SW & CS England Regional Weather Discussion

[Mapantz]

With daytime maxes like this on Friday, combined with the strong Northwesterly- that will feel mighty cold!

[AWD]

2 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

 

That looks pretty tasty!

I think those charts show a good guidance as to eastern districts of the West Country to be potentially affected.

Note the shield of doooooom over Bristol.

[jethro]

1 hour ago, MidnightSnow said:

 

BANK!!!

 

Oh and the question about rain being forecast and we end up with snow.... I don't recall rain being forecast but I do remember we were only supposed to get a dusting, inch or two at most in February 2009, we ended up with a good 10 inches up here.

[Mapantz]

Just now, AWD said:

I think those charts show a good guidance as to eastern districts of the West Country to be potentially affected.

Yeah - I thought the same as soon as I saw Ian's tweet. 

I always love this thread when its busy, much fun!

[Nights King]

1 minute ago, AWD said:

I think those charts show a good guidance as to eastern districts of the West Country to be potentially affected.

Note the shield of doooooom over Bristol.

Looks like some hefty showers following quick on its tail too.

[Frosty_wsm]

5 minutes ago, AWD said:

Quite possibly, & that would be more notable in a NW/NNW'ly as modelled towards the end of the week.

We've had snow showers here from a n/nw wind before now, Dec 2010 was a northerly with a NW element, can also remember being hit by snow showers in March one year and that was also from a n/nw wind direction. 

[jethro]

1 hour ago, chris55 said:

All those bemoaning an easterly...... show me one heavy widespread snowstorm for the south west that came about without at least some kind of easterly element entrenching the cold air first???

our very best snowfalls come from Atlantic fronts bumping into cold dry continental air, 90% of the time from an easterly flow.

Thursdays "potential" is a good example in a way, although some may well get lucky, the northerly flow isn't quite cold enough re dew points etc for a guaranteed widespread event.  Whereas if we had entrenched dry cold continental air in place it would be far less marginal.

So even though for us lot an easterly may well be dry initially , it's the breakdown attempts from the west that give us our best shot at real widespread snowfalls  

Oh I wasn't moaning, just pondering aloud whether it'll amount to anything more than dry cold for here. The battleground scenario is stuff of legend, but for me personally, after nearly 20 years down here, it remains an elusive legend. What seems to happen is dry cold from the east, wet & mild coming from the west and instead of a battleground, the cold gets shoved out the way and we get wet instead of white.

[khodds]

3 minutes ago, jethro said:

BANK!!!

 

Oh and the question about rain being forecast and we end up with snow.... I don't recall rain being forecast but I do remember we were only supposed to get a dusting, inch or two at most in February 2009, we ended up with a good 10 inches up here.

See I don't remember that Jethro.. and it wasnt so long ago (my memory is rubbish) but it would be great if it happened again!

[Frosty hollows]

W COUNTRY Pls keep across f'casts as Thurs detail/warnings honed: varied uncertainties! Any snow will be wet variety: =large flakes/low vis

 

Fergies latest from twitter

[AWD]

Just now, Smartie said:

We've had snow showers here from a n/nw wind before now, Dec 2010 was a northerly with a NW element, can also remember being hit by snow showers in March one year and that was also from a n/nw wind direction. 

Dec 2010 would have seen snow anywhere at anytime.  That was proper cold.

Your down in Weston anyway, up here, sheltered a little more from the Brecons, plus the urban heat affects of Bristol & Avonmouth industrial estates, I often find I have some of the higher temps around compared to others in the region during a NW/NNW'ly.

All very topographic and localised though.

[bellanite]

40 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

IMBY is absolutely fine in our thread, as long as we share?  

I hope we all get to see something. It's been too long!

[Nights King]

Just now, khodds said:

See I don't remember that Jethro.. and it wasnt so long ago (my memory is rubbish) but it would be great if it happened again!

It was more the mendips from memory but yes we had an enormous fall that day I still have pictures somewhere

[A Frayed Knot]

1 minute ago, Frosty hollows said:

W COUNTRY Pls keep across f'casts as Thurs detail/warnings honed: varied uncertainties! Any snow will be wet variety: =large flakes/low vis

 

Fergies latest from twitter

Honed ? On a knifes edge then ' good luck to you south westerners ' hope and wish you get a dumpfull of the white stuff .

[AWD]

On a side note, where has our regional modetator gone.

I swear, during busy times like this, Gottolovethisweather was here day in day out keeping us in check.

Now it feels like we are free to say & do what we want.

[khodds]

He was around yesterday I think.. may have been in the MAD thread though

havent seen Kumquat or Iceberg post in here lately either.. 

[kumquat]

Glad I'm not going to work on Friday. It'll probably be an icy, slushy mess.

[cornish snow]

1 minute ago, AWD said:

On a side note, where has our regional modetator gone.

I swear, during busy times like this, Gottolovethisweather was here day in day out keeping us in check.

Now it feels like we are free to say & do what we want.

Cool,lets talk about fishing.

[Nights King]

3 minutes ago, AWD said:

On a side note, where has our regional modetator gone.

I swear, during busy times like this, Gottolovethisweather was here day in day out keeping us in check.

Now it feels like we are free to say & do what we want.

 They decided we couldn't be controlled any longer 

Or after 5 terrible winters the moderators got bored of watching tumble weed! 

Edited January 10, 2017 by Nights King

[matt111]

I think the this threads the busiest I've seen it tonight since I've been on Netweather. Wasn't on here during the last cold spells.

[Ali1977]

8 minutes ago, Frosty hollows said:

W COUNTRY Pls keep across f'casts as Thurs detail/warnings honed: varied uncertainties! Any snow will be wet variety: =large flakes/low vis

 

Fergies latest from twitter

Large big flakes will lie as the cold digs in and after dark, stick to everything then freeze...Boooooom

[khodds]

And just on queue hello Kumquat!   I can't spell queue right can I?! 

[jethro]

22 minutes ago, MP-R said:

Bristol just has a full on weather shield! I've been at home during snow and thunderstorms (North Somerset) while there's nothing in Bristol and vice versa. A classic snow case was 17th December 2010 when there was barely 1cm of snow in Bristol with sunny skies, yet 10 miles south in North Somerset it had been snowing off an on all afternon and a decent 6-7cm had accumulated.

I'd agree with that. I work just outside Keynsham, they very rarely get the snow that I get at home, often none at all and if it does snow, no where near as much. The dividing line seems to be Clutton hill, cross over and it's a different world, including fog, frost and rain. 

[karlos1983]

 

1 minute ago, matt111 said:

I think the this threads the busiest I've seen it tonight since I've been on Netweather. Wasn't on here during the last cold spells.

You wait until Thursday Matt, it could become the nut house 

[Daniel*]

18 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

 

That looks pretty tasty!

The only thing nasty on that chart the second one is UHI of bloody London. Sleet fest. 

 

[kumquat]

Just now, khodds said:

And just on queue hello Kumquat!   I can't spell queue right can I?! 

Hey! Saw Iceberg around the Model thread.  Could get cosy in here in the next couple of days.