SW & CS England Regional Weather Discussion

[Mark Neal.]

Good to see this thread much busier! An interesting day ahead as we get closer to tomorrow's wave (low) of interest. 

[Dorsetbred]

Mornin all, currently 8.9°C with light rain.

[karlos1983]

EURO4 still delivers for some of our region, bit marginal on the coast mind.. 

still time for change Central & south westerners, and I'd rather streal the snow at the last min that have it stolen from us at the last post!

GFS

As for the easterly... the models don't seem so keen today imo and I've decided not to venture into the mod thread on health grounds

Edited January 11, 2017 by karlos1983

[Ali1977]

Latest BBC looks good for many in the south, upto 10cm

[Dorset_Weather]

14 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

EURO4 still delivers for some of our region, bit marginal on the coast mind.. 

still time for change Central & south westerners, and I'd rather streal the snow at the last min that have it stolen from us at the last post!

GFS

As for the easterly... the models don't seem so keen today imo and I've decided not to venture into the mod thread on health grounds

The possible easterly is all good, just a few wrist slashers who couldn't wait for the runs to complete before commenting.

[Ali1977]

Latest BBC looks good for many in the south, upto 10cm

[Jayfromcardiff]

6 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:

Latest BBC looks good for many in the south, upto 10cm

Will it snow I'm Cardiff? Had to throw that question out there!

[Dorsetbred]

2 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Will it snow I'm Cardiff? Had to throw that question out there!

Seemingly looking at the images, it goes around you, as it does for us on the dorset coast...

[karlos1983]

Everyone.... GAME FACES , @Jayfromcardiff Is back! ITS ON!!!!!

welcome back 

[Jayfromcardiff]

1 minute ago, Dorsetbred said:

Seemingly looking at the images, it goes around you, as it does for us on the dorset coast...

It always makes me laugh as I don't understand as the ppn can dodge us and hit somewhere miles down the road lol. It could be now casting come tomorrow anyway as theres always a chance it may not even reach as far north.

[Dorsetbred]

Met Office update this morning goes:

Rain moving eastwards across the south of the UK on Thursday may turn to snow in places.

Whilst this is unlikely, there is a small chance of snow settling with disruption to road, rail and air services as well as interruptions to power supplies and other utilities.

Associated heavy rain and strong winds may prove additional hazards.

 

No change here then, suggestion is the TV images are slightly over cooked.

[lettice]

32 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:

Latest BBC looks good for many in the south, upto 10cm

Looking good for us tomorrow from 5pm.
Exciting!

Saw this elsewhere too;

Edited January 11, 2017 by lettice

[jethro]

Morning all, a mild 6.1c here this morning but quite breezy with it.

Still hope for tomorrow then, fingers crossed

[Frosty_wsm]

Awesome national  weather forecast I've  just seen on bbc news, shows a rain to snow event tomorrow for large parts of the south even Imby. 

[shaky]

Euro4 has the snow slightly further north as is the gfs compared to the bbc forecast!!so a wider area across the midlands could get a pasting

[knocker]

Cloudy with mainly Sc and St. Temp 10C and breezy from the NW gusting 30mph

[Ali1977]

13 minutes ago, lettice said:

Looking good for us tomorrow from 5pm.
Exciting!

Saw this elsewhere too;

This models the snow hanging around further into the night than the BBC, if so maybe a better chance of a more prolonged event.

[khodds]

WOOP! Full house!!! He has returned! Hello Jayfromcardiff  

[festivalking]

Wahhhh! What a morning upgrade. Almost choked on the cornflakes! From sleet and rain to now rain and then 6 hours of the white stuff! 

And now I see alot more places will hopefully share the fun. 

Only concern is that MO/BBC always play safe and over blow any snow potential to make sure everyone is aware what is happening. 

In any case this forum is going into meltdown tomorrow!!

[Rich_Clements]

A blustery benine start to the day before the party starts tomorrow.

 

Have a good day all

[Frosty hollows]

9 hours ago, Ali1977 said:

Large big flakes will lie as the cold digs in and after dark, stick to everything then freeze...Boooooom

Most likely scenario this far inland as it looks like temps are going to plummet overnight after the 'precipitation'

[Frosty hollows]

45 minutes ago, Dorsetbred said:

Met Office update this morning goes:

Rain moving eastwards across the south of the UK on Thursday may turn to snow in places.

Whilst this is unlikely, there is a small chance of snow settling with disruption to road, rail and air services as well as interruptions to power supplies and other utilities.

Associated heavy rain and strong winds may prove additional hazards.

 

No change here then, suggestion is the TV images are slightly over cooked.

The unlikely bit makes me laugh. Why issue a weather warning for a flake of snow? Looking ahead I'd say ice will be the problem in my area tomorrow night ( but snow would be nice!)

[jethro]

1 minute ago, Frosty hollows said:

The unlikely bit makes me laugh. Why issue a weather warning for a flake of snow? Looking ahead I'd say ice will be the problem in my area tomorrow night ( but snow would be nice!)

I think that's the one issued yesterday lunchtime, don't think it's yet been updated to include the latest info. Forecast has changed but the warnings haven't.

[Lampostwatcher]

Id expect the metoffice warnings will now change and have the snow depths added onto them for your area this morning :-)

[AWD]

The 0z Arome model has some ice pellets forecast for higher ground of our region tomorrow evening.