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Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

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Street is now covered.a few hours of this now would be nice. Well done to all for making this a fun thread today.stress,calm heads,photo's and a good general happy atmosphere make this thread a fun and nice place to visit!

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8 minutes ago, LJ1224 said:

The met office for Port Talbot says nothing, BBC pretty much has light snow until 5am. Plus the radar still has a huge patch of snow over us. I'm a little confused.

I've been using this for the past hour or (https://www.rain-alarm.com/) Seems that when under blue there was very little snow around, but the green seems to be delivering, so hopefully a few green bits pop up over Port Talbot! Seems like it's waxing and waning though the heavier pulses.

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3 minutes ago, blackrose73 said:

Well, some of us never lost faith 🙂

Yes there was a few of us 😁

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Constant light snow here, bit outside of the moderate snow but the light snow might add a cm or 2 as it can be seen to slowly building up. Very good night indeed!

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3 minutes ago, coldie said:

It certainly made up for it in the end! been moderately snowing here for the past few hours with plenty more to come according to the radar.

I can see another 3 or 4 hours of good hours of snow. 

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1 minute ago, dbaloo said:

Street is now covered.a few hours of this now would be nice. Well done to all for making this a fun thread today.stress,calm heads,photo's and a good general happy atmosphere make this thread a fun and nice place to visit!

I'm generally quite chilled and accepting about low chances of snow living in a low lying coastal area, but I'll admit I got pretty down hearted a couple of hours ago. Lets hope it keeps ticking over through the night.

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Looks to me like it's pivoting and stalled. Good few hours of snow yet. Light to medium

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I'd say there's periods of light to moderate snow for a good few hours yet at least.

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I know its not the massive amount they said we could have  early this week but people n on the coast seems to have enjoyed some snow  as well so hopefully most people got to enjoy it tonight. 

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The front has totally stalled but not degrading quickly either. Should be hours of moderate snow left in this for many.

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14 minutes ago, RhysWales said:

I've been using this for the past hour or (https://www.rain-alarm.com/) Seems that when under blue there was very little snow around, but the green seems to be delivering, so hopefully a few green bits pop up over Port Talbot! Seems like it's waxing and waning though the heavier pulses.

We’ve only been under blue and had a good 4cm in places now closer to 2cm on hard surfaces...don’t loose hope 🙂 

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Coming down beautifully now in Rhayader,  temp now below freezing and accumulating nicely.  Got a good feeling about this now, especially as the blob in the Irish Sea has linked in with the main front coming in from the east, has given the precipitation some extra energy. All much later than forecast, but getting there in the end!

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Well Met office app has now updated to give me a another 4 hours of heavy snow (albiet fine snow) then light snow through till 10am......SNOW  DAY??????

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the main low is now sitting to the south of the uk with the northerly front over us now backing west around the low pulling in straight easterlies

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Plenty of life in this system yet! Several hours of light to moderate snow I think. It's not going to be a foot deep for us but still a decent event in my opinion.

Edited by blackrose73

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3 minutes ago, gareth moo said:

The front has totally stalled but not degrading quickly either. Should be hours of moderate snow left in this for many.

How's it looking in Machen Gareth? Hoping for another day at the TA myself... 🤣

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I wonder who's going to get lucky and get some of that lovely yellow snow on the radar

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7 minutes ago, RhysWales said:

How's it looking in Machen Gareth? Hoping for another day at the TA myself... 🤣

Awful until 8pm. Since then chucking it down and settling on all surfaces. Early 6 nations start tomorrow afternoon then. Tredegar Arms for you / Machen RFC for me!!

 

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It's building nicely here

130754182_Screenshot2019-01-31at22_09_25.thumb.png.5150a06fc46b37a67cbd0575af56ff36.png

 

2 hours ago

934626674_Screenshot2019-01-31at20_20_34.thumb.png.f25cc7d0324a1de4db6b711a087598cb.png

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Any reports in Pembs guys? Precip has pepped up all of a sudden there with green intensity on radar starting to form!

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2 minutes ago, gareth moo said:

Awful until 8pm. Since then chucking it down and settling on all surfaces. Early 6 nations start tomorrow afternoon then. Tredegar Arms for you / Machen RFC for me!!

 

Perfect! The snow's just a sideshow really! Met Office keeping the fun going until 10am now (albeit lighter from 2am onwards.) 

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1 minute ago, bradythemole said:

Any reports in Pembs guys? Precip has pepped up all of a sudden there with green intensity on radar starting to form!

Yes it seems to be pushing back westwards, an interesting few hours or so to come in Pembrokeshire ❄️❄️❄️

image.png

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2 hours ago, NoTraction said:

Well.... Yesterday mornings model runs were epic and thing seem to have lost intensity since then for Wales.

11 am today the Met had my location down for 3 hours of heavy snow and then 3 or 4 hours of light to moderate, so far weve had 10 minutes of heavy snow and some snizzle......

This afternoons 12z runs:

 

 gfs for 7 pm  image.thumb.png.3a4d401ef6b2d3a93aff1fe6a2399c0b.png

gfsp for 7 pm image.thumb.png.bbc788e66250f27fe94901f169a71ada.png

 Hirlam 7 pm  image.thumb.png.ed9768b1d8f3393110a8cb342cc61173.png 

  Arpege 7 pmimage.thumb.png.f85945f5507c2b8f0e5a43a43c87079c.png

 current radar image 18.55:

                       image.thumb.png.2be8e810819f36b374bef21db0b96aff.png

Big fail there over Wales so far.... lets see what they show for 10pm:

gfs 10 pm       image.thumb.png.24e3a1218806e701cb369a3b82202103.png

gfsp  10 pm    image.thumb.png.eecd0af09a903afcfbe1a1a327695155.png

Hirlam 10 pm  image.thumb.png.105591e67dd05fd480454f1a3ab30f01.png

Arpege 10 pm image.thumb.png.f8ee8dd486b511d684f70703edf52ad0.png   

Lets see how it goes but all are from todays 12z so..............🤮 Arpege seems closest

 

 

image.png

image.png

ignore bottom 2 images cant delete

OK so its now just gone 10 pm and lets see where we are compared to forecast.....see charts above for 10 pm forecast.

Latest Radar 21.55 image.thumb.png.b71d10ba970b913068c55996350c952e.png

models for 1.00 am

18z gfs 1.00 am      image.thumb.png.00b472caee4442f0ddef7aa0b34066ab.png

12z gfsp    1.00 am image.thumb.png.83f93041bd831961b8b6bcb136f7d2b8.png

12z Arpege 1.00 am   image.thumb.png.2bdd6282e9518693524c6fde01269aa0.png

18z Hirlam 1.00 am    image.thumb.png.dcf0e09fac1de4b2d94c1ea3145a5114.png

 

Not looking such a fail after all.. just less intense than we were hoping for.

Front is filling in south west areas and i can con firm it is snowing here but light.

 some legs in it... Notice the 18z runs show it a bit more intense at 1.00 am than the 12z with newer data.

Couldnt use all 18z as haven't all updated yet👍

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1 minute ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Heaviest snow of the night now, after the amber warning expired lol.

U win and u  get the yellow snow 😁  Remember they only gave a amber warning because it was rush hour, it didn't mean the heaviest snow.

Edited by snowy36

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