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A.J

By A.J
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Decemberof2010 Seasoned

Decemberof2010

Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: Bitter Cold in winter and Extreme heat in summer
  • Location: Leeds
Posted
16 minutes ago, Sunny_AS said:

Anymore thoughts on tonight’s feature???

Well having just seen the updated warning it's taken Leeds out of the game!! Depends where you are tbh. Not expecting anything tonight 

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LeeSnowFan Rising Star

LeeSnowFan

Posted
  • Location: Barnsley 125asl
  • Location: Barnsley 125asl
Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, Decemberof2010 said:

Well having just seen the updated warning it's taken Leeds out of the game!! Depends where you are tbh. Not expecting anything tonight 

yes taken south yorks out too! :( 

it's taken a shift northwards hence the updated warning and us taken out! again could change in the next 3-6 hours! 

Edited by LeeSnowFan
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joggs Experienced

joggs

Posted
  • Location: bingley,west yorks. 100 asl
  • Location: bingley,west yorks. 100 asl
Posted (edited)

Last months feature looked good for us 5 days or so out then corrected South and blasted Midlands.

Tonight's had some of us in sweet spot with corrections South but now moving north again(and last night).Lmao.

Dales,northwards place to be imo and some of the higher hills a rad further south.

If you're on low ground(200m below)Don't get excited.

Edit-Just seen the amber warnings for ne England and Cumbria.

That's a big jump north.

Take a monumental shift South for most of us to benefit.

Edited by joggs
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cowdog Enthusiast

cowdog

Posted
  • Location: Border of N.Yorks / W.Yorks / Lancashire - 350m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but Rain!
  • Location: Border of N.Yorks / W.Yorks / Lancashire - 350m asl
Posted

The southern tranche of that warning area really only applies with Height. Really could all change as some of the models have it as snow for everywhere except for the warm 'blip' at 3am. That blip could cause a LOT of issues, as its going to freeze over by 6am over wide swathes of the Pennines, so if there is any thaw its going to all turn to Ice.

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Cold Winter Aficionado

Cold Winter

Posted
  • Location: Malton, North Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme weather - any kind!
  • Location: Malton, North Yorkshire
Posted (edited)

Arpege 6z looks decent, particularly for North Yorkshire, and especially over higher ground of course.

ICON in agreement with Arpege. NMM not having it, with snow limited to high ground only over our patch.

This is potential snow depths by tomorrow morning if the Arpege model is to be believed. 

 

FCC39C39-C59F-4C77-B5BE-5D0F52078D39.png

Edited by Cold Winter
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cheshire snow Veteran

cheshire snow

Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
Posted

LBA TAF is Indicating a spell of Heavy Snow from 22:00 Until Midnight but then unfortunately turns back to rain between Midnight at 1am

C.S

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Winter Cold Seasoned

Winter Cold

Posted
  • Location: Maltby, Rotherham - 150m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Cold! Winter :)
  • Location: Maltby, Rotherham - 150m ASL
Posted

Big downgrade for tonight, damn!

December it went south to Midlands and now this has gone North! Grrr :nonono:

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summer blizzard Maestro

summer blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
Posted

What do the mesoscale models show. This is there forte.

 

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Kentish Snowman in Yorks Experienced

Kentish Snowman in Yorks

Posted
  • Location: Hemingfield, South Yorkshire (49m / 160ft ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Summer Sunshine / Winter Snow
  • Location: Hemingfield, South Yorkshire (49m / 160ft ASL)
Posted (edited)

Meto text forecast still bullish for snow across our region tonight.

Yorkshire & Humber

Headline:

Snow overnight. Cold, windy at times.

This Evening and Tonight:

A frosty evening, then thickening cloud will bring sleet and snow overnight, locally heavy, giving accumulations for many, especially over hills, and at some lower levels later. Strong winds at times, especially later as cold northerly winds set in. Minimum temperature -1 °

Edited by Kentish Snowman
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cowdog Enthusiast

cowdog

Posted
  • Location: Border of N.Yorks / W.Yorks / Lancashire - 350m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but Rain!
  • Location: Border of N.Yorks / W.Yorks / Lancashire - 350m asl
Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, summer blizzard said:

What do the mesoscale models show. This is there forte.

 

They are rolling out now. Hirlam is showing all Snow event for everyone but the coasts.

 

edit: Change that has rain for Eastern half for midnight. All Snow event for Pennines for sure if its right.

Edited by cowdog
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cowdog Enthusiast

cowdog

Posted
  • Location: Border of N.Yorks / W.Yorks / Lancashire - 350m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but Rain!
  • Location: Border of N.Yorks / W.Yorks / Lancashire - 350m asl
Posted (edited)

ICON though has no Snow for anywhere in Yorkshire.

Although would ignore its Snow map, as its wrong even now - saying no snow anywhere, yet there is.

Edited by cowdog
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Kentish Snowman in Yorks Experienced

Kentish Snowman in Yorks

Posted
  • Location: Hemingfield, South Yorkshire (49m / 160ft ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Summer Sunshine / Winter Snow
  • Location: Hemingfield, South Yorkshire (49m / 160ft ASL)
Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, cowdog said:

ICON though has no Snow for anywhere in Yorkshire.

