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Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion

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c1.thumb.gif.438adb6e1c009d466ff607b6737a7ec0.gifnmm-1-51-0.thumb.png.68c454ea9275ffdb08ef92c8fd8e9fec.png so its looking from these charts that everything is moving south as someone asked for charts earlier here you go. looking at those i cant see much for yorkshire region. but midlands gets a pasting.

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1 hour ago, yaffle said:

I've moaned about it before but the Yorkshire and Humber region is too big for a discussion area. Is it ever likely that snow forecasts for Skipton York and Whitby are going to be the same? I know that we can look into it in more detail but when someone hears a headline of SNOW IN YORKSHIRE it is very misleading. @vizzy2004 is far more likely to get snow than me and he only lives 10 minutes up the road.

That has been said time and time again, but the areas you quoted are all in North Yorkshire the silliness really comes into play with people in southern Lincolnshire!

Said it before, the regions need to be done on here by geography e.g. Pennines, East Coast, West Coast etc; geography is what affects the weather the most in snowfall - and thats when the regions are mostly used.

 

edit: Just notice Lincolnshire finally has got booted out of here and now with Norfolk - But why on earth is this called Yorkshire and E.England. Its all Yorkshire unless there is some hidden county between Cleveland and Lincolnshire.

Edited by cowdog

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On the positive side, if you're wanting snow, it's perhaps worth bearing in mind that the snow will be falling on to largely dry ground that will have had 48 hours of cold. It's going to settle very quickly. 

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12 minutes ago, terrier said:

c1.thumb.gif.438adb6e1c009d466ff607b6737a7ec0.gifnmm-1-51-0.thumb.png.68c454ea9275ffdb08ef92c8fd8e9fec.png so its looking from these charts that everything is moving south as someone asked for charts earlier here you go. looking at those i cant see much for yorkshire region. but midlands gets a pasting.

Them charts are for just one time period tho, you need to see the evolution and not just cherry pick charts. This is by no means saying it will happen but to me we are "in the game "!!

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Those of us in North and West Yorkshire would obviously would love to see a northerly shift in the modeled position of the low. However even a time 0, we've seen many times before unexpected snow in places. We are still in this!

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Well the BBC forecast has gone into an hourly breakdown for Sunday and for NW Leeds it's predicting heavy snow between 8am and 5pm. Glad to say my 25kgs of rocksalt and snow shovel have just arrived! 

 

#itbettersnownow

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Also just seen the 'feels like' temperature, - 5c to - 6c with 20mph gusts. Won't be too nice out! 

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so bbc look north kust said big chance of significant snow over our region come sunday but that its a developing situ. make your mind up bbc/met.

if i had no access to the internet it was a big upgrade!!

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Yes the BBC York forecast is heavy snow Sunday morning for a couple of hours. Hmmm... we'll see...

 

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West and South Yorkshire should do pretty well out of this. Maybe not as much as the midlands but sometimes these things can be 20 miles further north when they finally appear on the radar (also could be further south)I don’t see why certain posters are being so downcast and saying this will hit further south, that’s not what the models or the Met Office are saying. 

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but it is according to nnm n ecm :(

if gfs goes further south again later then its game over for real :( x million.

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There really is some doom and gloom people on here!! 

 

If it snows enjoy it, if it dosen't then winter has just started still got another 9-10 weeks left to get some snow!!! 

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Yes @LeeSnowFan you are right! I should be celebrating the fact that we have had some lovely frosts and bright winter skies - day and night. So much better than the last few years.

Onwards and Upwards. Loads of winter left to go.

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I made a gif of snow forecast from GFS 06 data. Much easier to see snow potential from multiple time stamps than just one specific. Shows the amber warning area under snow for pretty much 24hrs.

Hope the link works!

20q2lq.gif

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The met have upgraded snow for south Yorkshire again. 6am till 12pm!

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The latest Met Office fax charts have the centre of the slider around Birmingham, which might explain why the BBC/Met Office have their amber warning where it is, and why they continue to show heavy snow even as far north as York. The previous fax charts showed the slider around Kent!

The latest BBC automated forecast for Leeds looks even better than it did earlier.. time will tell, as ever.

yuRp1v2dQsmEisbboTpzgQ.png

Edited by cheese
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11 minutes ago, Craigers said:

The met have upgraded snow for south Yorkshire again. 6am till 12pm!

Yes - awaiting the 12zs with interest!

 

 

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34 minutes ago, sausage said:

but it is according to nnm n ecm :(

if gfs goes further south again later then its game over for real :( x million.

Cheer up, nothing has happened!

Edited by Barking_Mad
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the national bbc forecast just showed mega snow over midlands but she said and i quote! this then affecting northern england as it moves north and north east!!! will it really move north. first ive heard that said. someone help me out please. im losing my sanity. cider is my older friend i think.

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Keep calm West Yorkshire always does well in these setups. And with the met and BBC showing the white stuff for us.

Everyone needs to calm down and enjoy the ride

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My thinking is it develops and pivots north.

Looking forward to radar watching.

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15 minutes ago, sausage said:

the national bbc forecast just showed mega snow over midlands but she said and i quote! this then affecting northern england as it moves north and north east!!! will it really move north. first ive heard that said. someone help me out please. im losing my sanity. cider is my older friend i think.

Yes, which is what people have been trying to tell you. The ECM and NMM runs show it first only hitting the midlands then the snow are pivots round and hits the North on Sunday Afternoon, and then through most of Monday. Its also visible on the GFS 6Z even though thats not as far south, and the resulting area on Monday covering even the North East.

It seems this pivot is one thing the models are agreeing on.

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FWIW my local BBC forecast for NW Leeds (Pudsey, Leeds/Bradford, Horsforth) just changed to heavy snow between 5am and 3pm. It arrives slightly earlier, but still snows for longer. A significant upgrade from earlier in the day.

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yep again another upgrade by bbc on local for leeds. are they accessing different data or are thy behind like the gfs!!?

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50 minutes ago, sausage said:

the national bbc forecast just showed mega snow over midlands but she said and i quote! this then affecting northern england as it moves north and north east!!! will it really move north. first ive heard that said. someone help me out please. im losing my sanity. cider is my older friend i think.

Yep I saw that weather report, she said the snow should move on through the Midlands into the North York Moors.

anyway should be plenty of snow here, gfs ppn charts now show close to 30cm

 

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