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Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion


A.J
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Posted
  • Location: Cwmbach, Aberdare, Mid Glamorgan
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, wind and summer storms
  • Location: Cwmbach, Aberdare, Mid Glamorgan
    5 minutes ago, Jen Beachcomber said:

    The clue is under my name James, Pembroke, West Wales coast. Go the very end of the M4 and keep going until you get to the sea. I live on the edge of town and approx (as the crow flies) 3 miles from the coast x

    I can't see I'm on my iPhone ?

    I know it well. We have a house in Fresh East

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    Posted
  • Location: Pembroke, West Wales Coast
  • Location: Pembroke, West Wales Coast
    10 minutes ago, JamesL said:

    I can't see I'm on my iPhone ?

    I know it well. We have a house in Fresh East

    Apologies I'm on a laptop...  Fresh East is just a 'good' walk from where I live... lol !

    Already I'm feeling the effects of the occluded front bringing the system in... I've warmed up a 'tad. Temp is -0.5C and dew point is -1.3C

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    Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl

    Nice upgrade this morning between 10 and 15cms or snow Across Wales used the words heavy in places.We shall see how the front develops.We shall see.

    Edited by keithlucky
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    Posted
  • Location: gwynedd
  • Weather Preferences: Snow/blizzard
  • Location: gwynedd
    10 minutes ago, keithlucky said:

    Nice upgrade this morning between 10 and 15cms or snow Across Wales used the words heavy in places.We shall see how the front develops.We shall see.

    What about the north mate?

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    Posted
  • Location: brynmawr south wales 1340 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold . snow
  • Location: brynmawr south wales 1340 ft ASL

    Frozen over here......

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    Posted
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed - SE Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Gales - active weather!!!
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed - SE Wales

    -5.2 °C here - brrrr. Off to work early so can leave early!

    Are we still looking around 2pm for fun and games to start or is it earlier/later in the progression of the front?

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    Posted
  • Location: brynmawr south wales 1340 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold . snow
  • Location: brynmawr south wales 1340 ft ASL

    I dont know when but my husbands bike is frozen ..........................

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    Posted
  • Location: South Cotswolds
  • Location: South Cotswolds

    Fergus has now tweeted that it will be a rain event! Talk about last minute!

    Can anyone discount this for the Bristol area? Confused . Com

    Edited by Uncle Gargy
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    Posted
  • Location: Dead Centre of the Vale of Clwyd
  • Weather Preferences: Cold Sancerre.
  • Location: Dead Centre of the Vale of Clwyd
    42 minutes ago, dyl232 said:

    What about the north mate?

    GFS shows snow for an hour or two this evening for the North - other models vary. Very uncertain where the northern extent is.

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    Posted
  • Location: Cwmbran. South East Wales 300ft ASL
  • Location: Cwmbran. South East Wales 300ft ASL
    1 minute ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

    Who's Fergus?

    Fergie....Ian Ferguson the Met office weather man

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    Posted
  • Location: Wales 215m asl.
  • Location: Wales 215m asl.
    26 minutes ago, Uncle Gargy said:

    Fergus has now tweeted that it will be a rain event! Talk about last minute!

    Can anyone discount this for the Bristol area? Confused . Com

    This was his last tweet....

    Screenshot_2019-01-31-06-48-40-1.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Nelson, Caerphilly, South Wales. 175m ASL
  • Location: Nelson, Caerphilly, South Wales. 175m ASL

    My predictions for this evening's event.

    1860880829_Screenshot2019-01-31at06_36_20.thumb.png.66251ad71fb36a0f6d96e216f978923c.png

    Edited by Jackfrost
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    Posted
  • Location: Nelson, Caerphilly, South Wales. 175m ASL
  • Location: Nelson, Caerphilly, South Wales. 175m ASL
    32 minutes ago, Uncle Gargy said:

    Fergus has now tweeted that it will be a rain event! Talk about last minute!

    Can anyone discount this for the Bristol area? Confused . Com

    I think there's a bit of confusion involved here: Fergie tweeted two charts, one from Jan. 23rd and one from midnight, to show how the forecast can and does change. The one from the 23rd showed a rain event, the one from midnight shows the snow event, which is still very much on.

    Edited by Jackfrost
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    Posted
  • Location: blackwood south wales 179m asl
  • Location: blackwood south wales 179m asl
    1 minute ago, Jackfrost said:

    I think there's a bit of confusion involved here: Fergie tweeted two charts, one from Jan. 23rd and one from midnight, two show how the forecast can and does change. The one from the 23rd showed a rain event, the one from midnight shows the snow event, which is still very much on.

    Omg! Thanks for sorting that out,thought my heart was going to give out! ??

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    Posted
  • Location: Nelson, Caerphilly, South Wales. 175m ASL
  • Location: Nelson, Caerphilly, South Wales. 175m ASL
    11 minutes ago, whiskers said:

    Omg! Thanks for sorting that out,thought my heart was going to give out! ??

    Yes, fear not @whiskers, we'll have our snow!

    I'm trying to think of historical precedents for this... Does anybody remember the March 11-12th, 2004 event? Similar synoptics and depths, even similar times of day and night, although this time the snow should stick around for a few days instead of an immediate thaw setting in.

    Edited by Jackfrost
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    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder & Lightning, Thundersnow, Storms, Heatwave
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales

    Bit of a downgrade this morning tbh.

    Quite a few of the high res models have the front losing its intensity compared to previous runs.

    Going to go down to the wire 

    take Arpege for example. Just light snow for many and sleet on coasts.

    A444F7EC-0275-4478-966F-C2B890FB992D.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Tenby, Pembrokeshire, Wales 30m a.s.l.
  • Location: Tenby, Pembrokeshire, Wales 30m a.s.l.

    Not holding out much hope for SW coastal areas... already 4c in Milford/Tenby/Angle (Met O)... -7c in mid-Wales.

    Temp forecast to drop later in day as the cold air kicks back in but doubt it'll be enough for any laying snow in this area. I'll be very happy just to see some of the white stuff falling from the sky.

    Looks like central southern Wales should do quite well out of this.

    Good luck all.

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    Posted
  • Location: Barry, South Wales
  • Location: Barry, South Wales

    Looks like it is going to be marginal for us down in Barrybados, showing as sleet on Met Office app. BBC weather showed snow just covering us on forecast. Who knows lol

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    Posted
  • Location: Llanharan South Wales 76m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: freezing cold and lots of snow
  • Location: Llanharan South Wales 76m ASL

    I just saw the itv wales forecast and it only went to 3pm, that says to me still loads of uncertainty and this could go either way. I'm not feeling confident where I am but I'd  say 150m above should do well

    Edited by freeze for all
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    Posted
  • Location: Llanharan, South Wales
  • Location: Llanharan, South Wales
    8 minutes ago, bradythemole said:

    Bit of a downgrade this morning tbh.

    Quite a few of the high res models have the front losing its intensity compared to previous runs.

    Going to go down to the wire 

    take Arpege for example. Just light snow for many and sleet on coasts.

    A444F7EC-0275-4478-966F-C2B890FB992D.png

     

    It's quite possible that could happen. 

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