 

Yes it is quite a knife edge situation for our region given the conflicting forecasts and model runs.  

That said I reckon those with decent altitude should do pretty well tonight.

Currently 2c and mainly rain showers here at the moment so that doesn't really bode well for later.....

Edited by Kentish Snowman
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Cold Winter Aficionado

Cold Winter

Posted
  • Location: Malton, North Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme weather - any kind!
  • Location: Malton, North Yorkshire
Posted (edited)
6 minutes ago, cowdog said:

ICON though has no Snow for anywhere in Yorkshire.

Although would ignore its Snow map, as its wrong even now - saying no snow anywhere, yet there is.

There is falling and lying snow for Yorkshire on the ICON 12z ?.

48A41A70-B8F4-40DB-9F7E-AA667781D347.png

 

ED84E578-128C-4E01-8FB5-B2C2D19E699E.png

Edited by Cold Winter
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Kentish Snowman in Yorks Experienced

Kentish Snowman in Yorks

Posted
  • Location: Hemingfield, South Yorkshire (49m / 160ft ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Summer Sunshine / Winter Snow
  • Location: Hemingfield, South Yorkshire (49m / 160ft ASL)
Posted (edited)

HIRLAM has always been my favourite model!  :rofl:

hirlamuk-1-13-0.png

Edited by Kentish Snowman
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cowdog Enthusiast

cowdog

Posted
  • Location: Border of N.Yorks / W.Yorks / Lancashire - 350m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but Rain!
  • Location: Border of N.Yorks / W.Yorks / Lancashire - 350m asl
Posted
15 minutes ago, Cold Winter said:

There is falling and lying snow for Yorkshire on the ICON 12z ?.

48A41A70-B8F4-40DB-9F7E-AA667781D347.png

 

ED84E578-128C-4E01-8FB5-B2C2D19E699E.png

Look earlier, it flips it goes through a spell of rain for a few hours before.

NMM seems to be going for a with height only event - which is tbh what its likely to be, but those with height could really get a lot.

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Sara_south_yorks Community Regular

Sara_south_yorks

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland, South Yorkshire 160m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: cold,snowy,frosty and thunderstorms
  • Location: Hoyland, South Yorkshire 160m ASL
Posted

yaaaay Meto have a forecast of heavy......RAIN for my area tonight haha!

oh well at least i wont hate the drive on the school run tomorrow :)

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Kentish Snowman in Yorks Experienced

Kentish Snowman in Yorks

Posted
  • Location: Hemingfield, South Yorkshire (49m / 160ft ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Summer Sunshine / Winter Snow
  • Location: Hemingfield, South Yorkshire (49m / 160ft ASL)
Posted (edited)
8 minutes ago, snow*please said:

yaaaay Meto have a forecast of heavy......RAIN for my area tonight haha!

oh well at least i wont hate the drive on the school run tomorrow :)

Yeah Meto text forecast says virtually all snow for our region tonight but the automated hourly Meto forecast for our area says rain all the way.  I know where my money is!

Edited by Kentish Snowman
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Winter Cold Seasoned

Winter Cold

Posted
  • Location: Maltby, Rotherham - 150m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Cold! Winter :)
  • Location: Maltby, Rotherham - 150m ASL
Posted

It's really difficult to decide what's going to happen, all the text forecasts, BBC graphics and radio bulletins are all different!

Owain on radio Sheffield this evening is saying heavy snow so.....

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Northern Sky Aficionado

Northern Sky

Posted
  • Location: North West Leeds 124m
  • Location: North West Leeds 124m
Posted

Pretty sure it will be just rain tonight. What do people think about Friday? Showing light snow for me on the BBC but I'm not convinced - think The Daily Express hacked the Horsforth forecast last night...

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Gray-Wolf Accomplished

Gray-Wolf

Posted
  • Location: Mytholmroyd, West Yorks.......
  • Weather Preferences: Hot & Sunny, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Mytholmroyd, West Yorks.......
Posted
26 minutes ago, Winter Cold said:

It's really difficult to decide what's going to happen, all the text forecasts, BBC graphics and radio bulletins are all different!

Owain on radio Sheffield this evening is saying heavy snow so.....

Well i'm expecting a period of snow settling for a while over the tops but not here in the valley. 
Recent rain has washed off all the snow here so it'll get no help in settling.

The question has to be whether it all get washed away before morning rush hour?

I do expect something nice to watch falling later in the evening though!

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Jeremy Shockey Rising Star

Jeremy Shockey

Posted
  • Location: North Newbald , 139 feet asl
  • Location: North Newbald , 139 feet asl
Posted (edited)

not expecting much tonight at low levels.....but it could easily pivot south over Yorkshire later on bringing some surprise late snow ( a few of the short range models are suggesting this ) 

as far as Fri goes . 850 HPa temps look very cold , so there is a chance 

 

tab6.png

Edited by Jeremy Shockey
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