SE England and EA Regional Weather Discussion

[moogyboobles]

10 minutes ago, Lamposangel delightcher said:

1979 was the best ive ever seen for snow continuous heavy drifting 50 p size flake for about 2 hours with around 10 inches in the garden cant remember the month 

I hear tales of how it was knee deep when I was born. My birthday is on Monday. 

[loafer]

First few outputs showing the cold moving south slightly earlier, which should improve the snow prospects very slightly.

[Daniel*]

Look at how cold it's getting by 1800 on the E4 as the freezing level/snow level is dragged down by the intensify of the precipitation. All that earlier rain is going to freeze - treacherous.  

[Mark wheeler]

26 minutes ago, Don said:

I remember the evening snowfall of 6th January 1994 in the south east.  This followed days of heavy rain and when it turned to heavy snow, it settled very quickly on to very wet ground. It was not forecast and was caused by evaporative cooling.  I think some areas had around 4 inches in a short space of time.  Perhaps something similar could occur tomorrow?  

Yes that's the event when I saw the snow flakes in water . Was listening to local radio and it said their are reports of snow falling in east Surrey . All of a sudden a big switch to snow . Layed almost immediately . Fond memories 

[Lampostwatcher]

7 minutes ago, moogyboobles said:

I hear tales of how it was knee deep when I was born. My birthday is on Monday. 

1979 as 7 year old kids we were sledge down side rds as it was thick ice 

[SMU]

18z is all but the same as 12z barring the PPN exits slightly slower

Also snow friday morning PLUS

watch this kink over scotland 7pm Friday-

[Ben Blizzard]

1 minute ago, Steve Murr said:

 the PPN exits slightly slower

 

 

Edited January 11, 2017 by Ben Blizzard

[Southender]

3 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

18z is all but the same as 12z barring the PPN exits slightly slower

Also snow friday morning PLUS

watch this kink over scotland 7pm Friday-

Thats what we want. Any hint of a stall is good news.

[steveinsussex]

Bit of a downgrade for friday

 

[Southender]

6 minutes ago, steveinsussex said:

Bit of a downgrade for friday

 

Depends where you are in the region!

ppn further west brings a mild sector into play in the east. Ppn further east and the west potentially miss out. Tough one and a knife edge nowcast radar watch!

Edited January 11, 2017 by Southender

[Ben Blizzard]

These charts from the GFS look good for most of the region though 

[Snowman.]

Further east so less mixing due to mild = more snow falling to lower levels in the east. Unfortunately the PPN doesn't look as heavy but hey ho.

ALSO

The GFS is beginning to show yet again another albeit weak band of showers heading SE from the NW.

Many more surprises likely.

Also for those who live in East norfolk, potential for a clipper to form

Edited January 11, 2017 by SN0WM4N

[Met4Cast]

Sliderrrrr! Sunday could be fun

[Vesuvius]

I always love it when after weeks, ney months on the main model page, we all head to the regionals.  Kind of like watching several weeks of the general election countrywide news and then heading to your local constituency for the count.

Whisper it quietly, but I feel we are blessed in this area with more than our fair share of the contributors we all know and love from the model threads.  And we know Nick S is one of us at heart as well.

great potential coming up and the rest of January could be fab, come on ECM.

Good luck everyone, if you see a maniac sledging down Crown Hill tomorrow evening, you know who it is 

 

 

 

 

[Lampostwatcher]

yes another snow event possible for sunday 

[tornado tams]

I'm a tad jealous of my husband, him being a teacher he may get a few snow days off ( but he will be safe as he has a long journey), Myself, I will look like a demented elf trudging in to work with my woolly owl hat. On the plus side he will make dinner.

[clark3r]

Been glued to model watching today! Loving the last few ECM runs! Good luck to everyone hoping for covering of snow tomorrow eve! Let's hope it happens and not disappointed! Hope my dreams come true for an easterly next week with snow opportunities and snow days off work! Good night all and fingers crossed no downgrades for tomorrow!

[loafer]

Snow tomorrow, Friday, Saturday and Sunday and real potential, in my view, for Sunday to become a full-on frontal snow event...

[pinball wizard]

1 minute ago, loafer said:

Snow tomorrow, Friday, Saturday and Sunday and real potential, in my view, for Sunday to become a full-on frontal snow event...

You can't beat a full frontal event

[Mal_UK]

Isn't Sunday looking rather mild however,  around 5 degrees or so? 

[Ben Blizzard]

Okay, I've been holding back for quite a while now but...

I'M SO EXCITED!  An end to the snow starvation period! 

 

Just needed to let that out. Sorry. 

Edited January 11, 2017 by Ben Blizzard

[Jo S]

hi all, have been catching up with the posts on here,well ive 3 days off but ment to work Sunday, no cabs will pick me up, if too icy ,so could get an extra day off, what a shame 

[Mac_SE]

 

2 minutes ago, Mal Kapadia said:

Isn't Sunday looking rather mild however,  around 5 degrees or so? 

Is looking that way, but it's forecast to be temporary, with the colder air (supposedly) pushing back in.

[Nick F]

5 minutes ago, Mal Kapadia said:

Isn't Sunday looking rather mild however,  around 5 degrees or so? 

18z GFS indicates some leading edge snow as the rain pushes SE, but not supported on other models so far and probably change next run - too far out to forecast snow anyhow.

Edited January 11, 2017 by Nick F

[loafer]

1 minute ago, Mac_SE said:

 

Is looking that way, but it's forecast to be temporary, with the colder air (supposedly) pushing back in.

It is also a lot colder on the ECM, and as the models converge, it could get interesting.