Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion

[The PIT]

Monday night into Tuesday we will need some evaporitive cooling to help things along. Hopefully the front will stay active enough for this to happen which looks the case tonight. Plenty of radar watching tomorrow evening and night then.

Even if that fails then there's a prospect of snow showers Tuesday.

Edited January 20, 2019 by The PIT

[Love Snow]

35 minutes ago, The PIT said:

Monday night into Tuesday we will need some evaporitive cooling to help things along. Hopefully the front will stay active enough for this to happen which looks the case tonight. Plenty of radar watching tomorrow evening and night then.

Even if that fails then there's a prospect of snow showers Tuesday.

Thanks for the update fingers crossed.

[LeeSnowFan]

Are we back to chasing 10 day charts in cold hunt thread? 

surely we cannot go all winter with ought a decent cold and snowy spell!

[Sara_south_yorks]

Im going to call this winter...Bullseye 

The winter of "here's what you could have won"  

Dont think i can be bothered chasing day 10 charts again! I soooo wish mild was my fave weather. lol

[Cheese Rice]

The EURO4 precipitation accumulation charts after the front has cleared sums up the problem perfectly. 

Around 1mm for Leeds and 2mm for Sheffield, the rain shadow will stop us from seeing why meaningful PPN 

Edited January 20, 2019 by Cheese Rice

[Kentish Snowman in Yorks]

Not expecting much from tomorrow night's front to be honest.

FI looking tasty though!  

[LeeSnowFan]

Tuesday morning 

[Cheese Rice]

T141 shows Yorkshire getting a hammering. Nice to look at but too far out for now.

The outlook is wintry but you really need to be around 150m+ to make use of these synoptics as the uppers aren't that cold, unless we get some sort of trough or slider etc which is likely at some point. 

[Kentish Snowman in Yorks]

I think the front will be a rain / sleet only event for low ground tonight but there could be some decent showers of the white variety tomorrow depending on the strength and direction of the flow across our region....

[Craigers]

15 minutes ago, Kentish Snowman said:

I think the front will be a rain / sleet only event for low ground tonight but there could be some decent showers of the white variety tomorrow depending on the strength and direction of the flow across our region....

Certainly agree with this! Euro4 has been showing this consistently.

[cowdog]

52 minutes ago, Craigers said:

Certainly agree with this! Euro4 has been showing this consistently.

Yes. not just that, but its 2 bands. The first arrives tonight, that was projected to be a rain to snow affair, but NMM and Euro4 now have that as being a snow only event on higher ground. The second band comes through before midday tomorrow and is a weaker affair that will linger though to midnight. The second band will be all Snow, maybe even to lower ground away from the coasts.

 

IF that first front is all snow it could mean we have a reasonable depth of snow on higher ground.

Edited January 21, 2019 by cowdog

[winterof79]

Metar Taf for Leeds and Bradford Airport.

Chances but obviously it's at elevation.

[cowdog]

12z NMM run has it as snow only for western North Yorkshire for tonight's band, rain everywhere else. Its very marginal so will only take a small change for the snow to be extended southwards, likewise for no snow at all in our region.

 

Also the 12z GFS and ICON runs are cracking for our region, especially Pennines. Tons of snow, and starts on Saturday / Sunday so on edge of FI.

Edited January 21, 2019 by cowdog

[Harsh Climate]

This upcoming wintry weather from the north west over the next week or so has 'otley gap' written all over it  Should be plenty of heavy snow showers rattling through if the latest charts are to be believed. Nice little gap in pennines that locally my location can do quite well.

 

Edited January 21, 2019 by Harsh Climate

[LeeSnowFan]

18 minutes ago, cowdog said:

12z NMM run has it as snow only for western North Yorkshire for tonight's band, rain everywhere else. Its very marginal so will only take a small change for the snow to be extended southwards, likewise for no snow at all in our region.

 

Also the 12z GFS and ICON runs are cracking for our region, especially Pennines. Tons of snow, and starts on Saturday / Sunday so on edge of FI.

what reliable time frame can we bank ? 

[Sara_south_yorks]

12 minutes ago, LeeSnowFan said:

what reliable time frame can we bank ? 

with this winter i wouldn't bank on anything, im not going to get excited until its actually over us and its snowing outside

[boyzie]

24 minutes ago, Harsh Climate said:

This upcoming wintry weather from the north west over the next week or so has 'otley gap' written all over it  Should be plenty of heavy snow showers rattling through if the latest charts are to be believed. Nice little gap in pennines that locally my location can do quite well.

 

I'm right in the middle of that.  I wasn't aware it existed.  Thanks.

[cowdog]

21 minutes ago, boyzie said:

I'm right in the middle of that.  I wasn't aware it existed.  Thanks.

Snow coming from that direction is what caused the 2 foot + snow falls in 2014, although that one didn't have as significant impact away from the Pennines. It is kind of the regular way for the Aire Valley High areas to get very high snow totals - the valley itself generally doesn't do that great as it itself is the gap in question

[Yorkshirepudding]

1 hour ago, Harsh Climate said:

This upcoming wintry weather from the north west over the next week or so has 'otley gap' written all over it  Should be plenty of heavy snow showers rattling through if the latest charts are to be believed. Nice little gap in pennines that locally my location can do quite well.

 

I’d take that as I’m right in the channel of that Otley Gap . But I think the showers Tomorrow will be all now casting hopeful of seeing a few CMs adding to this marginal front that moves through tonight as I have a bit of elevation I’m hoping of a bit of the white stuff on the back edge as the cold sets in behind..

Edited January 21, 2019 by Yorkshirepudding

[cowdog]

Oh and as was putting the last of the animals to bed for the night 10 minutes ago a few flakes of snow fell. No rain. Radar shows it as Sleet, but is expected to be a 'wet' snow affair which usually does show up as sleet. Still expecting it to be the wrong side of marginal here though.

[cheese]

19 minutes ago, cowdog said:

Snow coming from that direction is what caused the 2 foot + snow falls in 2014, although that one didn't have as significant impact away from the Pennines. It is kind of the regular way for the Aire Valley High areas to get very high snow totals - the valley itself generally doesn't do that great as it itself is the gap in question

You mean 2013? Don’t remember much snow anywhere in 2014.

[cowdog]

1 minute ago, cheese said:

You mean 2013? Don’t remember much snow anywhere in 2014.

Could have sworn it was 2014 aka year of Tour de France, but just checked it was 2013.

[Love Snow]

Looks very disappointing on the local forcast.

[Sunny_AS]

Met Office app showing rain here all the way...then light snow showers tomorrow pm...

[summer blizzard]

Not sure hkw organised the trough will be but it looks like west yorkshire may get its shot tomorrow.