though so I am not throwing in the towel just yet!

 

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Latest ECM snow depth. 

 

Further correction south expected. 

Screenshot_20171209-181435.png

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5 minutes ago, Kentish Snowman said:

Yes somebody has stolen my heavy snow symbols as well!  :nonono:

Look North just now still showed the snow making it just North of Barnsley though so I am not throwing in the towel just yet!

 

Everything crossed for when it arrives its much further North than everyone expecting! 

No more southerly movement...PLEASE! haha

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48 minutes ago, farmans said:

I remember the Boxing Day snow of a few years back. It was a smallish feature that again had an uncertain track with forecasters saying it may fringe Sheffield at the time .....however what followed was amazing with at least six inches. There wasn't even an amber warning when there should have been, given all the hold ups in the city. Even I had to abandon my car. 

 I remember it was a case of radar watching and it wasn't nailed right up until tit actually played out.

i guess one thing in our favour in south yorks is the uplift that the Peak District provides in an easterly flow, I understand this will be an easterly feed of air. 

So outcomes still uncertain, yes may miss but equally may smash us!!! Hoping for the latar. 

One i would like to forget took me 2 and half hours to do 20 min journey and had 2 bumps along the way 😭

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Look North still good and they have lots more access to data at the meto than we can see so fingers crossed! The front is now coming onto the radar in the SW so its a case of monitoring that from now on.

Its just a case of open the curtains in the morning and cross your fingers!

Edited by Winter Cold

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6 minutes ago, Cheese Rice said:

Latest ECM snow depth. 

 

Further correction south expected. 

Screenshot_20171209-181435.png

This one might make the news though, I can see there's a good chance of 2 cms in London..........

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2 minutes ago, Winter Cold said:

Look North still good and they have lots more access to data at the meto than we can see so fingers crossed! The front is now coming onto the radar in the SW and it does strech way up to western Ireland so that should make it over to us.

Its just a case of open the curtains in the morning and cross your fingers!

This is how I'm approaching it too. We can't change what the models say, but the Met Office still have me in an Amber warning so everything is still up for grabs. So many times these events differ from what's expected, so all we can do is wait.

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1 minute ago, Winter Cold said:

Look North still good and they have lots more access to data at the meto than we can see so fingers crossed! The front is now coming onto the radar in the SW and it does strech way up to western Ireland so that should make it over to us.

Its just a case of open the curtains in the morning and cross your fingers!

If all elee fails go up to the top of the snake it looks like Lapland at the minute.

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2 minutes ago, Derbyshire_snow said:

If all elee fails go up to the top of the snake it looks like Lapland at the minute.

haha, yes there is always that option in the end :p

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Nice little streamer setting up for western parts of north/West Yorkshire. Could give us a bit more of a covering overnight. Looking at the radar there is quite a big band due to hit me in about 30 mins, with plenty of showers following behind.

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AD885EC5-F419-4E7E-A18F-18849A56D589.thumb.png.93a2d1cc12ed20a6c81c16cf8f1258a9.pngLook on the bright side guys it’s gonna snow xmas day for us :rofl::rofl:

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Based on recent forecasts and model output I am no longer expecting snow tomorrow. A shame but no point getting wound up about it. Hopefully plenty more winter prospects over the next 3-4 months!

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It may just be wishful thinking but does the precipitation look further north on the radar than displayed on the models to anyone else?

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1 minute ago, Static Prevails said:

It may just be wishful thinking but does the precipitation look further north on the radar than displayed on the models to anyone else?

i sure hope so! 

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43 minutes ago, Static Prevails said:

It may just be wishful thinking but does the precipitation look further north on the radar than displayed on the models to anyone else?

On the short range map slightly further north but also much weaker. The main system hasn't got onto the radar yet though.

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43 minutes ago, Static Prevails said:

It may just be wishful thinking but does the precipitation look further north on the radar than displayed on the models to anyone else?

Its odd. Its not deepening as expected e.g. Cork is 10+ mb above what all the models were showing.

Really is a radar watch

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Odd how its alreasy much north than predicted. Still all to play for. Dont think we will know till it happens. But defo more north which is a good thing for us. Could be a big surprise

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Its definitely out there, as buoy 62095 reported 992mb at 19:00. that buoy should have been about the center of the low, at that time. But thats a few mb higher than predicted.

 

Its just the observations away from that just don't match what was predicted neither does the radar, really nowhere near as strong as forecast in the observations in the south of Ireland.

Edited by cowdog

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6 minutes ago, The PIT said:

On the short range map slightly further north but also much weaker. The main system hasn't got onto the radar yet though.

Just coming into SW Ireland Pit

https://en.meteox.com/en-gb/home/satelliteradar

show up on NW radar too:),and looks to be heading ENE.

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10 minutes ago, LeeSnow84 said:

Good or bad for us ??

Just going on the clouds, At this time the cloud cover gap was forecast to be at the same latitude as the Southern tip of Britain, maybe a bit below. Going on the Sat24 feed its not even at the same latitude as Southern Ireland. Its probably 100 miles further North than predicted.

 

NOTE THAT DOES NOT MEAN IT WILL HIT THE UK 100 MILES NORTH! It just means currently its a bit more North. These systems move about a lot.

Edited by cowdog

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looks like nothing snowy coming up in the oitlook too

typical how the sliding low later in week just brings us rain. as per.

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